TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Wimbledon, Qualification WTA: Ashlyn Krueger vs Gabriela Knutson

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Ashlyn Kruegerof Ashlyn Krueger, Gabriela Knutson
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$49,840
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$44,719

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $49,840 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 83 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x42c9…9623backed Ashlyn Krueger80c5,259$4,189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,069.684,70349.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L+166.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Gabriela Knutson14c4,682$634 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$633.738,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Gabriela Knutson15c1,854$278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$278.162,46238.5%948 W · 1,514 L+93.1wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+13.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x287d…38febacked Gabriela Knutson30c1,643$493 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$492.7737421.9%82 W · 292 L-7.0wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeaf8…9f45backed Gabriela Knutson7c1,631$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.6322939.3%90 W · 139 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-18.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x86b1…c094backed Gabriela Knutson7c1,539$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.558021.9%127 W · 453 L+2.5wins0.00per pick21cpaid-13.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x88b5…a041backed Gabriela Knutson17c1,257$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.346336.5%23 W · 40 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-12.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x09b6…f48dbacked Gabriela Knutson19c1,224$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.1332050%160 W · 160 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6318…46b1backed Gabriela Knutson14c1,219$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.465,26128.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L-19.4wins0.00per pick29cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf5fe…e23dbacked Gabriela Knutson15c1,066$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.436929%20 W · 49 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick27cpaid-21.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5505…aa44backed Gabriela Knutson19c1,039$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20092237.4%345 W · 577 L-10.9wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd93f…3c12backed Gabriela Knutson3c1,000$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304327.9%12 W · 31 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick24cpaid+64.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Gabriela Knutson19c1,000$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1909,28644.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L-245.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd034…eecebacked Gabriela Knutson22c999.99$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221.662,73534%931 W · 1,804 L-13.2wins0.00per pick35cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Ashlyn Krueger72c847.67$611 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$236.698,82836.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L-193.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x64f4…b38ebacked Gabriela Knutson18c833.33$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15027732.5%90 W · 187 L-9.9wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-22.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7547…d158backed Gabriela Knutson14c600$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$847,04939.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L-20.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa032…2090backed Gabriela Knutson33c599.98$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.991,62449.8%809 W · 815 L-9.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x85c3…700cbacked Ashlyn Krueger66c548.15$362 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.371,68845.4%766 W · 922 L-10.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8de4…a68fbacked Gabriela Knutson8c514.19$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.142920.7%6 W · 23 L-4.3wins-0.15per pick36cpaid-53.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Gabriela Knutson7c432.75$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.014,93441.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L-77.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Ashlyn Krueger80c423$338 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.64,60248.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L+34.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c29…8c43backed Gabriela Knutson7c357.14$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256923.2%16 W · 53 L+4.3wins+0.06per pick17cpaid+7.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb8c6…7b39backed Gabriela Knutson8c340.24$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.2238141.2%157 W · 224 L+10.0wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf83…915dbacked Gabriela Knutson14c333.07$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.4364537.2%240 W · 405 L-7.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Gabriela Knutson15c332.95$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.612,24742.7%960 W · 1,287 L+33.4wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1dfc…521fbacked Ashlyn Krueger67c320.73$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.731573.3%11 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.11per pick63cpaid+25.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1a01…1a3cbacked Gabriela Knutson7c316.43$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.18442.9%36 W · 48 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe99…506bbacked Gabriela Knutson16c312.5$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5067852.1%353 W · 325 L-2.7wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Gabriela Knutson6c303.43$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.556,72036.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L-95.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3cdd…db30backed Gabriela Knutson30c300.74$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9018724.6%46 W · 141 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1dd2…9e07backed Ashlyn Krueger67c279.85$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.352,41851.7%1,249 W · 1,169 L+10.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd3f9…45a7backed Ashlyn Krueger74c259.25$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.4338066.3%252 W · 128 L-0.7wins0.00per pick67cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9888…e6febacked Gabriela Knutson35c241.71$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.62,44745.9%1,123 W · 1,324 L-12.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb2f9…eb15backed Gabriela Knutson20c235$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4715751.6%81 W · 76 L+0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid+4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e85…788bbacked Gabriela Knutson13c229.89$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.8919845.5%90 W · 108 L+0.7wins0.00per pick45cpaid-11.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfbad…4f53backed Gabriela Knutson11c228.38$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.1835444.6%158 W · 196 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed Gabriela Knutson12c225.1$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.151,06242%446 W · 616 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ad5…62ffbacked Gabriela Knutson16c217.29$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.021,22823.1%284 W · 944 L-164.0wins-0.13per pick36cpaid-47%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0x133a…504abacked Gabriela Knutson20c205$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$413,42439.