Lol · resolved market
Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs Team WE (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa4026d5dbf58cd67feb03a37835c34120836b7dd46e79a0224dcc58701b9a5e7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bilibili Gamingof Bilibili Gaming, Team WE
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,960
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,018
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,960 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 74 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x509d…0a6bbacked Bilibili Gaming | 75c | 4,025$3,018 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,006.16 | 670 | 56.9%381 W · 289 L | +17.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3081…c666backed Team WE | 25c | 3,916$979 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$978.88 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | -4.3wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xff80…9b4dbacked Team WE | 24c | 2,822$676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$676.12 | 372 | 45.2%168 W · 204 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a66…ae5ebacked Team WE | 24c | 1,985$477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477.21 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb635…bef0backed Bilibili Gaming | 75c | 1,788$1,341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$446.97 | 858 | 36.2%311 W · 547 L | -14.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…5878backed Team WE | 24c | 1,670$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.8 | 443 | 35.4%157 W · 286 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e32…ab65backed Bilibili Gaming | 76c | 1,500$1,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.94 | 2,156 | 53.2%1,148 W · 1,008 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9348…8cfbbacked Bilibili Gaming | 77c | 1,451$1,118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.4 | 163 | 52.1%85 W · 78 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2307…3934backed Team WE | 24c | 1,400$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.96 | 543 | 53.8%292 W · 251 L | +32.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe70d…dd35backed Bilibili Gaming | 76c | 1,355$1,030 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.3 | 126 | 61.1%77 W · 49 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Team WE | 25c | 1,034$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.21 | 2,406 | 42.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L | +21.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480e…71e9backed Bilibili Gaming | 77c | 981.08$755 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.65 | 264 | 53.8%142 W · 122 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92d8…0924backed Team WE | 24c | 926.13$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.27 | 234 | 39.7%93 W · 141 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…45eebacked Bilibili Gaming | 76c | 891.86$678 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.05 | 595 | 58.3%347 W · 248 L | -29.3wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Team WE | 23c | 749.99$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.5 | 2,362 | 32%755 W · 1,607 L | +42.0wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8da…a6e6backed Team WE | 23c | 731.91$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.35 | 128 | 39.8%51 W · 77 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb188…1b06backed Bilibili Gaming | 76c | 719.25$547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.62 | 88 | 52.3%46 W · 42 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Bilibili Gaming | 76c | 689.92$524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.58 | 1,242 | 42.6%529 W · 713 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ef…ef37backed Bilibili Gaming | 76c | 653.45$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.83 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed Team WE | 24c | 499.39$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.85 | 1,468 | 28.9%424 W · 1,044 L | +23.5wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4781…16e6backed Bilibili Gaming | 76c | 425.61$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.89 | 118 | 52.5%62 W · 56 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72be…c534backed Team WE | 25c | 382$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.5 | 1,114 | 35%390 W · 724 L | +14.3wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08cc…cfb5backed Bilibili Gaming | 73c | 337.94$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.03 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 68cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe660…2ac1backed Bilibili Gaming | 76c | 294.01$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.56 | 201 | 50.2%101 W · 100 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfdd…b1a1backed Team WE | 31c | 268.82$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.47 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb4…d080backed Bilibili Gaming | 76c | 246.08$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.06 | 259 | 60.2%156 W · 103 L | +21.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +20%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed Bilibili Gaming | 76c | 243.81$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.51 | 297 | 61.6%183 W · 114 L | -12.0wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Team WE | 21c | 225.32$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.32 | 1,609 | 48.4%779 W · 830 L | +24.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc7…fc33backed Bilibili Gaming | 79c | 197.48$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.47 | 100 | 55%55 W · 45 L | -7.3wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x503a…860abacked Team WE | 24c | 190.88$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.81 | 299 | 44.1%132 W · 167 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd96a…d8cebacked Team WE | 16c | 156.44$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.03 | 75 | 12%9 W · 66 L | -7.0wins | -0.09per pick | 21cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Team WE | 22c | 132.95$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.11 | 168 | 42.9%72 W · 96 L | +10.4wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0599…3c6abacked Bilibili Gaming | 76c | 130.38$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.84 | 821 | 61%501 W · 320 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x102c…7b22backed Bilibili Gaming | 76c | 129.68$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.12 | 61 | 68.9%42 W · 19 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba38…79b8backed Bilibili Gaming | 78c | 128.6$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.29 | 17 | 88.2%15 W · 2 L | +3.3wins | +0.19per pick | 69cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…f9d1backed Bilibili Gaming | 76c | 125$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 415 | 44.6%185 W · 230 L | +16.6wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Team WE | 16c | 120.41$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.46 | 1,606 | 17.5%281 W · 1,325 L | -245.0wins | -0.15per pick | 33cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xaa8e…31c0backed Team WE | 17c | 114.