TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Sao Leopoldo: Felipe Meligeni Alves vs Joaquin Aguilar

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Felipe Meligeni Alvesof Felipe Meligeni Alves, Joaquin Aguilar
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$92,629
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$102,635

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $92,629 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 77 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0813…8e62backed Joaquin Aguilar0c18,801$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.82445.8%11 W · 13 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-34.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe4d3…c2f0backed Felipe Meligeni Alves69c11,128$7,681 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,446.8833556.7%190 W · 145 L-27.7wins-0.08per pick65cpaid-15.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xaa08…d98abacked Felipe Meligeni Alves24c10,130$2,468 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,661.425661.3%157 W · 99 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick61cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Joaquin Aguilar32c9,072$2,871 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,870.632,74630.8%846 W · 1,900 L-67.1wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-36.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x86c8…c867backed Felipe Meligeni Alves35c5,232$1,806 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,426.3749752.3%260 W · 237 L+28.9wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+34.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Joaquin Aguilar23c3,666$827 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$826.6611,66643.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L+22.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7df9…3a84backed Joaquin Aguilar22c3,430$746 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$746.19450%2 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.20per pick30cpaid+45.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Joaquin Aguilar59c3,267$1,919 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,918.687,01843.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L+124.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Felipe Meligeni Alves33c2,362$787 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,574.774,47451.7%2,311 W · 2,163 L+133.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+0.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xad89…f6e1backed Joaquin Aguilar15c1,939$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$284.825117.6%9 W · 42 L-3.0wins-0.06per pick23cpaid-63.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Felipe Meligeni Alves77c1,611$1,245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$365.392,42647.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb831…f31cbacked Felipe Meligeni Alves39c1,395$544 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$850.553661.1%22 W · 14 L+4.9wins+0.14per pick47cpaid+27.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe3e4…8087backed Joaquin Aguilar5c953.38$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.986328.6%18 W · 45 L-5.4wins-0.09per pick37cpaid-43.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfb03…1a23backed Joaquin Aguilar6c943.43$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.934833.3%16 W · 32 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick37cpaid+64.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Felipe Meligeni Alves75c771.76$577 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.872,98239.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L-109.1wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-30.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2c89…526abacked Felipe Meligeni Alves38c667.57$254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$413.3824638.2%94 W · 152 L+7.4wins+0.03per pick35cpaid-3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf664…c89bbacked Joaquin Aguilar8c578.21$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.961010%1 W · 9 L-1.6wins-0.16per pick26cpaid-71.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Felipe Meligeni Alves73c537.9$393 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.371,00846%464 W · 544 L-19.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-19.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9086…4d46backed Felipe Meligeni Alves37c520.11$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$327.671,85348.4%897 W · 956 L-32.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x36f7…d106backed Joaquin Aguilar23c499.98$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11512227%33 W · 89 L+5.6wins+0.05per pick22cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0e70…bb75backed Joaquin Aguilar4c494.76$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.79580%4 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.20per pick60cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Joaquin Aguilar33c433.66$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.518,24145.5%3,746 W · 4,495 L+166.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b64…a351backed Felipe Meligeni Alves73c410.28$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.2235268.2%240 W · 112 L-0.5wins0.00per pick68cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Joaquin Aguilar28c347.33$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.47,18349.7%3,568 W · 3,615 L+112.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x099f…c1e1backed Joaquin Aguilar31c345.94$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.9795846.6%446 W · 512 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x83c5…e193backed Joaquin Aguilar51c314.77$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.441315.4%2 W · 11 L-2.3wins-0.18per pick33cpaid-54.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x363e…ae45backed Felipe Meligeni Alves65c312.59$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.1511650.9%59 W · 57 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x328f…efe2backed Felipe Meligeni Alves80c305.19$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.041323.1%3 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick28cpaid-44.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Joaquin Aguilar26c301.36$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.373,88435%1,358 W · 2,526 L+92.8wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9694…b7adbacked Felipe Meligeni Alves68c300$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$962,05859.5%1,225 W · 833 L-1.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Joaquin Aguilar22c279.85$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.533,27013.8%450 W · 2,820 L-549.1wins-0.17per pick31cpaid-57.4%equal weight31-0.17 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked Felipe Meligeni Alves77c271.19$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.8473745.2%333 W · 404 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8816…7738backed Felipe Meligeni Alves38c253.37$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.091,12350.3%565 W · 558 L-19.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x87a2…2250backed Joaquin Aguilar8c207.89$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.81513.3%2 W · 13 L-2.5wins-0.16per pick30cpaid-65.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfcf3…f535backed Felipe Meligeni Alves80c206.47$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.295343.4%23 W · 30 L-3.7wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-20.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Felipe Meligeni Alves72c191.94$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.212,48945.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L-27.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-21.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Joaquin Aguilar20c188.4$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.6848453.7%260 W · 224 L+6.