Tennis · resolved market
Carbajal vs. Cosano: Match O/U 22.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8b5d12b0b0ea1c67dc9de4d393db75c14d6a445d57f00866ef83a93e8e3b0418
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $165,639
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $186,142
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $165,639 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe3e4…8087backed Under | 12c | 64,824$7,815 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,815.17 | 63 | 28.6%18 W · 45 L | -5.4wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfb03…1a23backed Under | 14c | 17,117$2,321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,321.02 | 48 | 33.3%16 W · 32 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +64.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1680…490dbacked Under | 19c | 12,690$2,369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,369 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5fe…e23dbacked Under | 12c | 10,000$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 69 | 29%20 W · 49 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88b5…a041backed Under | 16c | 9,414$1,462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,462.1 | 63 | 36.5%23 W · 40 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2cd…3897backed Under | 13c | 4,223$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.62 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7b79…2618backed Over | 80c | 3,766$3,013 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$753.29 | 14 | 100%14 W · 0 L | +10.4wins | +0.74per pick | 26cpaid | +542.2%equal weight | 79+0.27 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed Under | 10c | 2,918$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.79 | 1,421 | 28.6%407 W · 1,014 L | +4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0dd…341dbacked Over | 66c | 2,700$1,777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$923 | 48 | 10.4%5 W · 43 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 8cpaid | -69.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad89…f6e1backed Under | 33c | 2,530$833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$832.5 | 51 | 17.6%9 W · 42 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -63.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe9f…014abacked Under | 18c | 1,979$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.28 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb978…fac0backed Under | 18c | 992.51$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.65 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda34…b1debacked Under | 13c | 880.38$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.45 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 31cpaid | -68%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa486…25d4backed Over | 69c | 473.39$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.38 | 62 | 59.7%37 W · 25 L | +12.2wins | +0.20per pick | 40cpaid | +399.3%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x7acf…08a0backed Under | 14c | 471.6$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.52 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5192…df62backed Under | 13c | 440.23$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.23 | 123 | 52.8%65 W · 58 L | +8.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xab20…d9e2backed Under | 12c | 416.66$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x766a…ae64backed Under | 47c | 400$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.18per pick | 46cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…d9a6backed Under | 12c | 333.33$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 34 | 20.6%7 W · 27 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf836…e7b5backed Under | 12c | 240.72$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.89 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d44…6b0abacked Under | 21c | 224.38$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 40cpaid | -77.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b72…6dbebacked Under | 18c | 139.79$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.16 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -2.6wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x87a2…2250backed Under | 33c | 126.13$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.62 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -2.5wins | -0.16per pick | 30cpaid | -65.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x772f…364abacked Under | 14c | 112.85$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.63 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9707…6fbdbacked Under | 18c | 111.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0e7…9781backed Under | 18c | 77.56$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.96 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6706…2341backed Under | 19c | 74.39$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.37 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.23per pick | 43cpaid | -72.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x290a…0994backed Under | 18c | 66.66$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6994…eed0backed Under | 33c | 54.53$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d55…7cbabacked Over | 75c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -73.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Carbajal vs. Cosano: Match O/U 22.5this page
- Alejandro Garcia Carbajal vs. Javier Barranco Cosano: Total Sets O/U 2.5Over 2.5 won
- Carbajal vs. Cosano: Match O/U 21.5Over won
- Carbajal vs. Cosano: Match O/U 23.5Over won
- ITF M25 Oviedo Men: Alejandro Garcia Carbajal vs Javier Barranco CosanoAlejandro Garcia Carbajal won
- ITF M25 Oviedo Men: Completed Match: Alejandro Garcia Carbajal vs Javier Barranco CosanoNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.