Tennis · resolved market
Geneva Open: Alexei Popyrin vs Casper Ruud
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbff8497c5562234652099770f58878e932f765bf7a082db4ee219b44d47a7a66
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Casper Ruudof Alexei Popyrin, Casper Ruud
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $589,249
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $675,478
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $589,249 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 287 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5bec…b215backed Alexei Popyrin | 27c | 96,404$25,965 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,965 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1eaf…9bf0backed Casper Ruud | 73c | 60,801$44,422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,379.42 | 567 | 57.1%324 W · 243 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88d1…18dabacked Casper Ruud | 74c | 40,000$29,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,399.99 | 274 | 60.2%165 W · 109 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Alexei Popyrin | 24c | 39,755$9,428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,428.28 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x479e…91c3backed Casper Ruud | 76c | 26,153$20,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,152.88 | 441 | 63.7%281 W · 160 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf284…b9f9backed Casper Ruud | 75c | 22,756$17,067 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,689 | 138 | 43.5%60 W · 78 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x63a4…0091backed Alexei Popyrin | 24c | 17,452$4,263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,263.1 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6566…ea1ebacked Alexei Popyrin | 8c | 16,000$1,230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,229.99 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -63.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5d4…8b32backed Alexei Popyrin | 0c | 15,335$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.43 | 1,206 | 8%96 W · 1,110 L | +17.2wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | +80.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Alexei Popyrin | 12c | 13,456$1,615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,614.71 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -59.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Alexei Popyrin | 23c | 12,301$2,829 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,829.31 | 4,076 | 39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9c4…7433backed Alexei Popyrin | 25c | 12,000$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,999.97 | 216 | 42.6%92 W · 124 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Alexei Popyrin | 16c | 8,505$1,333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,332.58 | 4,185 | 44.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L | +14.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa742…68c5backed Casper Ruud | 75c | 8,000$6,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 61 | 65.6%40 W · 21 L | +4.4wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9b…8aedbacked Casper Ruud | 74c | 7,498$5,548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,949.47 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -3.1wins | -0.10per pick | 58cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf56b…ac88backed Alexei Popyrin | 10c | 7,088$731 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$730.84 | 114 | 38.6%44 W · 70 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc181…0992backed Casper Ruud | 72c | 7,000$5,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,929.98 | 656 | 51.8%340 W · 316 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda54…65d2backed Alexei Popyrin | 26c | 6,666$1,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,699.79 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed Alexei Popyrin | 27c | 5,649$1,503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,503.14 | 1,421 | 28.6%407 W · 1,014 L | +4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7668…fa36backed Casper Ruud | 73c | 5,509$4,047 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,462.58 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Alexei Popyrin | 5c | 5,249$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.39 | 2,068 | 34.9%721 W · 1,347 L | -44.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcec1…9c0cbacked Alexei Popyrin | 24c | 5,041$1,210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,209.82 | 299 | 52.2%156 W · 143 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1491…11d3backed Alexei Popyrin | 5c | 4,601$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.61 | 161 | 33.5%54 W · 107 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff81…44c9backed Casper Ruud | 75c | 3,956$2,967 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$988.9 | 1,267 | 56.6%717 W · 550 L | -18.5wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd49c…1cd5backed Casper Ruud | 75c | 3,701$2,776 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$925.17 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.17per pick | 67cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Alexei Popyrin | 2c | 3,230$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.56 | 2,065 | 35.2%727 W · 1,338 L | -52.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x108d…b85dbacked Casper Ruud | 75c | 3,159$2,373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$785.62 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Alexei Popyrin | 26c | 3,000$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780 | 689 | 35%241 W · 448 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Alexei Popyrin | 25c | 2,954$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$749.98 | 2,174 | 36.9%802 W · 1,372 L | +39.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Alexei Popyrin | 26c | 2,859$731 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$731.02 | 951 | 40.1%381 W · 570 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a1c…5a9cbacked Alexei Popyrin | 1c | 2,743$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.19per pick | 35cpaid | -67.