Fifa International · resolved market
Will Bahrain win on 2026-06-09?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfde79c182bca2f6ebc09340514956057a218e6e17f8e038e1030ffbcb8ae2903
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $417,616
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $374,619
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $417,616 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa374…9709backed Yes | 3c | 151,368$4,661 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,661.5 | 144 | 33.3%48 W · 96 L | -8.7wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 1c | 54,558$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$554.58 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0763…dc47backed Yes | 2c | 13,113$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed Yes | 1c | 12,066$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.6 | 548 | 59.5%326 W · 222 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc376…6850backed Yes | 3c | 9,192$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.14per pick | 37cpaid | -70%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfb6…f90bbacked No | 51c | 8,931$4,555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,376.28 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8893…be06backed Yes | 49c | 8,931$4,376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,376.28 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2bac…3ce7backed Yes | 2c | 8,122$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.03 | 59 | 23.7%14 W · 45 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | +73.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a02…8773backed Yes | 1c | 7,921$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed Yes | 0c | 7,807$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.42 | 333 | 50.5%168 W · 165 L | +24.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa3f0…9384backed Yes | 2c | 7,169$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe77…8fe4backed Yes | 18c | 5,880$1,038 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,038 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf417…b1bebacked Yes | 3c | 4,945$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.58 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -55.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked Yes | 0c | 4,932$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 170 | 5.9%10 W · 160 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x648f…fc85backed Yes | 9c | 3,760$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.8 | 81 | 25.9%21 W · 60 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c1c…1634backed Yes | 1c | 3,410$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 22cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4b2…3d80backed Yes | 1c | 3,170$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.9 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef81…1a9ebacked Yes | 2c | 2,950$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.29 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x189d…5561backed Yes | 5c | 2,595$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf93…64cebacked Yes | 16c | 2,550$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f92…520fbacked Yes | 2c | 2,425$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -3.4wins | -0.26per pick | 42cpaid | -75.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x22aa…b4e1backed Yes | 1c | 1,884$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x256f…2fa5backed Yes | 4c | 1,815$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.17 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160d…6f25backed Yes | 1c | 1,651$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.05 | 783 | 17.4%136 W · 647 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed Yes | 18c | 1,533$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.48 | 607 | 52.4%318 W · 289 L | +21.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Yes | 1c | 1,500$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 681 | 41.1%280 W · 401 L | -16.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cff…937fbacked Yes | 1c | 1,340$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Yes | 18c | 1,293$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.85 | 2,793 | 46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe67d…262cbacked Yes | 2c | 1,251$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.01 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes | 1c | 1,199$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.83 | 609 | 8.4%51 W · 558 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Yes | 2c | 1,111$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.08 | 512 | 50.4%258 W · 254 L | +31.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed Yes | 15c | 1,099$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.58 | 379 | 50.1%190 W · 189 L | -12.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc304…6a21backed Yes | 8c | 977.97$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.14 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f2…0ff7backed No | 62c | 971.27$603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.11 | 92 | 47.8%44 W · 48 L | +18.5wins | +0.20per pick | 28cpaid | +50.2%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x8718…a6ffbacked Yes | 1c | 898.69$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3cc…f15bbacked Yes | 2c | 894.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x91d7…0dfcbacked Yes | 2c | 649$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 585 | 30.9%181 W · 404 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -28%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f7c…7a19backed Yes | 2c | 618.2$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 189 | 43.4%82 W · 107 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc435…2494backed Yes | 2c | 603.83$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +5.1wins | +0.14per pick | 39cpaid | +33%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x30a0…a458backed Yes | 5c | 600$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.1 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | +5.1wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3539…e5d4backed Yes | 2c | 586.14$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7331…9679backed Yes | 13c | 549.99$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd44…1e6ebacked Yes | 2c | 526.32$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 48 | 68.8%33 W · 15 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5039…946dbacked Yes | 42c | 478.19$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.39 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8328…feb3backed Yes | 7c | 445.32$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 82 | 48.8%40 W · 42 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7265…7685backed Yes | 6c | 434.47$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94d4…d869backed Yes | 26c | 329.41$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.67 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Yes | 29c | 328.91$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.04 | 438 | 35.8%157 W · 281 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9f5…3e7abacked Yes | 29c | 316.69$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.69 | 115 | 58.3%67 W · 48 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x946b…7277backed Yes | 16c | 309.52$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.3 | 65 | 18.5%12 W · 53 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked No | 57c | 300$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129 | 1,204 | 48.9%589 W · 615 L | +18.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c2…7da2backed Yes | 17c | 299.53$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ce9…61c1backed Yes | 17c | 260$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9e5…753abacked Yes | 46c | 207.86$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.88 | 43 | 32.6%14 W · 29 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | +46.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Yes | 31c | 197.56$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.91 | 1,669 | 41.6%694 W · 975 L | +15.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8987…02f3backed No | 54c | 166.13$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.03 | 143 | 42.7%61 W · 82 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Yes | 20c | 118$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.68 | 1,492 | 41%612 W · 880 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0fc…b09fbacked Yes | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.35 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +51.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8728…0882backed Yes | 42c | 75$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.75 | 426 | 40.1%171 W · 255 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Yes | 37c | 39.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.55 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8968…c3c1backed No | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.05 | 235 | 52.8%124 W · 111 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bahrain win on 2026-06-09?this page
- Will Bahrain vs. Syria end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Syria win on 2026-06-09?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.