TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x90b3…0db9

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
69
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: UFC, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category UFC at 55 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1741.2%7 W · 10 L+1.4wins+0.08per pick33cpaid+18.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$70.29
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Trump physically sign US x Iran deal?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.29
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$197Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+197.3%+$389.52
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.85
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+455.6%+$113.89
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+452.1%+$187.95
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$150.12
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.79
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.82
Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+25.2%+$11.43
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$72.15
Iran closes its airspace by May 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+31%+$4.93
Will Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.13
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+105%+$11.22
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+45.6%+$4.62
All 17 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 28, 2026, EDT1625%4 W · 12 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-20.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Anastasia Potapova vs Venus Williamsbacked Venus Williams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.35
Targu Mures: Francesca Jones vs Chloe Paquetbacked Chloe Paquet · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$114.05
Hamburg European Open: Katarzyna Kawa vs Paula Badosabacked Katarzyna Kawa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$185Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$185.19
Livesport Prague Open: Linda Fruhvirtova vs Barbora Krejcikovabacked Linda Fruhvirtova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.78
Generali Open: Daniel Altmaier vs Raphael Collignonbacked Daniel Altmaier · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+162.8%+$125.02
Livesport Prague Open: Marie Bouzkova vs Jessica Bouzas Maneirobacked Jessica Bouzas Maneiro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.79
Croatia Open, Qualification: Raul Brancaccio vs Federico Agustin Gomezbacked Federico Agustin Gomez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+108%+$58.24
Wimbledon ATP: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Fabian Marozsanbacked Fabian Marozsan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Wimbledon, Qualification WTA: Ashlyn Krueger vs Gabriela Knutsonbacked Gabriela Knutson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.85
Roland Garros ATP: Alex de Minaur vs Jakub Mensikbacked Jakub Mensik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+300%+$82.71
Geneva Open: Casper Ruud vs Mariano Navonebacked Mariano Navone · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+308.3%+$308.34
Geneva Open: Alexei Popyrin vs Casper Ruudbacked Alexei Popyrin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.84
Geneva Open: Raphael Collignon vs Casper Ruudbacked Raphael Collignon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Geneva Open: Jenson Brooksby vs Casper Ruudbacked Jenson Brooksby · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$66.51
Internationaux de Strasbourg, Qualification: Antonia Ruzic vs Yulia Putintsevabacked Antonia Ruzic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.64
Madrid Open: Sorana Cirstea vs Tyra Caterina Grantbacked Tyra Caterina Grant · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.22
All 16 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT128.3%1 W · 11 L-2.1wins-0.17per pick26cpaid-79.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$223Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$223.1
Will France win on 2026-07-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Egypt reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$193Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$193.28
Will Portugal reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Neymar score 1+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+150%+$45
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$234Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$234.3
Will Japan win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Portugal win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.64
Will Spain vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$31
All 12 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jun 6, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.23per pick43cpaid+90.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
UFC — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L0.0wins+0.01per pick24cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Commodities — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Stocks — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.62
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+100.9%+$43.49
All 2 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-25.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Aug 2, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick72cpaid-32.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 5, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
All 2 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.72
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jul 17, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Over $32.5M committed to the Credible public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 22, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: GenOne vs Ursa (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stagebacked GenOne · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Jun 27, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.78per pick78cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
F1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Charles Leclerc get pole position at the 2026 F1 Austrian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.99
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.