TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xf664…c89b

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
69
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: Premier League, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Premier League at 58 out of 100; worst Tennis at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT2055%11 W · 9 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick49cpaid-12.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.07
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.37
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.65
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$117.59
Will Paraguay be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.62
Will Croatia reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$5.04
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.19
Will Paraguay reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.84
Will Paraguay be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+46.6%+$9.22
DR Congo vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+59.7%+$12.12
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+93.9%+$15.2
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$555Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$147.58
Ecuador vs. Germany: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+50.8%+$12.01
Belgium vs. IR Iran: O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.4
IR Iran vs. New Zealand: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$12.99
Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$8.99
Will Bahrain vs. Syria end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+55.9%+$46.94
Will Denmark vs. Ukraine end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.98
Will Denmark qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$53.16
Will Turkey qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+50.3%+$9.56
All 20 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT1546.7%7 W · 8 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-25.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.15
Will Denmark win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.79
Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.27
Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.1
Will Cyprus be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+31.5%+$9.38
Will Denmark be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+120.3%+$13.66
Will Italy be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.59
Will Bulgaria be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.76
Will Finland be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.46
Will Israel be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+42.2%+$17.05
Will Luxembourg advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+81.6%+$9.99
Will Belgium advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+92.4%+$13.97
Will Georgia advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+28%+$13.86
Will San Marino advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+26.3%+$6.9
Will Kautkaili win Supernova 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$17.76
All 15 picks, newest first.
Tennislast resolved Aug 25, 2026, EDT1010%1 W · 9 L-1.6wins-0.16per pick26cpaid-71.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Tennis — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Carbajal vs. Cosano: Match O/U 21.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.04
Carbajal vs. Cosano: Match O/U 23.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.15
Monterrey Open, Qualification: Maya Joint vs Jessica Hinojosabacked Jessica Hinojosa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.84
Mayar Sherif vs. Paula Badosa: Total Sets O/U 2.5backed Under 2.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.19
Hamburg European Open: Katarzyna Kawa vs Paula Badosabacked Katarzyna Kawa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$124Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$123.78
Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.99
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+184.4%+$99.87
Casper Ruud vs. Roman Safiullin: Total Sets O/U 4.5backed Under 4.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.63
Sao Leopoldo: Felipe Meligeni Alves vs Joaquin Aguilarbacked Joaquin Aguilar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.96
Chile Open: Alejandro Tabilo vs Tomas Barriosbacked Barrios · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$13.06
All 10 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 25, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.15per pick42cpaid+103.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Movies — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+2.1wins+0.68per pick32cpaid+369.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 17, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+171.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+246.2%+$117.45
Will Juventus advance to the round of 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+96.1%+$27.82
All 2 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+133.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+193.5%+$23.29
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+73.3%+$22.46
All 2 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+45.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+32%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2last resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-15.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$19.88
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.89
All 2 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 2, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.86per pick14cpaid+626.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Getafe CF win on 2026-03-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+626.2%+$63.39
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.78per pick22cpaid+353.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Nuggets vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+353.2%+$71.31
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.64per pick36cpaid+177.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-01-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+177.8%+$18.29
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Toulouse FC win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.48
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.