Tennis · resolved market
Geneva Open: Casper Ruud vs Mariano Navone
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6bd7c8ebd6546f5ea3888b5c6025b7aa89a0c646db77a9a056d5fc5d7341c833
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Mariano Navoneof Casper Ruud, Mariano Navone
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $964,096
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $951,105
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $964,096 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 598 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Mariano Navone | 47c | 43,299$20,431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,867.28 | 4,185 | 44.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L | +14.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Mariano Navone | 67c | 40,023$26,752 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,271.8 | 1,193 | 48.9%583 W · 610 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x984b…867abacked Mariano Navone | 29c | 38,601$11,024 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,576.69 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56c9…0d9ebacked Mariano Navone | 70c | 31,658$22,183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,475.13 | 69 | 72.5%50 W · 19 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 72cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b2b…5752backed Casper Ruud | 29c | 25,524$7,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,400.15 | 214 | 54.7%117 W · 97 L | +13.1wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03f8…d85abacked Casper Ruud | 65c | 25,190$16,418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,417.64 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63a4…0091backed Mariano Navone | 18c | 20,000$3,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,299.98 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9c4…7433backed Mariano Navone | 19c | 20,000$3,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,199.88 | 216 | 42.6%92 W · 124 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Mariano Navone | 54c | 16,925$9,152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,773.42 | 4,703 | 49.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L | +166.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Mariano Navone | 18c | 16,348$2,943 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,405.58 | 785 | 36.1%283 W · 502 L | +36.6wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Mariano Navone | 46c | 16,165$7,516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,648.93 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Mariano Navone | 19c | 16,108$3,107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,000.69 | 2,462 | 38.5%948 W · 1,514 L | +93.1wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x479e…91c3backed Casper Ruud | 63c | 15,980$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 441 | 63.7%281 W · 160 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Mariano Navone | 50c | 15,579$7,842 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,736.38 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Mariano Navone | 17c | 15,000$2,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,450 | 4,076 | 39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x328f…efe2backed Mariano Navone | 24c | 14,490$3,528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,961.99 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x433f…a0dcbacked Casper Ruud | 52c | 11,130$5,785 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,784.64 | 61 | 27.9%17 W · 44 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Casper Ruud | 45c | 10,860$4,855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,855.18 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae30…079ebacked Mariano Navone | 19c | 10,526$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,526.32 | 416 | 45.4%189 W · 227 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Mariano Navone | 53c | 10,473$5,507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,965.72 | 2,068 | 34.9%721 W · 1,347 L | -44.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1eaf…9bf0backed Casper Ruud | 75c | 9,286$6,951 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,950.86 | 567 | 57.1%324 W · 243 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Mariano Navone | 42c | 9,247$3,897 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,350.44 | 1,178 | 46.3%545 W · 633 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd65…ee96backed Casper Ruud | 56c | 8,949$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 363 | 46.8%170 W · 193 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5031…1ffbbacked Casper Ruud | 71c | 8,800$6,248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,248 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Mariano Navone | 59c | 8,314$4,947 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,367.44 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3663…8950backed Casper Ruud | 34c | 8,200$2,788 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,788 | 392 | 43.4%170 W · 222 L | +21.0wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +11%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x336b…1233backed Mariano Navone | 44c | 7,993$3,493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,500.49 | 579 | 39.7%230 W · 349 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…7f92backed Casper Ruud | 72c | 7,200$5,149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,148.99 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2f…3531backed Casper Ruud | 70c | 6,983$4,888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,887.87 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf284…b9f9backed Casper Ruud | 77c | 6,973$5,385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,385.23 | 138 | 43.5%60 W · 78 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd23f…0b63backed Casper Ruud | 52c | 6,951$3,587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,587.08 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4340…363dbacked Casper Ruud | 32c | 6,791$2,206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,206 | 184 | 45.7%84 W · 100 L | -6.