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.54 | 120 | 40.8%49 W · 71 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2be6…e054backed Team WE | 20c | 103.1$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.59 | 39 | 30.8%12 W · 27 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe59…0d2ebacked Team WE | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 605 | 38.8%235 W · 370 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c8…97b4backed Bilibili Gaming | 76c | 98.56$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.65 | 677 | 63.4%429 W · 248 L | -16.4wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdffe…b4d3backed Team WE | 24c | 91.76$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.05 | 83 | 30.1%25 W · 58 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa085…7fccbacked Bilibili Gaming | 76c | 90.78$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.79 | 171 | 59.6%102 W · 69 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73e8…7921backed Bilibili Gaming | 77c | 89.65$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.62 | 56 | 67.9%38 W · 18 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 70cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e04…28a9backed Bilibili Gaming | 69c | 85.63$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.55 | 172 | 50.6%87 W · 85 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Team WE | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,831 | 17.1%313 W · 1,518 L | -236.0wins | -0.13per pick | 30cpaid | -46%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xe015…6ffdbacked Team WE | 23c | 74.52$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.14 | 960 | 48.8%468 W · 492 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…83d7backed Bilibili Gaming | 77c | 70.02$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.1 | 143 | 60.8%87 W · 56 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2aef…5ab9backed Bilibili Gaming | 76c | 68.99$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.56 | 108 | 44.4%48 W · 60 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +16%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3892…4093backed Bilibili Gaming | 77c | 67.71$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.52 | 299 | 48.8%146 W · 153 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a03…51ddbacked Bilibili Gaming | 76c | 64.84$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.56 | 97 | 48.5%47 W · 50 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x76bb…4548backed Bilibili Gaming | 77c | 64.04$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.73 | 349 | 60.7%212 W · 137 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8378…f1abbacked Bilibili Gaming | 76c | 51.87$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.45 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60d0…03c1backed Bilibili Gaming | 79c | 50.11$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.62 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | +5.0wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe628…0024backed Bilibili Gaming | 76c | 49.28$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.83 | 123 | 69.9%86 W · 37 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Team WE | 21c | 48.54$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.19 | 1,827 | 45.6%834 W · 993 L | +26.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0b…612abacked Bilibili Gaming | 75c | 45.97$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.49 | 440 | 46.4%204 W · 236 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7787backed Team WE | 22c | 45.56$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.02 | 644 | 43%277 W · 367 L | -27.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd77…ef21backed Bilibili Gaming | 71c | 45$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.05 | 153 | 70.6%108 W · 45 L | +10.0wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3761…39e1backed Bilibili Gaming | 76c | 44.35$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.64 | 111 | 50.5%56 W · 55 L | -5.8wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f46…85c0backed Bilibili Gaming | 76c | 32.42$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 798 | 64.3%513 W · 285 L | +32.2wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa427…f87fbacked Bilibili Gaming | 77c | 26.13$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.01 | 91 | 50.5%46 W · 45 L | -5.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc036…30d4backed Bilibili Gaming | 76c | 25.94$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.22 | 657 | 54.5%358 W · 299 L | -17.5wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x045d…185dbacked Bilibili Gaming | 76c | 25.94$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.22 | 634 | 58.4%370 W · 264 L | +9.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3335…f6debacked Bilibili Gaming | 76c | 25.09$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.02 | 115 | 59.1%68 W · 47 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a7…3165backed Bilibili Gaming | 79c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.25 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd35e…a1e8backed Bilibili Gaming | 77c | 21.98$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.05 | 127 | 63%80 W · 47 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x171f…d613backed Bilibili Gaming | 77c | 21.98$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.05 | 100 | 55%55 W · 45 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b25…10aabacked Bilibili Gaming | 78c | 21.46$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.72 | 357 | 55.7%199 W · 158 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…b57fbacked Bilibili Gaming | 66c | 21.1$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.18 | 249 | 59.8%149 W · 100 L | +18.2wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x95a2…3de2backed Bilibili Gaming | 76c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -4.5wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x70a6…1976backed Bilibili Gaming | 76c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe497…84aabacked Bilibili Gaming | 77c | 19.21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.42 | 379 | 50.9%193 W · 186 L | -8.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5282…95dcbacked Bilibili Gaming | 76c | 17.14$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.11 | 169 | 54.4%92 W · 77 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs Team WE (+1.5)this page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group AscendBilibili Gaming won
- LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 WinnerBilibili Gaming won
- LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 WinnerBilibili Gaming won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.