TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will Denmark vs. Ukraine end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$243,489
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$221,746

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $243,489 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 235 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3561…d87cbacked Yes27c12,963$3,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,5002532%8 W · 17 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick38cpaid+35.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed No80c11,632$9,266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,365.4516833.9%57 W · 111 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-36.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa7c2…73bfbacked Yes23c9,619$2,213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,212.5756151%286 W · 275 L+15.4wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed No78c9,465$7,427 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,037.382,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes14c9,368$1,352 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,351.632,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked No78c9,019$7,067 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,951.641,22443.4%531 W · 693 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f41…8f27backed Yes28c8,000$2,217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,217.2240239.8%160 W · 242 L-13.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-19.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x49b6…170cbacked Yes18c7,061$1,247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,246.956031.7%19 W · 41 L+5.0wins+0.08per pick23cpaid+21.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc96e…f1f9backed Yes37c5,672$2,105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,104.878048.8%39 W · 41 L+5.2wins+0.07per pick42cpaid+27.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked No79c5,049$3,993 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,055.822,53346.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L+12.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x67bf…f983backed Yes15c4,799$723 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$722.7227931.9%89 W · 190 L+11.4wins+0.04per pick28cpaid+60.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf021…e900backed No71c4,500$3,215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,284.7636437.1%135 W · 229 L+16.5wins+0.05per pick33cpaid-4.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x74e4…2743backed No71c4,239$3,022 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,217.04250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-29.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe542…0a37backed Yes15c4,219$647 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$646.9226330%79 W · 184 L+12.6wins+0.05per pick25cpaid+0.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcff1…f8debacked Yes1c4,200$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$429131.9%29 W · 62 L+0.5wins0.00per pick31cpaid-8.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9416…5a15backed Yes31c4,142$1,266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,265.81728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick26cpaid+16.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xecb1…5da3backed Yes18c3,920$716 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$715.742653.8%14 W · 12 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick48cpaid-9.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5d68…9ff7backed Yes28c3,571$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0005749.1%28 W · 29 L+4.7wins+0.08per pick41cpaid+9.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2546…5155backed Yes12c3,154$392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$392.2922449.6%111 W · 113 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x77fe…a351backed Yes14c3,068$445 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$444.5115127.8%42 W · 109 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-17%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4379…2e16backed No73c3,000$2,190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81023255.2%128 W · 104 L+0.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes26c2,968$772 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$771.553,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d4e…6478backed No73c2,740$1,995 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$745.38728.7%25 W · 62 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick33cpaid+19.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x53d3…ba87backed Yes29c2,520$723 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$723.11850%9 W · 9 L+1.4wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-2.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4c2a…65dcbacked Yes23c2,400$554 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55420031%62 W · 138 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick30cpaid-19.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6996…cf9abacked Yes5c2,397$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.6112729.9%38 W · 89 L+7.3wins+0.06per pick24cpaid-7.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0cc0…5765backed Yes35c2,367$826 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$826.216152.5%32 W · 29 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b51…9144backed Yes18c2,239$402 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402.184257.1%24 W · 18 L+7.9wins+0.19per pick38cpaid+34.7%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xad89…f6e1backed Yes21c2,133$447 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$446.696155.7%34 W · 27 L+3.7wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+5.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No73c2,130$1,555 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$575.1476048.7%370 W · 390 L-2.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x12a2…0e71backed Yes48c2,068$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00019158.1%111 W · 80 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-0.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4d39…c90abacked Yes24c2,054$492 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$492.451010%1 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick6cpaid+624.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d68…4354backed Yes17c2,002$344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$344.46253.2%33 W · 29 L+10.5wins+0.17per pick36cpaid+66.3%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Yes27c2,000$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54030431.3%95 W · 209 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick30cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x03f7…c0ccbacked Yes14c1,900$268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26810535.2%37 W · 68 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-11.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6255…a29bbacked Yes6c1,858$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.69323.7%22 W · 71 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick23cpaid-16.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x39a6…ebddbacked Yes21c1,829$378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$378.1333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid-44.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x033e…1bb9backed Yes21c1,829$391 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$391.25616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.18per pick35cpaid-69.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc0cf…8bcbbacked Yes26c1,684$432 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$432.1431520.3%64 W · 251 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick22cpaid-14.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xecbe…42ffbacked Yes17c1,664$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$285.2314715.6%23 W · 124 L-0.3wins0.00per pick16cpaid+19.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x03f0…63e0backed Yes28c1,653$467 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46713843.5%60 W · 78 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-14.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x75bd…0288backed Yes23c1,653$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$379.910443.3%45 W · 59 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x626f…cdfabacked Yes17c1,530$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2562119%4 W · 17 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick23cpaid-47.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4e36…8463backed No73c1,520$1,109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$411.12119%4 W · 17 L-2.4wins-0.11per pick30cpaid-9.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Yes27c1,370$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$369.861,14439.2%448 W · 696 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfbf4…ac20backed No71c1,367$976 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$390.6334533.6%116 W · 229 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-3.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xae2d…2bc4backed Yes18c1,344$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$238.239752.6%51 W · 46 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2e5a…0122backed Yes16c1,250$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2007229.2%21 W · 51 L+6.1wins+0.09per pick21cpaid+62.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x10ad…827cbacked Yes24c1,200$286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$286.1312933.3%43 W · 86 L-8.0wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-19.