TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NFL · resolved market

Rams vs. Panthers: O/U 44.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$156,004
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$168,743

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $156,004 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 105 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NFL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xabb8…bba3backed Under51c74,689$38,066 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38,065.798747.1%41 W · 46 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Over49c47,500$23,275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24,22516955%93 W · 76 L+15.0wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+6.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Under49c30,822$15,084 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,084.3912055.8%67 W · 53 L+9.0wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+15%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over49c20,040$9,820 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,220.475852.5%398 W · 360 L+21.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Over51c15,295$7,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,494.5556852.3%297 W · 271 L+26.3wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+6.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x11e2…26ccbacked Over52c10,000$5,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,8009442.6%40 W · 54 L-0.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb583…b0b3backed Under48c5,200$2,496 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,4962850%14 W · 14 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under47c4,999$2,349 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,349.4151352.2%268 W · 245 L+16.0wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+12.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x710c…892cbacked Over53c3,408$1,806 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,601.991250%6 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Over50c3,390$1,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,689.6813756.2%77 W · 60 L+8.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+12%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf9fe…366bbacked Under50c3,100$1,535 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,534.9936246.7%169 W · 193 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Over52c3,000$1,560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,4405754.4%31 W · 26 L+4.4wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+13.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3da4…28d7backed Over49c2,899$1,420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,478.371957.9%11 W · 8 L+1.8wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+20.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Over51c2,783$1,419 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,363.679447.9%45 W · 49 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Under49c2,500$1,225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,22526649.6%132 W · 134 L+0.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4366…c73ebacked Over50c2,500$1,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2502532%8 W · 17 L-2.1wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-28.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf5e1…5ad0backed Over51c2,000$1,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98024056.7%136 W · 104 L+19.3wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+16.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7a88…41ccbacked Under48c1,877$901 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$901.084440.9%18 W · 26 L-2.5wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-24.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2418…66c8backed Over51c1,876$957 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$919.262334.8%8 W · 15 L-2.3wins-0.10per pick45cpaid-25.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over53c1,753$925 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$827.481,06551.3%546 W · 519 L+25.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x10d4…d953backed Over50c1,443$721 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$721.362454.2%13 W · 11 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+12%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Under48c1,122$541 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$541.0665048.3%314 W · 336 L-0.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over51c1,047$535 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$511.61,19649.9%597 W · 599 L+1.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x30a4…8441backed Over51c1,000$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4904544.4%20 W · 25 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick41cpaid-5.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over51c960.78$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$470.7839447.7%188 W · 206 L-7.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under47c769$361 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$361.4377052.7%406 W · 364 L+24.8wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee20…5b37backed Over55c749.98$411 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$338.997164.8%46 W · 25 L+10.7wins+0.15per pick50cpaid+33.6%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Under48c718.52$345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$344.8954451.7%281 W · 263 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa5dc…ec43backed Under49c714.3$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$350.0115352.3%80 W · 73 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8289…2b2ebacked Over50c640.06$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$320.032955.2%16 W · 13 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa315…cabbbacked Over50c525$263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$262.528447.5%135 W · 149 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee21…3721backed Under49c510.2$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2502941.4%12 W · 17 L-3.2wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-19.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6911…947cbacked Over52c480.77$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.778540%34 W · 51 L-3.8wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-17.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc210…39fcbacked Under46c450$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2076663.6%42 W · 24 L+9.7wins+0.15per pick49cpaid+30.2%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xbb44…3eafbacked Over51c411.19$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.482528%7 W · 18 L-4.2wins-0.17per pick45cpaid-32.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8532…738bbacked Over52c400$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19211946.2%55 W · 64 L-5.9wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-11.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Over51c396.64$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.3553253%282 W · 250 L+19.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe727…5e8dbacked Over51c392.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.1617548%84 W · 91 L-7.6wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-9.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2567…2371backed Over52c384.62$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.621741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-16.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x30a8…3c7cbacked Over51c377.08$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.771030%3 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.17per pick47cpaid-38.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcf1c…c085backed Under50c332.88$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.441136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-28.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e0c…6b3cbacked Over51c309.99$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.89250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Over50c300$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15055345%249 W · 304 L-9.0wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked Under47c300$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.716957.4%97 W · 72 L+15.7wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+21.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0f65…cdd3backed Over53c270$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.91758.8%10 W · 7 L+2.7wins+0.16per pick43cpaid+72.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9ae2…20a3backed Over52c263.46$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.461758.8%10 W · 7 L+1.3wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+14.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7f29…f03dbacked Over55c255.09$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.0913752.6%72 W · 65 L+10.9wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+19.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3a83…195bbacked Over52c231.46$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.11233.3%4 W · 8 L-3.0wins-0.25per pick58cpaid-45.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x256b…cd5dbacked Over52c222$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.568454.8%46 W · 38 L+3.9wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+8.