Tennis · resolved market
Alejandro Garcia Carbajal vs. Javier Barranco Cosano: Total Sets O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcbdae3da1b11fa477f81068a19aa5fbc8a76280bfca6efd0de96f49dc0fe5cc5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Over 2.5of Over 2.5, Under 2.5
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $155,605
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $153,865
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $155,605 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1bf7…6f57backed Under 2.5 | 5c | 19,303$917 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$917.39 | 129 | 33.3%43 W · 86 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3e4…8087backed Under 2.5 | 2c | 10,673$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.49 | 63 | 28.6%18 W · 45 L | -5.4wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf5fe…e23dbacked Under 2.5 | 23c | 9,777$2,209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,208.97 | 69 | 29%20 W · 49 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe9f…014abacked Under 2.5 | 2c | 9,740$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.94 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed Under 2.5 | 22c | 7,968$1,730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,729.5 | 1,421 | 28.6%407 W · 1,014 L | +4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82cf…0998backed Over 2.5 | 60c | 7,000$4,228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,772 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x40cf…d21dbacked Over 2.5 | 68c | 6,200$4,231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,968.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88b5…a041backed Under 2.5 | 38c | 5,699$2,156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,155.67 | 63 | 36.5%23 W · 40 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb37a…f1b1backed Over 2.5 | 76c | 5,696$4,302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,393.71 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +153.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb474…a4bcbacked Under 2.5 | 14c | 5,273$721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720.81 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98a7…b766backed Over 2.5 | 75c | 5,000$3,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,250 | 609 | 43.3%264 W · 345 L | -24.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb03…1a23backed Under 2.5 | 6c | 4,500$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.85 | 48 | 33.3%16 W · 32 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +64.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2cd…3897backed Under 2.5 | 24c | 3,657$885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$884.52 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffb…a834backed Under 2.5 | 4c | 3,639$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.62 | 48 | 60.4%29 W · 19 L | +9.2wins | +0.19per pick | 41cpaid | +2,177.1%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x6b60…9c7ebacked Under 2.5 | 2c | 2,829$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.37 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0afa…eff3backed Over 2.5 | 71c | 2,485$1,756 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$729.65 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73e3…3239backed Over 2.5 | 70c | 2,423$1,696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$726.98 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +54.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x314e…af4ebacked Under 2.5 | 3c | 2,000$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x820a…ca12backed Under 2.5 | 24c | 1,938$474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$473.93 | 334 | 42.5%142 W · 192 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e85…788bbacked Under 2.5 | 35c | 1,884$659 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$659.25 | 198 | 45.5%90 W · 108 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d55…7cbabacked Under 2.5 | 2c | 1,381$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.22 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -73.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72e1…a45dbacked Under 2.5 | 8c | 1,272$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.74 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +190.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1680…490dbacked Under 2.5 | 6c | 1,239$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb841…3cfbbacked Under 2.5 | 2c | 1,100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.2 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 36cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa7…907ebacked Under 2.5 | 3c | 1,027$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26b1…cc81backed Under 2.5 | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Under 2.5 | 22c | 977.68$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.09 | 1,094 | 52.4%573 W · 521 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba06…8024backed Under 2.5 | 17c | 899.47$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9453…1a48backed Over 2.5 | 78c | 773.6$603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d68…4354backed Over 2.5 | 72c | 670$481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.2 | 217 | 42.9%93 W · 124 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe32a…a0edbacked Over 2.5 | 79c | 639.55$508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f93…a687backed Over 2.5 | 70c | 500$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.13 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.6wins | -0.19per pick | 54cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xea0d…5057backed Under 2.5 | 35c | 475.96$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2046…0496backed Over 2.5 | 64c | 438.1$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.24 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x766a…ae64backed Under 2.5 | 41c | 400$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.49 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.18per pick | 46cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d66…a8aabacked Under 2.5 | 5c | 310.48$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x294b…22d2backed Under 2.5 | 43c | 233.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 279 | 49.1%137 W · 142 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38f5…6824backed Over 2.5 | 78c | 224.08$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.3 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09b6…f48dbacked Under 2.5 | 17c | 210.25$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.33 | 320 | 50%160 W · 160 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf836…e7b5backed Under 2.5 | 23c | 202.49$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.81 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab20…d9e2backed Under 2.5 | 25c | 201.82$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7df9…3a84backed Under 2.5 | 28c | 200$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.6 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +45.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d44…6b0abacked Under 2.5 | 44c | 200$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 40cpaid | -77.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5192…df62backed Under 2.5 | 33c | 175.96$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.44 | 123 | 52.8%65 W · 58 L | +8.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…d9a6backed Under 2.5 | 23c | 170.9$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 34 | 20.6%7 W · 27 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11ea…1676backed Over 2.5 | 74c | 170.35$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.21 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ad1…b4c5backed Under 2.5 | 40c | 149.43$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.99 | 84 | 64.3%54 W · 30 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3950…0d49backed Under 2.5 | 32c | 111.15$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.98 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7eeb…b6bdbacked Over 2.5 | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.8 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…e7f3backed Under 2.5 | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90b3…0db9backed Under 2.5 | 22c | 60.6$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.33 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8974…fc7cbacked Under 2.5 | 22c | 56.82$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41c8…424fbacked Under 2.5 | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 129 | 58.1%75 W · 54 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa58f…cec8backed Over 2.5 | 80c | 29.65$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.03 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c3f…e6a2backed Over 2.5 | 71c | 27.26$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 335 | 57%191 W · 144 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd542…f187backed Over 2.5 | 67c | 19.43$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +48.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Alejandro Garcia Carbajal vs. Javier Barranco Cosano: Total Sets O/U 2.5this page
- Carbajal vs. Cosano: Match O/U 21.5Over won
- Carbajal vs. Cosano: Match O/U 22.5Over won
- Carbajal vs. Cosano: Match O/U 23.5Over won
- ITF M25 Oviedo Men: Alejandro Garcia Carbajal vs Javier Barranco CosanoAlejandro Garcia Carbajal won
- ITF M25 Oviedo Men: Completed Match: Alejandro Garcia Carbajal vs Javier Barranco CosanoNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.