NFL · resolved market
Spread: Rams (-11.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x03caaeacc71568620154906ef42c4499bf9273486a5fb84a17cc246de3413765
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Panthersof Rams, Panthers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $188,205
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $189,554
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $188,205 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed Rams | 45c | 173,000$77,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77,850 | 74 | 40.5%30 W · 44 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked Panthers | 55c | 99,914$54,953 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44,961.33 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -5.3wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Panthers | 55c | 71,591$39,375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32,216.13 | 169 | 55%93 W · 76 L | +15.0wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked Rams | 46c | 5,000$2,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,300 | 70 | 42.9%30 W · 40 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Panthers | 54c | 4,347$2,346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000.76 | 120 | 55.8%67 W · 53 L | +9.0wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +15%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2f…ef1abacked Rams | 44c | 1,556$685 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$684.83 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09ad…819ebacked Panthers | 54c | 1,111$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$511.11 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Panthers | 55c | 1,000$548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$452.32 | 650 | 48.3%314 W · 336 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4673…d99bbacked Panthers | 56c | 1,000$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440 | 285 | 56.5%161 W · 124 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe544…3cfcbacked Rams | 46c | 699.76$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.15 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b80…657fbacked Rams | 46c | 650.99$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.45 | 157 | 46.5%73 W · 84 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Panthers | 53c | 548.29$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.7 | 85 | 51.8%44 W · 41 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Rams | 45c | 512.66$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.6 | 1,196 | 49.9%597 W · 599 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Rams | 66c | 294.12$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.12 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -26%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7bcc…de43backed Panthers | 34c | 294.12$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.12 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95bc…9f00backed Panthers | 54c | 261$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.06 | 129 | 45%58 W · 71 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc85f…15f8backed Panthers | 54c | 260$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.6 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | -6.7wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Panthers | 55c | 249.99$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.5 | 192 | 40.1%77 W · 115 L | -16.2wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9b58…f577backed Rams | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Panthers | 36c | 182.91$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.06 | 831 | 47.8%397 W · 434 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Rams | 64c | 172.91$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.66 | 356 | 48%171 W · 185 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d48…48e0backed Panthers | 56c | 168.03$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.93 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf642…0c19backed Rams | 45c | 157.78$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2af…28c3backed Panthers | 54c | 120.75$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.83 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02f7…b17abacked Panthers | 56c | 110$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.4 | 118 | 55.9%66 W · 52 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Panthers | 52c | 107.03$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.02 | 865 | 47.9%414 W · 451 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Panthers | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 594 | 53.7%319 W · 275 L | +24.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Panthers | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 315 | 40.6%128 W · 187 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaecf…3291backed Rams | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Rams | 46c | 99.8$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.91 | 532 | 53%282 W · 250 L | +19.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc923…5f12backed Panthers | 55c | 99.55$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.8 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…a85bbacked Rams | 47c | 95.74$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Panthers | 40c | 92.31$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.8 | 600 | 49.3%296 W · 304 L | +21.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d85…2560backed Panthers | 54c | 73.37$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.78 | 73 | 52.1%38 W · 35 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9382…4ee3backed Panthers | 56c | 72.84$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.05 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.19per pick | 55cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9aea…5590backed Panthers | 54c | 64.68$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.51 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +4.4wins | +0.14per pick | 45cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xea89…0ad7backed Panthers | 54c | 62.33$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.65 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +90.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef34…1d61backed Rams | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.2 | 141 | 58.9%83 W · 58 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fb8…85b9backed Rams | 65c | 56.43$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.68 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -2.3wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf527…bb0bbacked Panthers | 54c | 53.67$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.67 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +90.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8289…2b2ebacked Rams | 58c | 52.64$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.66 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x973f…72ccbacked Rams | 42c | 47.08$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.62 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6564…8846backed Panthers | 55c | 45.45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.45 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +4.5wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x640f…4cc0backed Rams | 45c | 45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.25 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -51%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c0f…09debacked Rams | 45c | 43.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.57 | 78 | 41%32 W · 46 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35cb…318abacked Panthers | 64c | 42.4$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf6b…9431backed Rams | 45c | 36.95$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.63 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.25per pick | 37cpaid | -75.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x884c…851fbacked Rams | 57c | 36.35$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.59 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Rams | 47c | 22$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.24 | 134 | 49.3%66 W · 68 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c3…f427backed Panthers | 54c | 20.35$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.36 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +3.4wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +17%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xad9d…9b95backed Panthers | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 148 | 48%71 W · 77 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Rams (-11.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Rams (-5.5)Panthers won
- Rams vs. PanthersRams won
- Rams vs. Panthers: 1H MoneylineRams won
- Rams vs. Panthers: 1H O/U 23.5Over won
- Rams vs. Panthers: O/U 44.5Over won
- Rams vs. Panthers: O/U 46.5Over won
- Rams vs. Panthers: O/U 47.5Over won
- Rams vs. Panthers: O/U 49.5Over won
- Rams vs. Panthers: O/U 50.5Over won
- Spread: Rams (-10.5)Panthers won
- Spread: Rams (-14.5)Panthers won
- Spread: Rams (-6.5)Panthers won
- Spread: Rams (-7.5)Panthers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.