Cricket · resolved market
Big Bash League: Melbourne Stars vs Adelaide Strikers (Game 1)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x89a583fbffeb02f9d91fb6996e4c5d3e242aee1b8b1d231f7041de61a96eba1e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Melbourne Starsof Melbourne Stars, Adelaide Strikers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $49,971
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $57,381
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $49,971 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x817b…3c25backed Adelaide Strikers | 39c | 8,012$3,156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,155.88 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Adelaide Strikers | 1c | 6,364$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.91 | 369 | 8.7%32 W · 337 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Melbourne Stars | 78c | 4,744$3,692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,051.37 | 330 | 42.4%140 W · 190 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dea…3792backed Adelaide Strikers | 36c | 4,413$1,607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,606.93 | 98 | 51%50 W · 48 L | -9.1wins | -0.09per pick | 60cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Melbourne Stars | 60c | 2,572$1,543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,029.23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2294…4cd3backed Melbourne Stars | 68c | 1,784$1,221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$562.76 | 679 | 31.4%213 W · 466 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22d0…6293backed Melbourne Stars | 60c | 1,637$982 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$654.8 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e02…b1c5backed Melbourne Stars | 61c | 1,383$844 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539.3 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa69b…7b0cbacked Melbourne Stars | 79c | 1,349$1,064 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.71 | 225 | 52.4%118 W · 107 L | +20.7wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Melbourne Stars | 70c | 1,083$754 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.71 | 182 | 57.1%104 W · 78 L | +11.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c8…dd64backed Adelaide Strikers | 5c | 1,017$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 98 | 49%48 W · 50 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5c9…41b5backed Melbourne Stars | 71c | 1,011$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.53 | 97 | 58.8%57 W · 40 L | +7.2wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +64.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8678…b755backed Melbourne Stars | 60c | 1,001$601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.4 | 155 | 61.9%96 W · 59 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc8…f45bbacked Adelaide Strikers | 5c | 922.57$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.62 | 65 | 21.5%14 W · 51 L | -5.6wins | -0.09per pick | 30cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Melbourne Stars | 63c | 875.43$553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.77 | 763 | 51.6%394 W · 369 L | +29.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Adelaide Strikers | 4c | 831.16$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.15 | 119 | 5.9%7 W · 112 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Adelaide Strikers | 41c | 595.95$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.16 | 91 | 54.9%50 W · 41 L | +6.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Adelaide Strikers | 40c | 457.66$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.22 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Adelaide Strikers | 18c | 332.49$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.5 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa995…3d50backed Melbourne Stars | 61c | 329.08$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.08 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…4d2dbacked Adelaide Strikers | 3c | 300$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a07…ce91backed Adelaide Strikers | 13c | 300$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Melbourne Stars | 60c | 249.77$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.91 | 636 | 46.4%295 W · 341 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeabd…8115backed Melbourne Stars | 60c | 248.48$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.48 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -58.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7bcc…de43backed Melbourne Stars | 62c | 241.94$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.94 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97d1…7d7dbacked Adelaide Strikers | 36c | 220$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.8 | 328 | 46.3%152 W · 176 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb8e…1d33backed Adelaide Strikers | 39c | 200.99$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.4 | 270 | 54.4%147 W · 123 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec95…156dbacked Adelaide Strikers | 14c | 199.95$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.99 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe28…3c60backed Adelaide Strikers | 21c | 191.38$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 198 | 43.4%86 W · 112 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd50c…76c3backed Melbourne Stars | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 148 | 52%77 W · 71 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fc7…268dbacked Melbourne Stars | 59c | 168.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.25 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b12…8a30backed Adelaide Strikers | 20c | 152.38$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.02 | 40 | 27.5%11 W · 29 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1da4…e65cbacked Adelaide Strikers | 14c | 150$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Adelaide Strikers | 39c | 145.89$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.9 | 287 | 49.5%142 W · 145 L | +10.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8cd4…a6f6backed Adelaide Strikers | 8c | 140$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae8f…1cc3backed Adelaide Strikers | 10c | 118.37$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.18 | 269 | 30.5%82 W · 187 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5163…9a4fbacked Melbourne Stars | 60c | 114.61$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.68 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +177.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd10…f782backed Melbourne Stars | 61c | 107.23$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.82 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +3.6wins | +0.13per pick | 55cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb671…619bbacked Adelaide Strikers | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c56…daf8backed Adelaide Strikers | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7216…0d67backed Adelaide Strikers | 24c | 96.76$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.62 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -4.1wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xdb0b…e2a3backed Adelaide Strikers | 13c | 81.63$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 139 | 21.6%30 W · 109 L | -14.6wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -41%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3657…3d22backed Melbourne Stars | 71c | 81.48$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.98 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +68.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef46…f872backed Melbourne Stars | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.65 | 154 | 51.3%79 W · 75 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x553f…0483backed Adelaide Strikers | 15c | 70.07$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.51 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +2.5wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed Adelaide Strikers | 42c | 68.56$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.8wins | -0.35per pick | 47cpaid | -69.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x976b…cf45backed Adelaide Strikers | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +57.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf00…6767backed Adelaide Strikers | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.5wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +18%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xffb5…92c3backed Adelaide Strikers | 45c | 37.78$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 71 | 39.4%28 W · 43 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Adelaide Strikers | 41c | 34.57$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.01 | 141 | 29.1%41 W · 100 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe35c…221fbacked Melbourne Stars | 62c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.4 | 95 | 46.3%44 W · 51 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70de…5688backed Melbourne Stars | 59c | 25.42$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.42 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc8a…4b6cbacked Melbourne Stars | 61c | 20.21$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.88 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.26per pick | 57cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x894b…93ccbacked Melbourne Stars | 61c | 20.21$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.88 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3020…bc04backed Melbourne Stars | 61c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 198 | 62.6%124 W · 74 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed Melbourne Stars | 60c | 16.67$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Big Bash League: Melbourne Stars vs Adelaide Strikers (Game 1)this page
- Big Bash League: Melbourne Stars vs Adelaide Strikers (Game 1) - Who wins the toss?Melbourne Stars won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.