Tennis · resolved market
Sao Paulo: Santiago Rodriguez Taverna vs Boris Arias
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7df53f0487716b94278ce8fed04c4618367361cc8b65c196bbabc467b82cfddd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Santiago Rodriguez Tavernaof Santiago Rodriguez Taverna, Boris Arias
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $50,139
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $50,139 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 74 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Santiago Rodriguez Taverna | 66c | 13,852$9,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,711.91 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57c8…3d9bbacked Boris Arias | 66c | 6,839$4,537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,536.73 | 190 | 52.1%99 W · 91 L | -12.9wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x027f…472abacked Boris Arias | 15c | 6,014$887 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$887 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa08…d98abacked Boris Arias | 21c | 5,071$1,066 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,066.07 | 249 | 62.2%155 W · 94 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Santiago Rodriguez Taverna | 54c | 4,775$2,591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,183.99 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Boris Arias | 36c | 2,671$949 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$949.35 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Boris Arias | 35c | 1,591$551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$551.21 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d76…9168backed Boris Arias | 56c | 1,356$762 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$762.04 | 375 | 40.8%153 W · 222 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Santiago Rodriguez Taverna | 56c | 1,050$586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.12 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79dc…ca77backed Boris Arias | 8c | 1,030$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.02 | 142 | 25.4%36 W · 106 L | -10.2wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Boris Arias | 59c | 750.39$439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.15 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f35…95dabacked Santiago Rodriguez Taverna | 51c | 695.34$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.26 | 453 | 43.9%199 W · 254 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8191…8a35backed Boris Arias | 56c | 643.33$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.25 | 136 | 41.9%57 W · 79 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Santiago Rodriguez Taverna | 42c | 491.87$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.26 | 1,265 | 29.2%370 W · 895 L | -13.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Boris Arias | 13c | 490.39$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.66 | 1,973 | 46.3%914 W · 1,059 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f8…ae2ebacked Santiago Rodriguez Taverna | 48c | 442.55$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.18 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +205.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Boris Arias | 58c | 426.09$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.51 | 653 | 46.4%303 W · 350 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dec…60c2backed Santiago Rodriguez Taverna | 64c | 390$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.84 | 349 | 50.4%176 W · 173 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Santiago Rodriguez Taverna | 73c | 342.47$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.47 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Santiago Rodriguez Taverna | 62c | 323.69$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.57 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Santiago Rodriguez Taverna | 43c | 295.62$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.67 | 1,130 | 27.9%315 W · 815 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22d2…82d7backed Boris Arias | 37c | 286.08$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.54 | 279 | 40.1%112 W · 167 L | -11.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebf6…c629backed Boris Arias | 53c | 274.73$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.28 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +3.9wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1c86…15c0backed Santiago Rodriguez Taverna | 43c | 233.56$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.56 | 78 | 41%32 W · 46 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed Boris Arias | 13c | 212$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.56 | 25 | 16%4 W · 21 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46ff…6672backed Boris Arias | 13c | 203.87$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 155 | 12.9%20 W · 135 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | +4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Boris Arias | 8c | 200$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.7 | 459 | 9.6%44 W · 415 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70b6…aa2fbacked Boris Arias | 6c | 200$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 57 | 5.3%3 W · 54 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Boris Arias | 37c | 194$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.85 | 2,118 | 55.9%1,185 W · 933 L | +40.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Santiago Rodriguez Taverna | 38c | 165.84$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.52 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Santiago Rodriguez Taverna | 76c | 159.78$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.11 | 958 | 46.6%446 W · 512 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec45…6ba6backed Santiago Rodriguez Taverna | 68c | 142.83$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.47 | 72 | 56.9%41 W · 31 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2488…ff0ebacked Santiago Rodriguez Taverna | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 486 | 50.6%246 W · 240 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Boris Arias | 30c | 125.7$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.86 | 572 | 52.3%299 W · 273 L | +17.