NFL · resolved market

Rams vs. Panthers: O/U 50.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x48bbbfd941989f76c149f4cd9947d92d533bf07e78eb2a1baee5f86fccba0321

Rebuilt 2 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Overof Over, Under
Resolved: Jan 10, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $7,173
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $7,877

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,173 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NFL
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xdc87…7ab6backed Over	56c	2,411$1,350 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,061.01	120	55.8%67 W · 53 L	+9.0wins	+0.08per pick	48cpaid	+15%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x500f…94bfbacked Under	44c	2,268$998 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$998.07	10	40%4 W · 6 L	-1.5wins	-0.15per pick	55cpaid	-27.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x128a…f49ebacked Under	42c	1,500$630 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$630	29	55.2%16 W · 13 L	+0.7wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52b4…34a8backed Over	58c	1,441$836 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$605.3	196	51.5%101 W · 95 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf0ac…4ec7backed Over	33c	455.43$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$305.45	276	33.3%92 W · 184 L	-1.5wins	-0.01per pick	34cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Over	49c	420.17$208 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$212.25	736	51.2%377 W · 359 L	+25.9wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7f1a…cee8backed Under	51c	392.26$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-1.3wins	-0.22per pick	22cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf28e…cab2backed Under	52c	292.25$152 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$151.97	50	42%21 W · 29 L	-3.1wins	-0.06per pick	48cpaid	-28.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0203…270dbacked Over	38c	264.61$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$164.61	34	38.2%13 W · 21 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb9fc…da76backed Under	65c	249.99$162 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$162.49	192	40.1%77 W · 115 L	-16.2wins	-0.08per pick	49cpaid	-21.5%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe6a5…e95dbacked Under	44c	227.27$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	13	38.5%5 W · 8 L	-1.6wins	-0.13per pick	51cpaid	-33.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc9c8…44fbbacked Under	62c	209.61$130 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$129.96	148	37.2%55 W · 93 L	+1.8wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	-13.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf36f…e5b8backed Under	67c	149.68$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	55	43.6%24 W · 31 L	-2.6wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x740b…1d47backed Under	67c	149.25$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	105	48.6%51 W · 54 L	-4.2wins	-0.04per pick	53cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6f01…cbc2backed Over	35c	142.86$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$92.86	15	66.7%10 W · 5 L	+4.4wins	+0.29per pick	38cpaid	+69%equal weight	62+0.11 edge/pick
0x8532…738bbacked Over	35c	134.81$47 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$87.63	119	46.2%55 W · 64 L	-5.9wins	-0.05per pick	51cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe02f…669fbacked Under	18c	103.66$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.66	49	20.4%10 W · 39 L	+1.7wins	+0.03per pick	17cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1787…c311backed Under	67c	92.9$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62	112	60.7%68 W · 44 L	+10.3wins	+0.09per pick	51cpaid	+21.8%equal weight	58+0.08 edge/pick
0xa09e…d061backed Under	67c	89.55$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	6	50%3 W · 3 L	-0.8wins	-0.13per pick	63cpaid	-10.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd2e5…ebeabacked Over	67c	86.57$58 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.14	196	51.5%101 W · 95 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x40a7…ecb7backed Under	51c	70$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.65	58	50%29 W · 29 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Under	40c	67.45$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.94	108	58.3%63 W · 45 L	+4.6wins	+0.04per pick	54cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6f96…87f3backed Under	68c	58.82$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	28	25%7 W · 21 L	-4.4wins	-0.16per pick	41cpaid	-34.4%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Under	52c	50$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26	62	38.7%24 W · 38 L	-2.6wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-20.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x396a…d87ebacked Over	54c	42.14$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.39	14	78.6%11 W · 3 L	+4.8wins	+0.34per pick	45cpaid	+94.7%equal weight	64+0.12 edge/pick
0x4fb3…05e5backed Over	35c	37.14$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.14	87	33.3%29 W · 58 L	-2.6wins	-0.03per pick	36cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Under	68c	33.13$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.53	65	70.8%46 W · 19 L	+11.6wins	+0.18per pick	53cpaid	+35.2%equal weight	64+0.13 edge/pick
0xc42c…42a1backed Under	65c	31$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.15	45	55.6%25 W · 20 L	+0.8wins	+0.02per pick	54cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under	45c	24.24$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.93	149	52.3%78 W · 71 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x973f…72ccbacked Over	62c	20$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.56	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-19.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Rams vs. Panthers: O/U 50.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event