Tennis · resolved market
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Anastasia Potapova vs Venus Williams
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x45e7e6d58cb242e0b86a8d7eac32b160a3a0f140034347290a65c0cca31ebf5f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Anastasia Potapovaof Anastasia Potapova, Venus Williams
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $162,512
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $150,884
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $162,512 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Venus Williams | 8c | 20,472$1,561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,561.17 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90b8…5b23backed Venus Williams | 17c | 16,864$2,784 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,784.45 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed Venus Williams | 5c | 15,003$777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$777.31 | 1,421 | 28.6%407 W · 1,014 L | +4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Venus Williams | 9c | 11,417$1,015 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,015.01 | 3,605 | 42.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L | -43.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Venus Williams | 8c | 7,626$604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$604 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafe6…8192backed Venus Williams | 15c | 2,921$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429 | 248 | 40.7%101 W · 147 L | +11.6wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88b5…a041backed Venus Williams | 16c | 2,312$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.85 | 63 | 36.5%23 W · 40 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Venus Williams | 10c | 2,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 384 | 46.4%178 W · 206 L | +13.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1208…0160backed Venus Williams | 1c | 1,685$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.05 | 309 | 31.1%96 W · 213 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Venus Williams | 12c | 1,666$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.92 | 2,174 | 36.9%802 W · 1,372 L | +39.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Venus Williams | 7c | 1,567$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.68 | 705 | 37.6%265 W · 440 L | -37.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Venus Williams | 15c | 1,239$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.45 | 332 | 35.2%117 W · 215 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a00…9158backed Venus Williams | 12c | 1,041$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.91 | 788 | 40.6%320 W · 468 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Venus Williams | 13c | 1,000$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 3,256 | 48.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L | -53.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5fe…e23dbacked Venus Williams | 16c | 938.52$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.16 | 69 | 29%20 W · 49 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Venus Williams | 12c | 798$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.12 | 1,624 | 49.8%809 W · 815 L | -9.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x323e…1ddabacked Venus Williams | 13c | 775$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.5 | 635 | 37.6%239 W · 396 L | +20.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Venus Williams | 7c | 717.11$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.52 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Venus Williams | 15c | 656.6$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.65 | 2,854 | 39.5%1,126 W · 1,728 L | -83.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95f1…6e6fbacked Venus Williams | 19c | 632.89$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 113 | 38.9%44 W · 69 L | +6.7wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Venus Williams | 15c | 624.41$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.88 | 2,766 | 47.7%1,318 W · 1,448 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Venus Williams | 13c | 600$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf148…0b4fbacked Venus Williams | 17c | 588.24$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 365 | 45.2%165 W · 200 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1861…408dbacked Venus Williams | 13c | 576$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.88 | 448 | 51.6%231 W · 217 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e5e…7315backed Venus Williams | 15c | 554.98$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.25 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Venus Williams | 14c | 528.72$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.02 | 4,703 | 49.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L | +166.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d74…f2abbacked Venus Williams | 10c | 430$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 433 | 34.9%151 W · 282 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Venus Williams | 13c | 380.03$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3556…af4fbacked Venus Williams | 16c | 337.68$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.13 | 277 | 24.9%69 W · 208 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Venus Williams | 17c | 302.06$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.35 | 394 | 46.7%184 W · 210 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Venus Williams | 14c | 300.39$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.84 | 2,247 | 42.7%960 W · 1,287 L | +33.4wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b72…6dbebacked Venus Williams | 17c | 300$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -2.6wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Venus Williams | 13c | 269.99$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.8 | 1,151 | 48.7%560 W · 591 L | +8.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Venus Williams | 13c | 256.91$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.4 | 582 | 32%186 W · 396 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8a1…ceb5backed Venus Williams | 14c | 214.29$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 82 | 34.1%28 W · 54 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Venus Williams | 13c | 202.94$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.37 | 2,375 | 51.1%1,213 W · 1,162 L | +8.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6932…6878backed Venus Williams | 13c | 200$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 868 | 35.4%307 W · 561 L | +22.9wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbac6…0405backed Venus Williams | 17c | 190$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.3 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.13per pick | 29cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90b3…0db9backed Venus Williams | 16c | 183.45$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.35 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Venus Williams | 8c | 180$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a8d…7688backed Venus Williams | 8c | 165.42$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.25 | 331 | 65%215 W · 116 L | +22.6wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Venus Williams | 13c | 138$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.94 | 195 | 37.4%73 W · 122 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecdb…c4c7backed Venus Williams | 18c | 128.64$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 559 | 41.3%231 W · 328 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…d9a6backed Venus Williams | 16c | 125$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 34 | 20.6%7 W · 27 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdff7…d9d4backed Venus Williams | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 250 | 20.8%52 W · 198 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5998…b5a8backed Venus Williams | 17c | 92.9$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.79 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | -5.0wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd6…1b08backed Venus Williams | 17c | 89.65$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.24 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff84…5a72backed Venus Williams | 13c | 86.31$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.22 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Venus Williams | 19c | 84.25$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.01 | 3,874 | 45.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42c7…c415backed Venus Williams | 17c | 63.84$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.85 | 156 | 51.3%80 W · 76 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Mubadala Citi DC Open: Anastasia Potapova vs Venus Williamsthis page
- Anastasia Potapova vs. Venus Williams: Total Sets O/U 2.5Under 2.5 won
- Set Handicap: Potapova (-1.5) vs Williams (+1.5)Potapova won
- Set Handicap: Williams (-1.5) vs Potapova (+1.5)Potapova won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.