TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0e70…bb75

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
121
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Weather, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Weather at 54 out of 100; worst CS2 at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Weatherlast resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT7444.6%33 W · 41 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+19%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Weather — the 74 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on August 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.78
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+156.6%+$70.8
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on August 18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+26.9%+$8.74
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on August 18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+70.8%+$8.92
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on August 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.44
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.8
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on August 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+33.8%+$8.09
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on August 14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$15.24
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on August 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.98
Will Typhoon Dolphin be a "Typhoon" at Japan landfall?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$92.6
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on August 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.6
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on August 13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$41.69
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on August 12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2026, EDT+110.5%+$91.53
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C on August 12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$89.26
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on August 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$74.67
Will Super Typhoon Dolphin hit Japan?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$20.78
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on August 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+600.7%+$118.61
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on August 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$76.62
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$87.97
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on August 4?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+127.1%+$14.87
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on August 3?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$71.11
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on August 3?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+41.5%+$35.81
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+68.4%+$22.65
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.12
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on July 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+223.1%+$159.27
Showing 25 of 74 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 18, 2026, EDT2466.7%16 W · 8 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick62cpaid-4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: T1 vs Karmine Corp - Game 2 Winnerbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+35.8%+$36.55
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Karmine Corp - Game 2 Winnerbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$7.72
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Karmine Corp - Game 1 Winnerbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$282Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$282.18
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$159Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+85.7%+$136.1
LoL: G2 Esports vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$146Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$146.17
LoL: G2 Esports vs Dplus KIA - Game 1 Winnerbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$25.3
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Sentinels - Game 1 Winnerbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$745Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+34%+$253.1
LoL: G2 Esports vs AG.AL (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group Abacked AG.AL · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$128Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+25.9%+$33.02
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group Cbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$420Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+31.9%+$134.12
LoL: Team Secret vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Bbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$279Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+34.6%+$96.47
LoL: Team Secret vs Karmine Corp - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Secret · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+33.4%+$53.58
LoL: LYON vs JD Gaming (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group Dbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$538Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+56.4%+$302.95
LoL: AG.AL vs Dplus KIA (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group Abacked AG.AL · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$570Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+27.6%+$157.74
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
LoL: KT Rolster vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+100%+$50
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
LoL: GIANTX vs Team Heretics - Game 1 Winnerbacked GIANTX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$26.32
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+25%+$26
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$32
LoL: Top Esports vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$32
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$208Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$207.83
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Top Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Phase 2backed Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$32
LoL: G2 Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - First Stand Playoffsbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$498Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+38.7%+$192.58
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO5) - First Stand Playoffsbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+25%+$40
All 24 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.20per pick60cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick31cpaid+57.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick69cpaid+8.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 6, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.35per pick68cpaid-53.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
CS2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.74per pick26cpaid+284.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$74
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$59.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Jul 27, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
IPO — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CXMT’s closing IPO market cap be at least 3.5T yuan?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$8.89
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.80per pick80cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cincinnati Reds vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.85
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.