Lol · resolved market
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3d033fa73dda8a9eb35a46fc7e36403c2a701fe71aeee69365b05c61b89d6f0b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bilibili Gamingof Team WE, Bilibili Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $353,107
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $416,739
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $353,107 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 73 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x18bb…e5cdbacked Team WE | 6c | 39,482$2,369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,368.91 | 313 | 28.8%90 W · 223 L | +15.2wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9671…3a70backed Team WE | 0c | 22,222$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.22 | 284 | 4.6%13 W · 271 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Team WE | 5c | 18,888$944 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$944.4 | 1,098 | 34.8%382 W · 716 L | -17.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd202…8973backed Team WE | 4c | 18,789$799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$798.59 | 382 | 35.6%136 W · 246 L | -15.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc70b…782bbacked Team WE | 0c | 14,101$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed Team WE | 5c | 10,125$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506.23 | 1,468 | 28.9%424 W · 1,044 L | +23.5wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67b6…00bcbacked Team WE | 6c | 8,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.99 | 499 | 40.7%203 W · 296 L | +18.1wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb3…4d75backed Team WE | 7c | 6,564$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475 | 608 | 55.8%339 W · 269 L | -14.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb03f…9429backed Team WE | 4c | 6,415$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.94 | 143 | 24.5%35 W · 108 L | -8.3wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd961…35debacked Team WE | 6c | 5,118$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.05 | 324 | 42%136 W · 188 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3081…c666backed Team WE | 6c | 4,718$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.08 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | -4.3wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a63…fc03backed Team WE | 5c | 4,442$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.21 | 434 | 42.4%184 W · 250 L | +18.6wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Team WE | 7c | 3,480$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.62 | 732 | 37.7%276 W · 456 L | -51.5wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8b72…6dbebacked Team WE | 2c | 3,336$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.84 | 661 | 16.5%109 W · 552 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff80…9b4dbacked Team WE | 10c | 3,211$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.1 | 372 | 45.2%168 W · 204 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Team WE | 6c | 3,000$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.99 | 2,362 | 32%755 W · 1,607 L | +42.0wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4da…1772backed Team WE | 6c | 2,930$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.77 | 579 | 45.9%266 W · 313 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9b5…f95bbacked Team WE | 4c | 2,618$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.11 | 675 | 49%331 W · 344 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7cb…4088backed Team WE | 5c | 2,246$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.63 | 86 | 47.7%41 W · 45 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1b8…9d1fbacked Team WE | 2c | 2,054$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.22 | 459 | 37%170 W · 289 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Team WE | 5c | 2,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 127 | 54.3%69 W · 58 L | +8.6wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Team WE | 7c | 1,638$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.65 | 2,825 | 41.4%1,169 W · 1,656 L | -14.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1a…bfa2backed Team WE | 3c | 1,535$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.28 | 52 | 23.1%12 W · 40 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3107…a26fbacked Team WE | 3c | 1,500$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 70 | 25.7%18 W · 52 L | +4.7wins | +0.07per pick | 19cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd96a…d8cebacked Team WE | 4c | 1,413$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.22 | 75 | 12%9 W · 66 L | -7.0wins | -0.09per pick | 21cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x14f0…c7a9backed Team WE | 7c | 1,349$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.42 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5bc…2c49backed Team WE | 7c | 1,336$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.42 | 80 | 28.8%23 W · 57 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -27%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed Team WE | 7c | 1,265$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.57 | 475 | 33.3%158 W · 317 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x581d…2b06backed Team WE | 7c | 1,180$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.62 | 480 | 35.4%170 W · 310 L | +13.0wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9712…9057backed Team WE | 7c | 1,180$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.62 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +4.5wins | +0.18per pick | 34cpaid | +45.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe015…6ffdbacked Team WE | 5c | 1,001$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.07 | 960 | 48.8%468 W · 492 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dfd…8d75backed Team WE | 6c | 999.94$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | +4.9wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…5878backed Team WE | 6c | 990.84$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.45 | 443 | 35.4%157 W · 286 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4ae…a3efbacked Team WE | 8c | 949.38$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.27 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb1…b580backed Team WE | 4c | 864.39$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.57 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2924…0f31backed Team WE | 8c | 850.45$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.07 | 695 | 39.1%272 W · 423 L | -36.