Tennis · resolved market
Carbajal vs. Cosano: Match O/U 21.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2fcf1c20c7208b0fd0ad466726d5cf620001c1aed7fbb4a81197cc7a829f01bd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $403,261
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $351,577
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $403,261 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3e85…788bbacked Under | 26c | 108,669$28,495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,495.06 | 198 | 45.5%90 W · 108 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed Under | 11c | 79,875$8,921 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,920.96 | 1,421 | 28.6%407 W · 1,014 L | +4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3e4…8087backed Under | 19c | 55,716$10,469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,469.02 | 63 | 28.6%18 W · 45 L | -5.4wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x88b5…a041backed Under | 18c | 43,801$7,720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,720.12 | 63 | 36.5%23 W · 40 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa486…25d4backed Over | 70c | 34,335$24,038 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,296.99 | 62 | 59.7%37 W · 25 L | +12.2wins | +0.20per pick | 40cpaid | +399.3%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x0afa…eff3backed Over | 75c | 33,710$25,191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,518.7 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb03…1a23backed Under | 12c | 29,800$3,472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,472.26 | 48 | 33.3%16 W · 32 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +64.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0dd…341dbacked Over | 74c | 23,368$17,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,028.17 | 48 | 10.4%5 W · 43 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 8cpaid | -69.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82cf…0998backed Over | 67c | 13,785$9,241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,544.42 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1680…490dbacked Under | 15c | 12,620$1,952 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,951.75 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad89…f6e1backed Under | 24c | 9,110$2,202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,202.29 | 51 | 17.6%9 W · 42 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -63.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfde1…3690backed Over | 79c | 4,500$3,575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$925 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa641…7346backed Over | 74c | 3,367$2,491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$876.38 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.9wins | +0.73per pick | 27cpaid | +1,524.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x033e…1bb9backed Over | 75c | 3,342$2,497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$844.41 | 306 | 45.1%138 W · 168 L | -11.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe9f…014abacked Over | 70c | 2,515$1,757 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$758.26 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4419…fcf4backed Over | 72c | 2,205$1,593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$611.9 | 182 | 61.5%112 W · 70 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…e7f3backed Under | 22c | 2,000$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x98a7…b766backed Over | 80c | 1,917$1,534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.42 | 609 | 43.3%264 W · 345 L | -24.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6401…f240backed Under | 1c | 1,345$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.58 | 263 | 55.1%145 W · 118 L | +36.9wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x0d44…6b0abacked Under | 15c | 1,154$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.37 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 40cpaid | -77.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x766a…ae64backed Under | 44c | 700$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.18per pick | 46cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0591…cc74backed Over | 79c | 670.96$533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.1 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 56cpaid | -58%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87a2…2250backed Under | 22c | 517.06$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.03 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -2.5wins | -0.16per pick | 30cpaid | -65.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd673…2305backed Under | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x11ea…1676backed Over | 74c | 338.33$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.34 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x294b…22d2backed Under | 38c | 263.63$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 279 | 49.1%137 W · 142 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf664…c89bbacked Under | 23c | 146.54$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.04 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 26cpaid | -71.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef53…f599backed Under | 24c | 139.95$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.99 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6994…eed0backed Under | 25c | 138.46$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.62 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5192…df62backed Under | 36c | 100.63$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.25 | 123 | 52.8%65 W · 58 L | +8.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1d5…54d5backed Under | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x290a…0994backed Under | 15c | 75$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Over | 64c | 70.5$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.38 | 335 | 50.1%168 W · 167 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2015…9678backed Over | 72c | 69.44$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41c8…424fbacked Under | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 129 | 58.1%75 W · 54 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6706…2341backed Under | 37c | 53.34$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.23per pick | 43cpaid | -72.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3950…0d49backed Under | 20c | 52.59$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.75 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf27…f35fbacked Under | 38c | 31.58$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 190 | 57.9%110 W · 80 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0e7…9781backed Over | 71c | 24.87$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.09 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67f6…1651backed Over | 74c | 20.15$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.16 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +4.2wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6c3f…e6a2backed Over | 73c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.05 | 335 | 57%191 W · 144 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Carbajal vs. Cosano: Match O/U 21.5this page
- Alejandro Garcia Carbajal vs. Javier Barranco Cosano: Total Sets O/U 2.5Over 2.5 won
- Carbajal vs. Cosano: Match O/U 22.5Over won
- Carbajal vs. Cosano: Match O/U 23.5Over won
- ITF M25 Oviedo Men: Alejandro Garcia Carbajal vs Javier Barranco CosanoAlejandro Garcia Carbajal won
- ITF M25 Oviedo Men: Completed Match: Alejandro Garcia Carbajal vs Javier Barranco CosanoNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.