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7dca…72a5backed Boris Arias | 12c | 125$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 208 | 47.1%98 W · 110 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Boris Arias | 46c | 122.68$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.92 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Santiago Rodriguez Taverna | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.28 | 275 | 39.6%109 W · 166 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f8c…3d1abacked Santiago Rodriguez Taverna | 43c | 115.35$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.35 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x363e…ae45backed Boris Arias | 43c | 109.95$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.49 | 116 | 50.9%59 W · 57 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd51…ce69backed Santiago Rodriguez Taverna | 55c | 106.94$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.2 | 371 | 56.3%209 W · 162 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5055…b09bbacked Boris Arias | 10c | 100.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91c0…e4ccbacked Santiago Rodriguez Taverna | 44c | 100$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.6 | 515 | 39.8%205 W · 310 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x891f…88bfbacked Santiago Rodriguez Taverna | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.09 | 172 | 60.5%104 W · 68 L | +9.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked Santiago Rodriguez Taverna | 54c | 98.19$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.15 | 2,537 | 53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L | +61.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f6…a5eebacked Boris Arias | 62c | 95.52$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.22 | 599 | 54.9%329 W · 270 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b2…7b9cbacked Boris Arias | 53c | 93.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 155 | 60.6%94 W · 61 L | +15.6wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Santiago Rodriguez Taverna | 43c | 93.02$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.02 | 1,142 | 47.3%540 W · 602 L | +65.6wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…907ebacked Boris Arias | 24c | 89.47$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.62 | 36 | 16.7%6 W · 30 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd866…55e0backed Santiago Rodriguez Taverna | 72c | 85.01$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.52 | 384 | 60.4%232 W · 152 L | +29.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Boris Arias | 13c | 84.23$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xf77c…61cabacked Santiago Rodriguez Taverna | 45c | 72$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.6 | 118 | 46.6%55 W · 63 L | -8.8wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0154…30f7backed Santiago Rodriguez Taverna | 66c | 68.18$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.18 | 524 | 57.4%301 W · 223 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e2a…a58dbacked Santiago Rodriguez Taverna | 41c | 67.58$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.73 | 163 | 69.3%113 W · 50 L | +16.6wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x56cd…2ddcbacked Santiago Rodriguez Taverna | 73c | 67.19$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.19 | 232 | 49.1%114 W · 118 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed Santiago Rodriguez Taverna | 37c | 60$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 601 | 41.1%247 W · 354 L | -11.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa72e…3db9backed Santiago Rodriguez Taverna | 43c | 57.78$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.78 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | +6.0wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +12%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed Boris Arias | 45c | 57$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.51 | 95 | 22.1%21 W · 74 L | -11.7wins | -0.12per pick | 34cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe214…7febbacked Santiago Rodriguez Taverna | 44c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 124 | 44.4%55 W · 69 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed Santiago Rodriguez Taverna | 64c | 48.44$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.44 | 537 | 52.3%281 W · 256 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd540…9c84backed Boris Arias | 43c | 46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.78 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 40cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15dc…831fbacked Santiago Rodriguez Taverna | 39c | 43.59$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.59 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd491…7c79backed Boris Arias | 58c | 43.12$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb5e…e0f7backed Santiago Rodriguez Taverna | 59c | 43$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.63 | 275 | 52%143 W · 132 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Santiago Rodriguez Taverna | 64c | 42.06$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.14 | 1,417 | 45.2%640 W · 777 L | +41.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea81…ef51backed Santiago Rodriguez Taverna | 54c | 37.94$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.48 | 58 | 65.5%38 W · 20 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e70…bb75backed Santiago Rodriguez Taverna | 79c | 37.88$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.88 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 60cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Santiago Rodriguez Taverna | 53c | 35.86$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.71 | 4,934 | 41.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L | -77.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe761…4f54backed Santiago Rodriguez Taverna | 76c | 35.29$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.53 | 263 | 49.4%130 W · 133 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Santiago Rodriguez Taverna | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 580 | 67.8%393 W · 187 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc54c…6a13backed Santiago Rodriguez Taverna | 61c | 29.26$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.3 | 143 | 55.9%80 W · 63 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe92e…1e38backed Santiago Rodriguez Taverna | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 60 | 71.7%43 W · 17 L | +4.6wins | +0.08per pick | 64cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x011c…f943backed Santiago Rodriguez Taverna | 76c | 17.89$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.29 | 51 | 35.3%18 W · 33 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9620…5052backed Santiago Rodriguez Taverna | 57c | 17.6$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.57 | 95 | 62.1%59 W · 36 L | +7.7wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe90…5ce2backed Santiago Rodriguez Taverna | 70c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.55 | 38 | 68.4%26 W · 12 L | +3.8wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.