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaa4c…7bfdbacked Casper Ruud | 74c | 2,703$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$702.7 | 54 | 25.9%14 W · 40 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5123…2f31backed Alexei Popyrin | 24c | 2,600$624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$623.99 | 183 | 15.8%29 W · 154 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Alexei Popyrin | 28c | 2,591$725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$725.38 | 305 | 42.6%130 W · 175 L | -9.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6945…729cbacked Alexei Popyrin | 1c | 2,578$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.04 | 189 | 32.3%61 W · 128 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | +496.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16db…8d0fbacked Alexei Popyrin | 24c | 2,520$605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$604.91 | 165 | 52.7%87 W · 78 L | +8.2wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee3…3a0abacked Alexei Popyrin | 27c | 2,411$651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$651 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5732…9030backed Casper Ruud | 73c | 2,370$1,740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$629.86 | 51 | 64.7%33 W · 18 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Alexei Popyrin | 26c | 2,309$589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$588.93 | 2,462 | 38.5%948 W · 1,514 L | +93.1wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Casper Ruud | 74c | 2,266$1,679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$587.44 | 4,934 | 41.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L | -77.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x698b…4426backed Alexei Popyrin | 26c | 2,137$553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$552.93 | 724 | 52.6%381 W · 343 L | +34.5wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x31c1…7047backed Casper Ruud | 74c | 2,115$1,565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$549.86 | 798 | 55.9%446 W · 352 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Casper Ruud | 77c | 2,045$1,577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$467.51 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dfe…a5d6backed Casper Ruud | 74c | 2,021$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.77 | 504 | 58.9%297 W · 207 L | +9.6wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48cf…c7dfbacked Casper Ruud | 76c | 2,000$1,510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 194 | 52.1%101 W · 93 L | -13.6wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x09b6…f48dbacked Alexei Popyrin | 26c | 2,000$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$514.99 | 320 | 50%160 W · 160 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a47…235bbacked Alexei Popyrin | 3c | 2,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 204 | 12.7%26 W · 178 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf62…a550backed Casper Ruud | 74c | 1,937$1,433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$503.52 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Alexei Popyrin | 1c | 1,853$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.44 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc470…c792backed Alexei Popyrin | 12c | 1,721$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,504 | 35.1%528 W · 976 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc26a…b715backed Alexei Popyrin | 12c | 1,613$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.57 | 573 | 21.8%125 W · 448 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Alexei Popyrin | 12c | 1,501$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.88 | 3,605 | 42.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L | -43.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…aea0backed Alexei Popyrin | 26c | 1,500$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 1,161 | 37.6%437 W · 724 L | -27.8wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cb2…f12fbacked Casper Ruud | 74c | 1,500$1,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.99 | 366 | 61.7%226 W · 140 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Casper Ruud | 72c | 1,483$1,068 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415.34 | 872 | 51.1%446 W · 426 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa42f…5f5abacked Alexei Popyrin | 17c | 1,451$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.61 | 1,010 | 39.2%396 W · 614 L | -23.0wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0267…7f7ebacked Alexei Popyrin | 26c | 1,443$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.18 | 304 | 36.2%110 W · 194 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93cb…3485backed Alexei Popyrin | 27c | 1,401$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.26 | 306 | 39.9%122 W · 184 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Casper Ruud | 75c | 1,396$1,049 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.01 | 430 | 42.8%184 W · 246 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x551d…9326backed Casper Ruud | 72c | 1,381$994 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.67 | 277 | 39%108 W · 169 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d76…9168backed Alexei Popyrin | 28c | 1,362$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.24 | 375 | 40.8%153 W · 222 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Alexei Popyrin | 26c | 1,346$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 1,865 | 45.6%851 W · 1,014 L | +50.