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc686…5a55backed Yes17c1,176$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20035036.3%127 W · 223 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f21…3d6ebacked Yes17c1,135$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19330220.2%61 W · 241 L-15.6wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-17.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6332…1b7abacked Yes28c1,124$316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3162948.3%14 W · 15 L+4.4wins+0.15per pick33cpaid+227.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0fa9…09fabacked Yes29c1,103$325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$324.9922932.8%75 W · 154 L+9.3wins+0.04per pick29cpaid+37.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No73c1,093$803 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$289.523,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c8f…d581backed Yes26c1,030$266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$266.4318926.5%50 W · 139 L+6.8wins+0.04per pick23cpaid-9.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed No50c1,029$515 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$514.6674752.2%390 W · 357 L+2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4658…4131backed No73c1,027$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$277.414564.1%93 W · 52 L+10.1wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+9.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x41fc…a467backed Yes24c999.99$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2422642.3%11 W · 15 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+28.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b59…9db6backed Yes21c977.87$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.6548438.2%185 W · 299 L-6.0wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-26.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x45e1…5934backed No75c968.97$724 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.048859.1%52 W · 36 L-11.8wins-0.13per pick72cpaid-17.9%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0x2d1b…f055backed Yes34c933.29$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3201612.5%2 W · 14 L-1.4wins-0.09per pick21cpaid-76%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5822…8774backed No75c895.81$672 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.8217568.6%120 W · 55 L-10.2wins-0.06per pick74cpaid-7.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x00fd…32a0backed No71c846.08$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.117236.1%26 W · 46 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+152%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0eca…c56abacked No78c845.95$664 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.1246445.5%211 W · 253 L-1.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x47c7…cac7backed No73c806.56$589 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.7726454.5%144 W · 120 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-0.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x40a7…ecb7backed Yes4c800$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3219825.3%50 W · 148 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick24cpaid+20.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9aaf…0986backed Yes27c707.23$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.775040%20 W · 30 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-23.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No73c685.98$501 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.211,56043.8%684 W · 876 L-4.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed No77c658.53$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.6993542.2%395 W · 540 L-27.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-17.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf4a7…b2efbacked No75c650$488 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.57044.3%31 W · 39 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-19.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf6e8…4d16backed Yes33c647.44$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.4530%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x56e2…4a79backed Yes23c631.04$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.166352.4%33 W · 30 L-2.9wins-0.05per pick57cpaid+12.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc046…d8f0backed Yes33c627.44$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21014131.2%44 W · 97 L-6.5wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-15.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa5bc…cdf7backed Yes18c622.55$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11030%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f41…5ffcbacked Yes26c620.43$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.9434249.1%168 W · 174 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+33.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ff6…2712backed Yes17c588.24$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004346.5%20 W · 23 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3451…a6e1backed Yes22c572$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.726250%31 W · 31 L+3.7wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+11.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9689…7bb3backed Yes26c569.68$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1492339.1%9 W · 14 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-14.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd1a6…1507backed No80c564.51$451 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.8510444.2%46 W · 58 L+0.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid+10%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f0b…5577backed Yes26c524.46$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.366839.7%27 W · 41 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick43cpaid+20.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb8f8…5660backed Yes23c516.52$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.810%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2614…4442backed Yes17c512.76$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.1742048.8%205 W · 215 L+18.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+16.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9e8e…8db8backed Yes19c500$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9548961.3%300 W · 189 L+71.0wins+0.15per pick47cpaid+35.9%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0x2133…7903backed Yes10c500$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501136.4%4 W · 7 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick29cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3fcf…056bbacked Yes26c500$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13020%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaf1b…8306backed Yes43c500$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2156346%29 W · 34 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf25b…82d0backed Yes30c499.67$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.796338.1%24 W · 39 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-16.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6aa1…a420backed Yes17c481.62$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8012631%39 W · 87 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked No73c468$342 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.365563.6%35 W · 20 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick63cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f34…7684backed Yes26c460$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.665835%230 W · 428 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-21.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd60f…5165backed No73c439.94$322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.827659.2%45 W · 31 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-11.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdcc0…6872backed Yes24c435.36$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.1516656.6%94 W · 72 L+6.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked No78c423.9$331 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.2757541.7%240 W · 335 L-20.8wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-21.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2c1a…42d8backed No65c404.91$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.0411632.8%38 W · 78 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-22.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7df9…3a84backed Yes25c400$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.23per pick34cpaid+36.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2936…d41ebacked Yes25c400$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10030%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc456…8996backed Yes26c399.99$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1033438.2%13 W · 21 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5fc3…0670backed Yes26c384.62$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10012241%50 W · 72 L+4.8wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+11.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x49ae…dc88backed No73c382$279 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.142962.1%18 W · 11 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x733b…0268backed No71c374.59$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.541050%5 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-8.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.