Fifa International · resolved market
Will Bahrain vs. Syria end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x72cc7de505e6aa50f14270a8768a140f8e2938c1ea154a346f3b74b9285b104a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $540,823
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $605,444
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $540,823 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 77 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed No | 2c | 109,272$2,053 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,052.74 | 548 | 59.5%326 W · 222 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 3c | 64,914$1,671 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,671.27 | 656 | 51.7%339 W · 317 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0763…dc47backed No | 0c | 63,110$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.11 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe032…410ebacked No | 1c | 46,895$654 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$654.03 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +135%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa374…9709backed No | 3c | 40,000$1,382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,382.25 | 144 | 33.3%48 W · 96 L | -8.7wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x401e…6fc9backed Yes | 78c | 11,467$8,892 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,574.65 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed No | 3c | 9,538$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.13 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf15b…000fbacked No | 2c | 6,500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 116 | 42.2%49 W · 67 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked No | 1c | 6,468$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.05 | 170 | 5.9%10 W · 160 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x511f…cbe1backed No | 4c | 5,738$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.35 | 219 | 58%127 W · 92 L | +13.4wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad89…f6e1backed Yes | 63c | 5,250$3,298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,952.14 | 61 | 55.7%34 W · 27 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b5…9db1backed No | 4c | 4,596$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.49 | 199 | 39.7%79 W · 120 L | -7.2wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed No | 50c | 3,724$1,852 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,851.67 | 438 | 35.8%157 W · 281 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94d4…d869backed No | 37c | 3,407$1,268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,268.1 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 4c | 3,334$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.03 | 484 | 38.2%185 W · 299 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x822b…61fdbacked No | 7c | 3,217$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.21 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | +8.5wins | +0.25per pick | 40cpaid | +60.8%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a6…1507backed No | 3c | 2,736$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.07 | 104 | 44.2%46 W · 58 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 45c | 1,945$883 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$883.07 | 2,793 | 46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e72…ffb9backed No | 8c | 1,870$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.77 | 326 | 39%127 W · 199 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb79…8e65backed No | 3c | 1,841$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5039…946dbacked Yes | 49c | 1,821$894 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$927.06 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked No | 40c | 1,639$655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$655.06 | 1,492 | 41%612 W · 880 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed No | 2c | 1,599$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.64 | 343 | 30%103 W · 240 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef3f…25e9backed No | 2c | 1,533$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd717…3b85backed No | 10c | 1,402$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.54 | 363 | 35.8%130 W · 233 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30a0…a458backed No | 3c | 1,300$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | +5.1wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…b7f1backed No | 7c | 1,258$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.12 | 351 | 36.8%129 W · 222 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5005…bcb1backed No | 2c | 1,257$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.86 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4afc…ded7backed No | 2c | 1,239$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.54 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 2c | 1,237$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.13 | 376 | 44.9%169 W · 207 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69f0…fb27backed No | 11c | 1,212$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.65 | 350 | 35.7%125 W · 225 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked No | 2c | 1,200$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.34 | 609 | 8.4%51 W · 558 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x005e…6d8ebacked No | 10c | 1,138$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.87 | 361 | 39.1%141 W · 220 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed No | 29c | 1,118$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.08 | 607 | 52.4%318 W · 289 L | +21.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb68…e362backed No | 10c | 1,067$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.11 | 342 | 38.6%132 W · 210 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16c7…22cdbacked No | 11c | 1,033$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.78 | 344 | 38.4%132 W · 212 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf417…b1bebacked No | 6c | 1,024$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.39 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -55.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed No | 26c | 925$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.56 | 390 | 39%152 W · 238 L | -12.2wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e9…67ffbacked Yes | 73c | 856.74$625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.2 | 38 | 65.8%25 W · 13 L | +4.9wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…c2d5backed No | 10c | 790.1$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.14 | 335 | 38.8%130 W · 205 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8b…2512backed No | 7c | 780.67$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.68 | 332 | 37.3%124 W · 208 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0ca…35f7backed No | 4c | 744.83$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.4 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +6.6wins | +0.28per pick | 43cpaid | +65.7%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x04db…f0fdbacked No | 1c | 716.93$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3653…ef74backed No | 9c | 689.08$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.49 | 340 | 35%119 W · 221 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa328…4977backed No | 3c | 634.4$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.02 | 182 | 46.2%84 W · 98 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9e5…753abacked Yes | 47c | 595.18$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.17 | 43 | 32.6%14 W · 29 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | +46.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x73af…b880backed Yes | 50c | 555$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.5 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d5b…6c2abacked No | 19c | 500$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.75 | 47 | 63.8%30 W · 17 L | +4.3wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 11c | 440$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.12 | 208 | 62%129 W · 79 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed No | 2c | 433.33$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.31 | 681 | 41.1%280 W · 401 L | -16.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed No | 17c | 411.57$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.47 | 379 | 50.1%190 W · 189 L | -12.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked No | 66c | 300$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 1,204 | 48.9%589 W · 615 L | +18.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6834…3e15backed No | 7c | 268.75$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.72 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked No | 63c | 230$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.85 | 1,669 | 41.6%694 W · 975 L | +15.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe347…b438backed No | 23c | 226.11$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.19 | 151 | 58.3%88 W · 63 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…7b02backed No | 12c | 212$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.94 | 339 | 37.5%127 W · 212 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe040…824fbacked No | 32c | 180$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.7 | 159 | 47.8%76 W · 83 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c2…7da2backed No | 19c | 178.95$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf664…c89bbacked Yes | 64c | 130.92$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.94 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x946b…7277backed No | 19c | 130.53$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.8 | 65 | 18.5%12 W · 53 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked No | 12c | 111.02$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.13 | 345 | 54.2%187 W · 158 L | +17.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x87a2…2250backed Yes | 56c | 105.7$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.55 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0fc…b09fbacked No | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +51.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f14…ca5abacked Yes | 71c | 84.58$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.34 | 709 | 48.9%347 W · 362 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26fe…41debacked Yes | 51c | 82.04$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.47 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.2wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +65.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x610a…c83bbacked Yes | 50c | 65.71$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.56 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +33%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8987…02f3backed No | 62c | 62.94$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.93 | 143 | 42.7%61 W · 82 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…b57fbacked Yes | 71c | 59.17$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.98 | 198 | 62.1%123 W · 75 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0dc…0030backed No | 59c | 55.11$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.73 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.8wins | -0.22per pick | 60cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x446d…a0b2backed Yes | 66c | 46$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.49 | 72 | 69.4%50 W · 22 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef53…f599backed Yes | 63c | 40.01$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.64 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +42.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…7f72backed No | 64c | 39.99$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.6 | 137 | 45.3%62 W · 75 L | -14.9wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3cb7…943ebacked Yes | 50c | 39.86$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.94 | 90 | 53.3%48 W · 42 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8490…ac46backed Yes | 68c | 29.34$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.34 | 82 | 46.3%38 W · 44 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdff0…5865backed Yes | 53c | 27.6$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6994…eed0backed Yes | 48c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.95 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bae…7e8cbacked Yes | 70c | 14.35$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bahrain vs. Syria end in a draw?this page
- Will Bahrain win on 2026-06-09?No won
- Will Syria win on 2026-06-09?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.