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L-12.3wins0.00per pick39cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4232…d505backed Gabriela Knutson19c204.49$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.6537235.2%131 W · 241 L-12.8wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Gabriela Knutson19c200$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$384,76547%2,238 W · 2,527 L-82.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc2be…af12backed Gabriela Knutson19c187.85$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.422,03246.9%952 W · 1,080 L-12.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6d2…4a24backed Gabriela Knutson14c175.74$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.2952910%53 W · 476 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick11cpaid-11.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc81…e072backed Gabriela Knutson17c172.31$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303336.4%12 W · 21 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+15.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd9c9…6686backed Gabriela Knutson20c159.03$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.521,33746%615 W · 722 L+23.1wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x83d9…10d9backed Gabriela Knutson20c154.21$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.5819656.6%111 W · 85 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x90b3…0db9backed Gabriela Knutson17c146.18$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.851723.5%4 W · 13 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-24.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe8c4…395dbacked Gabriela Knutson10c138$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.81,03150.3%519 W · 512 L+40.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+8.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x79d0…4dffbacked Gabriela Knutson12c137.82$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1731220.5%64 W · 248 L-11.1wins-0.04per pick24cpaid-26.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfeb9…95c9backed Gabriela Knutson18c135.15$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.3314039.3%55 W · 85 L-4.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-10.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Gabriela Knutson18c134.94$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.816,59950.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L+259.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5116…d9a6backed Gabriela Knutson17c117.64$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203420.6%7 W · 27 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick25cpaid-41.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf970…f7f6backed Gabriela Knutson18c112$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.162,48535.9%893 W · 1,592 L-28.5wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd8bb…7cefbacked Gabriela Knutson27c111.9$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.9936743.6%160 W · 207 L+0.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a87…3e26backed Gabriela Knutson18c111.11$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Ashlyn Krueger79c110.05$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.611,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x82aa…fe2fbacked Gabriela Knutson18c104.95$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.8962727.3%171 W · 456 L-15.7wins-0.03per pick30cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7210…4bb5backed Gabriela Knutson17c99.98$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172450%12 W · 12 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd1e…4754backed Gabriela Knutson29c93.2$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.1543444.9%195 W · 239 L+8.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed Gabriela Knutson20c92.35$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.476256.5%35 W · 27 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6485…a265backed Gabriela Knutson15c91.18$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.682,28152%1,187 W · 1,094 L+82.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x626d…e570backed Gabriela Knutson15c89.99$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.952035.2%183 W · 337 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Gabriela Knutson20c87.13$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.41,97346.3%914 W · 1,059 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d8b…deffbacked Gabriela Knutson18c83.33$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1520%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e2e…974fbacked Gabriela Knutson18c83.33$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1520%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x830e…341dbacked Gabriela Knutson18c83.33$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-57.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xec91…78e2backed Gabriela Knutson18c83.33$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b85…bf37backed Gabriela Knutson23c83.28$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.0779951.1%408 W · 391 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xab20…d9e2backed Gabriela Knutson17c73.06$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.423426.5%9 W · 25 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-29.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x167a…d542backed Ashlyn Krueger69c70$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.71,83759.2%1,088 W · 749 L+8.4wins0.00per pick59cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeea3…a6a2backed Gabriela Knutson16c70$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.23,06857.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L+173.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid-3.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked Gabriela Knutson16c62.42$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.29824.5%24 W · 74 L-16.0wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-58.9%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Ashlyn Krueger79c61.96$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.022,04453.8%1,100 W · 944 L+61.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb1c…2679backed Gabriela Knutson34c50.47$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.1617341%71 W · 102 L-17.4wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-24.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xabb3…f5b0backed Ashlyn Krueger79c40$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.5546957.6%270 W · 199 L+32.0wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+10.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0df7…1ec1backed Ashlyn Krueger78c39.59$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.641,85357.7%1,069 W · 784 L+106.8wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+3.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0b2a…0a73backed Ashlyn Krueger80c32.34$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.4794058.4%549 W · 391 L+21.5wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x55c6…0d49backed Ashlyn Krueger80c29.6$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.924381.4%35 W · 8 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick78cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf768…7831backed Ashlyn Krueger79c25.15$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.2878957.8%456 W · 333 L+56.2wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+8.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x23df…640abacked Ashlyn Krueger75c25$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.3547857.9%277 W · 201 L+24.2wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+7.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xde2f…ad33backed Ashlyn Krueger73c18$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.8625336.4%92 W · 161 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x79e7…b82cbacked Ashlyn Krueger80c12.5$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2.5250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick75cpaid-37.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.