Movies · resolved market
Will Amber Morrison and Jordan Faeth marry by the end of Love is Blind: Season 10?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd42fffca4bac45871b8dc8b80523d9fce7eea427ae354dc2247ee2de1a80fd95
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Moviesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,124
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,359
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,124 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Movies is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Movies | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x73af…b880backed Yes | 55c | 3,218$1,757 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,461.65 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +5.1wins | +0.20per pick | 48cpaid | +102.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xad89…f6e1backed No | 45c | 1,525$687 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$686.98 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -2.5wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +45.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xafb8…f956backed Yes | 73c | 680$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186 | 18 | 100%18 W · 0 L | +6.5wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +60.1%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed No | 3c | 465.16$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.47 | 211 | 9.5%20 W · 191 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e49…fb01backed No | 47c | 425.53$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…f17abacked No | 22c | 400$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +2.8wins | +0.19per pick | 28cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed No | 35c | 268.89$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.11 | 1,218 | 17.8%217 W · 1,001 L | -124.0wins | -0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x07e2…0f06backed No | 45c | 205$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.35 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf948…0931backed No | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -8.8wins | -0.49per pick | 60cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 27-0.20 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…f9d1backed No | 47c | 71.49$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.6 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -5.9wins | -0.35per pick | 47cpaid | -59.3%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x56a8…3639backed No | 47c | 53$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82d0…60a1backed No | 47c | 47.57$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef53…f599backed No | 45c | 45.02$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.36 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -3.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xaa3c…61e2backed No | 45c | 35.04$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.87 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 34cpaid | +70%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf664…c89bbacked No | 45c | 26.54$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.15per pick | 42cpaid | +103.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa190…c7b0backed No | 45c | 24.43$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x412f…019dbacked No | 45c | 24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -6.1wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Movies and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Amber Morrison and Jordan Faeth marry by the end of Love is Blind: Season 10?this page
- Will Ashley Carpenter and Alex Henderson marry by the end of Love is Blind: Season 10?No won
- Will Bri McNees and Connor Spies marry by the end of Love is Blind: Season 10?No won
- Will Brittany Wicker and Devo Anderson marry by the end of Love is Blind: Season 10?No won
- Will Christine Hamilton and Victor St. John marry by the end of Love is Blind: Season 10?Yes won
- Will Emma Betsinger and Mike Gibney marry by the end of Love is Blind: Season 10?No won
- Will Jessica Barrett and Chris Fusco marry by the end of Love is Blind: Season 10?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.