TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NFL · resolved market

Rams vs. Panthers: O/U 46.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$356,652
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$399,954

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $356,652 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 182 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NFL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc257…358ebacked Under56c117,671$65,399 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65,398.815154.9%28 W · 23 L+4.9wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+39.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Under55c56,832$31,467 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31,467.3612055.8%67 W · 53 L+9.0wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+15%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9249…4f16backed Under56c40,000$22,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,399.9817647.7%84 W · 92 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd38b…5029backed Over44c34,826$15,324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,502.6619553.8%105 W · 90 L+16.1wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+23.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x777d…5143backed Under52c22,971$11,831 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,830.692441.7%10 W · 14 L-2.1wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-19.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x68dd…f0b2backed Over44c20,000$8,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,20016051.9%83 W · 77 L+5.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Over44c19,368$8,522 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,846.0853253%282 W · 250 L+19.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Over45c18,300$8,235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,06512944.2%57 W · 72 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over44c17,235$7,624 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,611.131,19649.9%597 W · 599 L+1.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe948…ff23backed Over44c12,500$5,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,0005352.8%28 W · 25 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Over44c12,075$5,313 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,76256852.3%297 W · 271 L+26.3wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+6.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x685d…22d6backed Over49c10,250$5,023 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,227.57259.7%43 W · 29 L-0.1wins0.00per pick60cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d5c…0182backed Over44c10,000$4,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,60010650.9%54 W · 52 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x11e2…26ccbacked Over45c10,000$4,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,5009442.6%40 W · 54 L-0.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ac4…3081backed Over44c8,700$3,828 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,8721330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.8wins-0.14per pick45cpaid-36%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Over46c7,805$3,628 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,17747348.4%229 W · 244 L+1.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4940…05cbbacked Over47c7,476$3,514 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,961.846100%6 W · 0 L+2.9wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+100.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xd4da…3175backed Over46c7,252$3,336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,916.34362.8%27 W · 16 L+4.3wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+24%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked Over45c5,935$2,644 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,291.352365.2%15 W · 8 L+3.0wins+0.13per pick52cpaid+31.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over45c5,343$2,425 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,918.8777052.7%406 W · 364 L+24.8wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x14ac…cb21backed Under56c5,313$2,976 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,975.5220755.1%114 W · 93 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under55c5,000$2,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,75051352.2%268 W · 245 L+16.0wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+12.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdd23…e31fbacked Over45c4,842$2,179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,663.221369.2%9 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.09per pick60cpaid+15.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x500f…94bfbacked Under58c4,502$2,598 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,597.951040%4 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-27.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Over48c4,250$2,045 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,205.5112748%61 W · 66 L+4.3wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Under54c4,076$2,201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,201.0924053.8%129 W · 111 L+9.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+26.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf5e1…5ad0backed Over44c4,000$1,760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,24024056.7%136 W · 104 L+19.3wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+16.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x498c…42bfbacked Over44c4,000$1,760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,2402045%9 W · 11 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-18.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x52b4…34a8backed Over44c4,000$1,760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,24019651.5%101 W · 95 L+0.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid+2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xef38…ae8cbacked Over47c4,000$1,880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,120757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+21.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xedf0…1e2abacked Under53c3,989$2,114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,1142740.7%11 W · 16 L-3.3wins-0.12per pick53cpaid-23.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3f2f…be86backed Over46c3,751$1,725 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,025.4450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+21.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd68…90efbacked Over47c3,277$1,540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,736.811100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2eed…85a9backed Over45c3,229$1,453 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,775.891650%8 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb820…cbe7backed Over46c3,195$1,470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,725.34761.7%29 W · 18 L+3.8wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+21.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over44c3,094$1,362 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,731.8475852.5%398 W · 360 L+21.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1e33…afb3backed Under59c2,712$1,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,6005939%23 W · 36 L-9.4wins-0.16per pick55cpaid-34.3%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x50be…371bbacked Under56c2,500$1,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4003557.1%20 W · 15 L+2.3wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb9fc…da76backed Under56c2,500$1,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,40019240.1%77 W · 115 L-16.2wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-21.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5976…b3d4backed Over44c2,225$979 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2463727%10 W · 27 L-2.2wins-0.06per pick33cpaid-40.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Over49c2,155$1,054 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,100.5973651.2%377 W · 359 L+25.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4bb2…a656backed Over47c2,125$999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,126.5114035%49 W · 91 L-12.0wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-23.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x78f7…2c5dbacked Over48c2,065$991 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,073.645860.3%35 W · 23 L+3.9wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+18.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Under54c2,032$1,105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,105.465048.3%314 W · 336 L-0.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x936f…d171backed Over44c2,000$880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1202152.4%11 W · 10 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x77a3…0e3fbacked Under54c1,852$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0004348.8%21 W · 22 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over44c1,808$805 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,003.581,06551.3%546 W · 519 L+25.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Over48c1,799$863 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$935.3721254.2%115 W · 97 L+5.