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb77…ef9ebacked Casper Ruud | 76c | 1,316$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.79 | 940 | 68.1%640 W · 300 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5fe…e23dbacked Alexei Popyrin | 26c | 1,296$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.95 | 69 | 29%20 W · 49 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x820a…ca12backed Alexei Popyrin | 27c | 1,200$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.99 | 334 | 42.5%142 W · 192 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x62ae…c975backed Alexei Popyrin | 27c | 1,111$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 215 | 37.2%80 W · 135 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +17%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb71…4371backed Casper Ruud | 76c | 1,100$834 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266 | 108 | 48.1%52 W · 56 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Alexei Popyrin | 25c | 1,100$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274 | 1,510 | 37.7%569 W · 941 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3957…35f0backed Casper Ruud | 74c | 1,081$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.08 | 173 | 72.3%125 W · 48 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 71cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Alexei Popyrin | 27c | 1,057$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.39 | 1,031 | 50.3%519 W · 512 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39c6…0ac1backed Casper Ruud | 73c | 1,051$767 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.74 | 332 | 41.6%138 W · 194 L | -10.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Alexei Popyrin | 27c | 1,029$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.58 | 538 | 43.5%234 W · 304 L | +9.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2fe…7558backed Casper Ruud | 74c | 1,000$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -4.1wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xacac…2d37backed Alexei Popyrin | 26c | 1,000$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 90 | 40%36 W · 54 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e9c…1fcabacked Alexei Popyrin | 27c | 925.93$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 84 | 47.6%40 W · 44 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbad…4f53backed Alexei Popyrin | 12c | 833.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 354 | 44.6%158 W · 196 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Casper Ruud | 74c | 810.81$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.81 | 300 | 53.7%161 W · 139 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4afb…ed2bbacked Alexei Popyrin | 26c | 740$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.4 | 166 | 36.7%61 W · 105 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x422c…9840backed Alexei Popyrin | 28c | 700$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196 | 234 | 29.9%70 W · 164 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Alexei Popyrin | 26c | 622.39$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.82 | 785 | 36.1%283 W · 502 L | +36.6wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d12…4070backed Alexei Popyrin | 24c | 602.63$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.63 | 102 | 54.9%56 W · 46 L | +9.6wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x800b…152abacked Casper Ruud | 76c | 600$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 71 | 63.4%45 W · 26 L | +9.4wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbaaf…6188backed Casper Ruud | 74c | 577.28$427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.09 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe6…a99fbacked Alexei Popyrin | 5c | 536.82$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.98 | 753 | 12.2%92 W · 661 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4247…91c4backed Casper Ruud | 74c | 526.57$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.91 | 148 | 49.3%73 W · 75 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed Alexei Popyrin | 24c | 520.83$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 721 | 32%231 W · 490 L | -17.8wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f39…7a21backed Alexei Popyrin | 3c | 501.28$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 28 | 10.7%3 W · 25 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 9cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7906…be5dbacked Casper Ruud | 75c | 500$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 90 | 58.9%53 W · 37 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95c5…d5d3backed Casper Ruud | 71c | 500$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145 | 601 | 58.6%352 W · 249 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f10…c927backed Alexei Popyrin | 23c | 500$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 105 | 43.8%46 W · 59 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a18…61a0backed Casper Ruud | 75c | 489.29$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.52 | 521 | 55.3%288 W · 233 L | +27.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0739…aba8backed Casper Ruud | 74c | 475.65$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.49 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | +3.6wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1def…2e16backed Casper Ruud | 76c | 467.49$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.3 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 65cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe80f…b81bbacked Casper Ruud | 75c | 451.45$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.04 | 180 | 59.4%107 W · 73 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e56…8243backed Alexei Popyrin | 26c | 434.62$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.19per pick | 39cpaid | +46.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x26fb…67b8backed Casper Ruud | 75c | 431.37$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.86 | 651 | 57.1%372 W · 279 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc5f…cf7cbacked Alexei Popyrin | 27c | 427.78$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.5 | 160 | 47.5%76 W · 84 L | +8.0wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd63…a39abacked Alexei Popyrin | 9c | 418.18$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 196 | 37.2%73 W · 123 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf9…b4cabacked Alexei Popyrin | 24c | 410$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.4 | 288 | 28.5%82 W · 206 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdef3…598ebacked Casper Ruud | 74c | 405.41$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.41 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -24%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Geneva Open: Alexei Popyrin vs Casper Ruudthis page
- Set Handicap: Ruud (-1.5) vs Popyrin (+1.5)Ruud won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.