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1b90…8cdcbacked Under50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-50.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf632…02aabacked Over51c200$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$981668.8%11 W · 5 L+4.3wins+0.27per pick42cpaid+73.3%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0x3aff…0512backed Over53c188.68$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.68580%4 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.27per pick53cpaid+61.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb781…9ba9backed Over53c188.68$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.684845.8%22 W · 26 L-2.8wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-8.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7b47…d615backed Under45c103.64$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.642740.7%11 W · 16 L-2.8wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-24.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x399d…abccbacked Over52c100$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.82850%14 W · 14 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeca0…e8f8backed Over53c100$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$478048.8%39 W · 41 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2696…c031backed Over51c100$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$495552.7%29 W · 26 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x575b…14f0backed Over51c100$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$494946.9%23 W · 26 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x15e3…009fbacked Over51c100$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4917459.2%103 W · 71 L+6.7wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe105…1efbbacked Over52c100$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+15.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xefdd…9297backed Under49c98.72$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.51616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.31per pick48cpaid-69.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe48c…163abacked Over51c98.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.046946.4%32 W · 37 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d13…082cbacked Over51c98.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.042142.9%9 W · 12 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-10.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf79a…56c2backed Over50c95$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.53253.1%17 W · 15 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x87ae…811bbacked Over53c94.34$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.343158.1%18 W · 13 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+8.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under48c93.46$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.0173651.2%377 W · 359 L+25.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x41cb…d718backed Over55c90.91$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.912100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+97.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2961…cfcfbacked Over55c90.91$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.911668.8%11 W · 5 L+2.6wins+0.16per pick52cpaid+30.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdcb9…f39abacked Over51c84.94$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.821050%5 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-17.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed Under49c82$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.1830442.4%129 W · 175 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5d0b…0874backed Over51c78.43$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.437150.7%36 W · 35 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x22f6…6a9bbacked Over52c76.92$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.922969%20 W · 9 L+2.6wins+0.09per pick60cpaid+23.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x230a…3be4backed Over53c75.47$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.471136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-38%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Under50c74.28$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.146570.8%46 W · 19 L+11.6wins+0.18per pick53cpaid+35.2%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0xcc1b…0adebacked Over55c72.73$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.733046.7%14 W · 16 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-10.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6827…26fdbacked Over59c71.89$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.61742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-23.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x884c…851fbacked Under31c70$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.71526.7%4 W · 11 L-2.0wins-0.13per pick40cpaid-29.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x282c…13f2backed Over52c67.31$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.311258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.12per pick46cpaid+26.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0857…5bedbacked Over52c67.31$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.313053.3%16 W · 14 L+2.3wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+19%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under25c60$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1534247.4%162 W · 180 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-12.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked Over53c60$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.212756.7%72 W · 55 L+8.4wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+15.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0fa5…9cf3backed Over51c58.82$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.82837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.10per pick28cpaid-9.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe6dd…0accbacked Over52c57.69$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.695957.6%34 W · 25 L+7.8wins+0.13per pick44cpaid+24.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x4d48…48e0backed Over50c53.63$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.873246.9%15 W · 17 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5ef0…7adebacked Over51c47.22$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.142552%13 W · 12 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+19.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4d85…2560backed Over50c40.14$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.077352.1%38 W · 35 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+20.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x87df…48f3backed Under51c39.94$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.3730%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0edb…8260backed Over51c39.22$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.224434.1%15 W · 29 L-6.4wins-0.14per pick49cpaid-33.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xf838…86b2backed Over52c38.46$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.461100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf9d…3ea9backed Over53c37.74$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.7426660.9%162 W · 104 L+13.0wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+10.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x234c…b85fbacked Over52c37.15$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.831060%6 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+15.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9aea…5590backed Over50c31.65$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.833259.4%19 W · 13 L+4.4wins+0.14per pick45cpaid+19.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xfc6b…d720backed Over51c30$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.79251.1%47 W · 45 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3b66…a2f3backed Over56c30$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.21566.7%10 W · 5 L+3.3wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+38.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb017…1fd6backed Over53c28.3$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.3933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-42.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8f6e…6a74backed Over52c27.29$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.112148.8%59 W · 62 L-10.7wins-0.09per pick58cpaid-16.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xbf43…90e0backed Under48c26$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.48560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+27.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xac27…18e7backed Over52c25.96$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.462552%13 W · 12 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-9.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0ed1…efcbbacked Over51c25.49$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.491844.4%8 W · 10 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee60…6902backed Over50c22.55$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.28742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-14.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.