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51e1…5ec9backed Casper Ruud | 14c | 6,500$890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$889.99 | 440 | 18.9%83 W · 357 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Mariano Navone | 38c | 6,120$2,318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,801.35 | 4,533 | 67.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L | +306.6wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xec59…bb35backed Casper Ruud | 36c | 6,000$2,130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,129.99 | 246 | 43.9%108 W · 138 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f64…3633backed Mariano Navone | 19c | 5,949$1,115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,834.16 | 992 | 49.4%490 W · 502 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa42f…5f5abacked Casper Ruud | 38c | 5,647$2,147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,147.23 | 1,010 | 39.2%396 W · 614 L | -23.0wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19b1…83a0backed Casper Ruud | 73c | 5,548$4,071 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,071 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +3.8wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e4…bf9dbacked Casper Ruud | 46c | 5,057$2,329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,328.81 | 180 | 47.2%85 W · 95 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Casper Ruud | 72c | 4,985$3,568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,568.1 | 1,107 | 42.8%474 W · 633 L | -20.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb77…ef9ebacked Casper Ruud | 72c | 4,867$3,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,500 | 940 | 68.1%640 W · 300 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Casper Ruud | 50c | 4,792$2,392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,392 | 4,934 | 41.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L | -77.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x594d…059dbacked Casper Ruud | 63c | 4,704$2,943 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,942.53 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde19…3c92backed Mariano Navone | 43c | 4,400$1,896 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,504 | 79 | 53.2%42 W · 37 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Mariano Navone | 19c | 4,217$792 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,424.96 | 2,174 | 36.9%802 W · 1,372 L | +39.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6982…a165backed Casper Ruud | 69c | 4,145$2,856 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,855.85 | 629 | 56.9%358 W · 271 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16db…8d0fbacked Mariano Navone | 28c | 4,000$1,109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,890.9 | 165 | 52.7%87 W · 78 L | +8.2wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5fe…e23dbacked Mariano Navone | 25c | 4,000$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,020 | 69 | 29%20 W · 49 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d76…9168backed Mariano Navone | 25c | 4,000$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,979.94 | 375 | 40.8%153 W · 222 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3df…9945backed Mariano Navone | 38c | 3,925$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,424.79 | 268 | 47.8%128 W · 140 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf56b…ac88backed Mariano Navone | 40c | 3,912$1,575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,337.07 | 114 | 38.6%44 W · 70 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71fd…1397backed Casper Ruud | 61c | 3,600$2,210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,209.99 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed Mariano Navone | 20c | 3,500$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,800 | 1,421 | 28.6%407 W · 1,014 L | +4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Mariano Navone | 22c | 3,355$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,605.26 | 1,865 | 45.6%851 W · 1,014 L | +50.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Mariano Navone | 44c | 3,193$1,408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,785.11 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Mariano Navone | 19c | 3,154$599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,555.12 | 423 | 41.4%175 W · 248 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5d4…8b32backed Casper Ruud | 3c | 3,116$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.3 | 1,206 | 8%96 W · 1,110 L | +17.2wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | +80.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Mariano Navone | 61c | 3,052$1,857 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,194.67 | 1,681 | 50%841 W · 840 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0574…3ee0backed Casper Ruud | 20c | 3,042$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620 | 71 | 21.1%15 W · 56 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a63…fc03backed Casper Ruud | 80c | 3,000$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,400 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa538…12c3backed Casper Ruud | 80c | 3,000$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,400 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc181…0992backed Casper Ruud | 73c | 3,000$2,190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,190 | 656 | 51.8%340 W · 316 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5732…9030backed Casper Ruud | 64c | 3,000$1,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,919.99 | 51 | 64.7%33 W · 18 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x820a…ca12backed Mariano Navone | 23c | 3,000$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,309.96 | 334 | 42.5%142 W · 192 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Mariano Navone | 19c | 3,000$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,429.96 | 689 | 35%241 W · 448 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18de…7c92backed Casper Ruud | 67c | 2,966$1,987 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,987.31 | 147 | 54.4%80 W · 67 L | -7.4wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf658…655ebacked Casper Ruud | 51c | 2,941$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -2.6wins | -0.16per pick | 60cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaa96…5a05backed Casper Ruud | 46c | 2,725$1,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,260 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcec1…9c0cbacked Mariano Navone | 18c | 2,713$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,224.32 | 299 | 52.2%156 W · 143 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70f7…d7debacked Casper Ruud | 16c | 2,657$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423 | 49 | 32.7%16 W · 33 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Mariano Navone | 26c | 2,408$633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,775.1 | 2,523 | 39.6%1,000 W · 1,523 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa39a…1246backed Casper Ruud | 77c | 2,400$1,848 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,848 | 111 | 49.5%55 W · 56 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Casper Ruud | 51c | 2,256$1,153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,152.57 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbf3…aa3abacked Mariano Navone | 67c | 2,223$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$723.03 | 207 | 48.3%100 W · 107 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Casper Ruud | 31c | 2,214$686 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$686.49 | 659 | 52.5%346 W · 313 L | +27.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Mariano Navone | 24c | 2,131$511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,619.56 | 1,031 | 50.3%519 W · 512 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Mariano Navone | 25c | 2,096$533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,562.83 | 1,865 | 44.7%834 W · 1,031 L | +36.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58e4…73f9backed Casper Ruud | 51c | 2,059$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050 | 307 | 41.7%128 W · 179 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8f…cca7backed Mariano Navone | 20c | 2,050$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,640 | 377 | 38.2%144 W · 233 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7906…be5dbacked Casper Ruud | 77c | 2,000$1,540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,540 | 90 | 58.9%53 W · 37 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed Mariano Navone | 58c | 2,000$1,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840 | 1,148 | 53%608 W · 540 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cef…fa91backed Mariano Navone | 19c | 2,000$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,619.99 | 193 | 39.4%76 W · 117 L | +11.3wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d96…7c16backed Mariano Navone | 19c | 2,000$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,619.98 | 80 | 45%36 W · 44 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1491…11d3backed Mariano Navone | 50c | 1,900$959 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$941 | 161 | 33.5%54 W · 107 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…985ebacked Mariano Navone | 48c | 1,898$911 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$987.24 | 2,145 | 54.2%1,162 W · 983 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Casper Ruud | 71c | 1,848$1,318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,318.19 | 1,959 | 43.7%857 W · 1,102 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed Casper Ruud | 4c | 1,810$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.41 | 278 | 36.7%102 W · 176 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5123…2f31backed Mariano Navone | 25c | 1,789$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,347.79 | 183 | 15.8%29 W · 154 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…5878backed Mariano Navone | 19c | 1,634$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,323.33 | 277 | 33.6%93 W · 184 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25d8…a71fbacked Casper Ruud | 67c | 1,606$1,076 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,076.01 | 308 | 57.1%176 W · 132 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca4…348fbacked Casper Ruud | 63c | 1,587$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 294 | 43.5%128 W · 166 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdad6…63a0backed Mariano Navone | 26c | 1,538$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,138.46 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x62ae…c975backed Mariano Navone | 20c | 1,500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200 | 215 | 37.2%80 W · 135 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +17%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x108d…b85dbacked Casper Ruud | 74c | 1,468$1,093 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,093.22 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc905…850bbacked Casper Ruud | 51c | 1,422$725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$725 | 357 | 55.5%198 W · 159 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Mariano Navone | 60c | 1,415$852 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$563.51 | 2,049 | 46.8%958 W · 1,091 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6c3…55a3backed Casper Ruud | 42c | 1,405$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585.29 | 148 | 35.8%53 W · 95 L | -10.4wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Mariano Navone | 34c | 1,319$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$869.11 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33c9…6f9abacked Mariano Navone | 72c | 1,300$936 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364 | 930 | 55.8%519 W · 411 L | +23.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5617…a1f2backed Casper Ruud | 34c | 1,300$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Geneva Open: Casper Ruud vs Mariano Navonethis page
- Casper Ruud vs. Mariano Navone: Total Sets O/U 2.5Under 2.5 won
- Set 1 Winner: Ruud vs NavoneNavone won
- Set Handicap: Ruud (-1.5) vs Navone (+1.5)Navone won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.