F1 · resolved market
Will Charles Leclerc get pole position at the 2026 F1 Austrian Grand Prix?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6d2302053771c42c620a7ef3ef51c9ea39f8be042cf11460c618b98cdf8d09e7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- F1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $46,515
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $45,538
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $46,515 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in F1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in F1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x40c6…2941backed Yes | 1c | 2,537$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.99 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 15cpaid | -34%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa8…026dbacked Yes | 32c | 2,100$672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$672.19 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | +3.4wins | +0.09per pick | 33cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x48ec…8f36backed No | 29c | 2,068$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,468.27 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.69per pick | 31cpaid | +231.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x235e…5673backed Yes | 43c | 2,000$868 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$868.4 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 14c | 1,763$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.08 | 75 | 45.3%34 W · 41 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd552…5ebebacked Yes | 9c | 1,761$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked Yes | 8c | 1,694$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.22 | 99 | 35.4%35 W · 64 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x220d…9237backed Yes | 63c | 1,577$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 41cpaid | +125.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2654…c2b2backed Yes | 11c | 1,427$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 1c | 1,320$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.87 | 376 | 6.9%26 W · 350 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x930b…0223backed Yes | 8c | 1,297$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -2.9wins | -0.22per pick | 38cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 72c | 1,219$878 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.74 | 79 | 44.3%35 W · 44 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 40c | 1,081$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$651.12 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8815…438dbacked Yes | 30c | 873.07$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.88 | 37 | 16.2%6 W · 31 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd29d…b038backed Yes | 10c | 762.16$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.58 | 100 | 20%20 W · 80 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5fe…e23dbacked Yes | 78c | 760$589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$589.4 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 40cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa492…adbebacked Yes | 10c | 675.19$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.66 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bfb…26a7backed Yes | 12c | 670.91$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.79 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e2…1f9abacked Yes | 8c | 605.36$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.16 | 247 | 20.6%51 W · 196 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0be4…b548backed Yes | 15c | 503.31$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.26 | 37 | 27%10 W · 27 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a70…5e45backed Yes | 16c | 449.68$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.88 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 13cpaid | +244.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c09…4073backed Yes | 12c | 400$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.3 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | +191.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5606…9bd7backed Yes | 64c | 380$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904f…50c6backed Yes | 17c | 377$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 159 | 22%35 W · 124 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2809…1652backed Yes | 9c | 357.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7243…83f0backed Yes | 58c | 343.19$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.59 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25e3…9f8cbacked Yes | 5c | 321.1$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.87 | 68 | 19.1%13 W · 55 L | +4.6wins | +0.07per pick | 12cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe363…0be2backed Yes | 70c | 286.32$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.14per pick | 32cpaid | +108.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Yes | 9c | 266.75$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.57 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 20cpaid | -71.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62d6…54e8backed Yes | 70c | 264.85$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.4 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.8wins | -0.31per pick | 54cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed Yes | 47c | 262.46$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.59 | 81 | 38.3%31 W · 50 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Yes | 67c | 247$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.84 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94e4…c3e8backed Yes | 13c | 229.44$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.8 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed No | 45c | 212.86$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.18 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +2.9wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3844…7285backed No | 28c | 209.05$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.78 | 65 | 23.1%15 W · 50 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed No | 68c | 197.03$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.79 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d7d…10fcbacked No | 53c | 191.4$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.38 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x256c…782cbacked Yes | 15c | 119.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.84 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 23cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x077c…8b1fbacked No | 50c | 119.86$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.44 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef5c…661dbacked Yes | 78c | 106.38$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.8 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +524.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fc5…004abacked Yes | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9a4…dbc9backed No | 30c | 98.27$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.79 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.70per pick | 30cpaid | +233.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf791…ae5bbacked Yes | 23c | 85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.75 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 30cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked No | 41c | 80.76$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.51 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xab20…d9e2backed Yes | 78c | 75.96$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 33c | 67.18$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.35 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90b3…0db9backed Yes | 78c | 64.43$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…e36cbacked Yes | 19c | 55.87$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.87 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked No | 33c | 46.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.62 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…7976backed Yes | 54c | 46.47$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 68 | 29.4%20 W · 48 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…dd86backed No | 41c | 40$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.79 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +54.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…d9a6backed Yes | 78c | 25.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e3d…e635backed Yes | 45c | 24.56$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2572…a585backed Yes | 78c | 19.18$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf836…e7b5backed Yes | 78c | 15.77$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7e6…609dbacked Yes | 72c | 15.21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.96 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in F1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Charles Leclerc get pole position at the 2026 F1 Austrian Grand Prix?this page
- Will George Russell get pole position at the 2026 F1 Austrian Grand Prix?Yes won
- Will Kimi Antonelli get pole position at the 2026 F1 Austrian Grand Prix?No won
- Will Lando Norris get pole position at the 2026 F1 Austrian Grand Prix?No won
- Will Lewis Hamilton get pole position at the 2026 F1 Austrian Grand Prix?No won
- Will Max Verstappen get pole position at the 2026 F1 Austrian Grand Prix?No won
- Will Oscar Piastri get pole position at the 2026 F1 Austrian Grand Prix?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.