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4722…2abfbacked Felipe Meligeni Alves15c176$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.19944.4%4 W · 5 L+3.0wins+0.33per pick11cpaid+207.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x8f18…9aa7backed Felipe Meligeni Alves10c171$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.91030%3 W · 7 L+2.0wins+0.20per pick10cpaid+116.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf9ef…20ebbacked Felipe Meligeni Alves63c160$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.41,24551.9%646 W · 599 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Joaquin Aguilar28c159$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.991,80943.8%793 W · 1,016 L-2.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd038…8f51backed Joaquin Aguilar24c152.18$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.34,28840.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L-139.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3b14…5301backed Joaquin Aguilar23c142.25$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.711325.7%29 W · 84 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-40.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Felipe Meligeni Alves71c141.86$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.436,84048.8%3,341 W · 3,499 L+58.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc6c7…cb87backed Joaquin Aguilar38c135.75$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.593756.8%21 W · 16 L-2.8wins-0.08per pick64cpaid-11%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Joaquin Aguilar56c124.58$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.274,65048.2%2,242 W · 2,408 L+31.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Joaquin Aguilar20c121.45$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.291,13250.3%569 W · 563 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe36…9413backed Felipe Meligeni Alves67c82.46$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.3231358.5%183 W · 130 L-0.4wins0.00per pick59cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x99f7…1a59backed Felipe Meligeni Alves16c80$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.269438%264 W · 430 L+21.0wins+0.03per pick35cpaid-2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xacb4…7595backed Joaquin Aguilar43c71.83$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.619246.7%43 W · 49 L-4.3wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-15.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5f79…adddbacked Felipe Meligeni Alves70c71.43$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.4315374.5%114 W · 39 L+6.9wins+0.05per pick70cpaid+6.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x60a2…7a1fbacked Felipe Meligeni Alves75c66.67$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.6718478.8%145 W · 39 L+7.0wins+0.04per pick75cpaid+5.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9d94…3f92backed Felipe Meligeni Alves80c62.5$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.522482.6%185 W · 39 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick80cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x021c…b735backed Felipe Meligeni Alves72c60.7$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17977.8%7 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick70cpaid+13.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed Joaquin Aguilar46c60.33$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.862,13556%1,195 W · 940 L+41.0wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Joaquin Aguilar52c57.06$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.956,65250.7%3,373 W · 3,279 L+263.6wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfe47…a4b1backed Felipe Meligeni Alves46c44.51$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.048951.7%46 W · 43 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a3a…f788backed Joaquin Aguilar27c40$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.65944.1%26 W · 33 L-4.9wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-19.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xcbbc…2b70backed Felipe Meligeni Alves66c40$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.639941.9%167 W · 232 L+13.6wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc187…7ac1backed Joaquin Aguilar59c39.99$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.5915261.2%93 W · 59 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x96bc…d2b5backed Felipe Meligeni Alves51c38.06$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.6541668%283 W · 133 L+23.6wins+0.06per pick62cpaid+8.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xec8d…dd71backed Joaquin Aguilar30c35$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.4821638%82 W · 134 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x42c9…9623backed Joaquin Aguilar40c31.04$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.44,76049.6%2,361 W · 2,399 L+176.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2488…ff0ebacked Felipe Meligeni Alves47c28.08$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.8848650.6%246 W · 240 L+7.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-1.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Felipe Meligeni Alves70c28.06$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.422,56163%1,613 W · 948 L-10.2wins0.00per pick63cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked Joaquin Aguilar50c27.45$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.7840048.5%194 W · 206 L-1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-12.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb64f…c3a9backed Felipe Meligeni Alves62c25$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.54055%22 W · 18 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+10.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x907d…2c9bbacked Felipe Meligeni Alves79c23$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.8317761%108 W · 69 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick60cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9f28…d173backed Felipe Meligeni Alves80c21$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.243067%288 W · 142 L+13.3wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x400d…e759backed Felipe Meligeni Alves69c20.68$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.4160856.6%344 W · 264 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x94bb…c320backed Joaquin Aguilar73c20.54$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.9912548%60 W · 65 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-6.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xc74d…9690backed Felipe Meligeni Alves71c20$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.829039.3%114 W · 176 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3713…1b94backed Joaquin Aguilar63c19.55$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.271323.1%3 W · 10 L-2.9wins-0.22per pick45cpaid-38.6%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x7133…69d6backed Joaquin Aguilar57c19.48$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.114637%17 W · 29 L-4.4wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-31.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xbb7c…3a5bbacked Felipe Meligeni Alves58c18.12$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.5815248.7%74 W · 78 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-11.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9620…5052backed Felipe Meligeni Alves60c16.67$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.679562.1%59 W · 36 L+7.7wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+12.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8968…c3c1backed Felipe Meligeni Alves77c13.51$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.0722153.4%118 W · 103 L+4.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.