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa315…cabbbacked Over44c1,769$781 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$987.7428447.5%135 W · 149 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2418…66c8backed Under53c1,720$912 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$911.672334.8%8 W · 15 L-2.3wins-0.10per pick45cpaid-25.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb583…b0b3backed Over45c1,613$726 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$886.882850%14 W · 14 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over43c1,426$613 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$812.6783147.8%397 W · 434 L+13.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over49c1,374$671 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$702.7350242.4%213 W · 289 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xce2b…08fabacked Under57c1,316$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7507850%39 W · 39 L-3.6wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-9.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe403…3d50backed Over46c1,246$573 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$673.097143.7%31 W · 40 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Under56c1,235$691 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$691.3454451.7%281 W · 263 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8289…2b2ebacked Over46c1,232$567 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$665.532955.2%16 W · 13 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Under56c1,230$689 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$688.826649.6%132 W · 134 L+0.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda75…bbf9backed Under57c1,053$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6005341.5%22 W · 31 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e15…53fabacked Over44c1,011$445 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$566.36560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+19%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7cc1…fdc6backed Over45c1,000$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5501154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.13per pick41cpaid+30.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7b47…d615backed Under52c999.98$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$519.992740.7%11 W · 16 L-2.8wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-24.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x53c0…3f90backed Under57c946.28$539 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$539.38520%1 W · 4 L-2.0wins-0.39per pick59cpaid-75%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Over44c817$359 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$457.5214366.4%95 W · 48 L+13.0wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+16.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xbb43…9d70backed Under37c815.24$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30011744.4%52 W · 65 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa742…68c5backed Over44c681.83$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$381.82540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-29.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Over47c670$315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$354.9953348.4%258 W · 275 L+1.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x14bd…1c4cbacked Under56c651.17$366 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$365.6110%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde18…83bcbacked Over49c612.24$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.24633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-32%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Under15c564.04$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.6164747.3%306 W · 341 L+42.5wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+56.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7851…d471backed Under56c500$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279.7114151.8%73 W · 68 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3da4…28d7backed Over44c475.54$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.31957.9%11 W · 8 L+1.8wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+20.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc7d2…8bd3backed Under22c461$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x35de…b39abacked Over44c454.55$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.5520143.3%87 W · 114 L+0.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb8c2…a50ebacked Under56c446.43$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2503863.2%24 W · 14 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+30.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc29d…3352backed Over71c420$298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.82556%14 W · 11 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-11%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Over48c416.67$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.6720443.6%89 W · 115 L-7.9wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-6.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb871…9f15backed Under53c400$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2127533.3%25 W · 50 L-8.2wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-27.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1ba4…d0cfbacked Under57c397.37$226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226.5475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.20per pick55cpaid+38.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x260c…7130backed Over44c368.18$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.189135.2%32 W · 59 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick32cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe922…39b3backed Under56c357.14$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20016351.5%84 W · 79 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x57b9…e9b4backed Over44c340.91$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.9110547.6%50 W · 55 L-3.4wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf2d9…0092backed Over45c340.53$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.296246.8%29 W · 33 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x019e…af1dbacked Over45c333$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.155343.4%23 W · 30 L-4.0wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-4.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x61a1…6657backed Over44c326.71$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.961450%7 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe9ea…ee32backed Over46c326.09$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.091080%8 W · 2 L+4.2wins+0.42per pick38cpaid+104%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x412f…30fabacked Over44c313$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.282552%13 W · 12 L+0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce26…8e06backed Under56c300$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1688345.8%38 W · 45 L-5.6wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-14.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdfc1…818dbacked Over49c293$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.4320238.6%78 W · 124 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-20.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed Under56c286$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.1630442.4%129 W · 175 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xfcfe…d420backed Over46c280.52$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.5215855.7%88 W · 70 L+5.9wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+11.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3230…1409backed Over80c272.99$218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.6366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick75cpaid-13.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa717…8919backed Under57c234$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.3811047.3%52 W · 58 L-7.4wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-13.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd1a8…1b66backed Under55c228$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.45954.2%32 W · 27 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+11%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1841…c63dbacked Over46c217.39$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.393743.2%16 W · 21 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb376…f6a0backed Over44c211.93$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.686647%31 W · 35 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5cbf…82abbacked Over48c208.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.332236.4%8 W · 14 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-21.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x945a…a48cbacked Under6c205.41$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.341444.9%7 W · 137 L-10.8wins-0.07per pick12cpaid-71.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb0cd…b74cbacked Under17c203.33$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.219124.6%47 W · 144 L-11.8wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-25.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8214…ef72backed Under53c200$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1068350.6%42 W · 41 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.