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e17…2301backed Team WE | 12c | 815.07$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.7 | 131 | 21.4%28 W · 103 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Team WE | 7c | 735.28$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.47 | 679 | 31.8%216 W · 463 L | -31.9wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…a754backed Team WE | 7c | 666.96$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.16 | 353 | 23.2%82 W · 271 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc82d…7199backed Team WE | 5c | 659$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.28 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -67.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Team WE | 4c | 645.32$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.2 | 464 | 36.4%169 W · 295 L | -24.1wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Team WE | 5c | 624.36$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.76 | 1,592 | 34%541 W · 1,051 L | -79.3wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x75ab…eb07backed Team WE | 3c | 605.81$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.13 | 154 | 33.1%51 W · 103 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x974f…cd80backed Team WE | 6c | 599.99$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 151 | 48.3%73 W · 78 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdffe…b4d3backed Team WE | 7c | 588.33$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.2 | 83 | 30.1%25 W · 58 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2099…3024backed Team WE | 4c | 583.59$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.16 | 65 | 30.8%20 W · 45 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf37…8b49backed Team WE | 5c | 500$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 93 | 47.3%44 W · 49 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7809…64ccbacked Team WE | 6c | 499.97$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 174 | 31%54 W · 120 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked Team WE | 6c | 481.24$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.87 | 1,447 | 13.3%192 W · 1,255 L | -109.5wins | -0.08per pick | 21cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf8ca…b702backed Team WE | 5c | 434$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.04 | 54 | 14.8%8 W · 46 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 10cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Team WE | 5c | 411.71$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.96 | 168 | 42.9%72 W · 96 L | +10.4wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfc04…f726backed Team WE | 3c | 397.57$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.53 | 757 | 38.6%292 W · 465 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Team WE | 6c | 370.79$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.51 | 780 | 43.1%336 W · 444 L | -22.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1144…b7b5backed Team WE | 8c | 367.53$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.4 | 67 | 19.4%13 W · 54 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee73…be10backed Team WE | 7c | 349.35$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.45 | 61 | 36.1%22 W · 39 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9725…46d0backed Team WE | 7c | 319$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.33 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e1d…f786backed Team WE | 5c | 317.18$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.59 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea7b…5b6dbacked Team WE | 3c | 313.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.36 | 282 | 11%31 W · 251 L | -19.9wins | -0.07per pick | 18cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x029e…bd1fbacked Team WE | 7c | 269.77$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.88 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3844…037abacked Team WE | 5c | 259.27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8c…fd3dbacked Team WE | 11c | 258.16$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.4 | 756 | 30%227 W · 529 L | -21.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Team WE | 6c | 255.47$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.33 | 1,368 | 37.7%516 W · 852 L | -6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8de…ed08backed Team WE | 7c | 246.13$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.09 | 122 | 20.5%25 W · 97 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52f8…ad19backed Team WE | 8c | 239.17$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.89 | 627 | 39.9%250 W · 377 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ebb…8220backed Team WE | 6c | 213.81$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.49 | 140 | 12.9%18 W · 122 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…110bbacked Team WE | 7c | 202.33$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.16 | 201 | 50.7%102 W · 99 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e70…bb75backed Team WE | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x851d…a743backed Team WE | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 178 | 52.8%94 W · 84 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9368…8b01backed Team WE | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 127 | 32.3%41 W · 86 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d39…e10abacked Team WE | 7c | 188.84$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.22 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f1…a73dbacked Team WE | 6c | 173.96$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Team WE | 8c | 173.84$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.91 | 276 | 36.2%100 W · 176 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Team WE | 9c | 150$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 318 | 29.2%93 W · 225 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendthis page
- Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs Team WE (+1.5)Bilibili Gaming won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 WinnerBilibili Gaming won
- LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 WinnerBilibili Gaming won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.