TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

F1 · resolved market

Will Kimi Antonelli get pole position at the 2026 F1 Austrian Grand Prix?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
F1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$43,676
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$53,254

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $43,676 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 122 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in F1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in F1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xddc3…029cbacked No42c9,683$4,102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,581.071618.8%3 W · 13 L-1.8wins-0.11per pick30cpaid-54.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed Yes65c4,556$2,950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,949.592025%5 W · 15 L-2.9wins-0.15per pick40cpaid-41.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No35c1,929$682 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,247.77545.3%34 W · 41 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-14.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeda0…7dffbacked No44c1,869$831 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,037.41812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick20cpaid-71.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x626e…fa46backed Yes60c1,549$924 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$923.74320.9%9 W · 34 L-4.3wins-0.10per pick31cpaid-30.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xaa84…7fddbacked Yes53c1,142$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$600944.4%4 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Yes49c1,124$551 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$550.9910652.8%56 W · 50 L+6.1wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+10.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd761…56e3backed No41c1,050$433 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$616.28366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.31per pick36cpaid+37.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x235e…5673backed Yes48c999.98$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$479.991435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-9.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x30ee…a587backed Yes66c957$636 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$635.859164.8%59 W · 32 L+13.8wins+0.15per pick50cpaid+33.6%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes55c948.99$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$519.587944.3%35 W · 44 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick41cpaid-25.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8857…4b5bbacked No52c942.5$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$452.5728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick36cpaid-43.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7f3f…8175backed Yes2c934.85$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15742.9%3 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.23per pick20cpaid+141.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6770…c3bdbacked Yes57c872.08$494 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$493.741241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-28.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Yes57c851.18$482 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$482.392334.8%8 W · 15 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-22.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Yes56c826.79$464 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$464.462227.3%6 W · 16 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick35cpaid-48.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x312d…6814backed No41c733.88$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$435.129165.9%60 W · 31 L+10.1wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+13.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x0459…437fbacked Yes52c581.15$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3002528%7 W · 18 L-3.2wins-0.13per pick41cpaid-50%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb5de…cabebacked Yes54c557.68$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298.512240.9%9 W · 13 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa76c…dc83backed Yes37c542.08$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2005418.5%10 W · 44 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-23.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3257…2f3bbacked Yes63c498.72$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$314.735337.7%20 W · 33 L-4.0wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-37%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf055…02b5backed Yes67c445.51$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001050%5 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf1e2…1f9abacked Yes33c402.61$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.4424720.6%51 W · 196 L-0.5wins0.00per pick21cpaid-13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe411…04c5backed No49c400$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2043348.5%16 W · 17 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-18.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51f7…ae1fbacked No51c391.37$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.211266.1%74 W · 38 L+8.3wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+8.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb8ee…9e81backed No36c384.99$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$248.258138.3%31 W · 50 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-22.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x64fb…e81cbacked No52c384.9$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.9771.4%5 W · 2 L+2.5wins+0.35per pick36cpaid+120.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No57c377.62$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.023151.6%16 W · 15 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-14.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x168a…da29backed No42c367$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.6414458.3%84 W · 60 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0380…073dbacked No52c359.48$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.043271.9%23 W · 9 L+2.0wins+0.06per pick66cpaid+9.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2b3d…8db7backed No33c328.51$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.337115.5%11 W · 60 L-4.6wins-0.07per pick22cpaid-44.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7300…e52cbacked No46c326.25$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.674136.6%15 W · 26 L-0.1wins0.00per pick37cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x34c3…db41backed Yes63c315.71$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa01b…bc1dbacked Yes32c310.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002548%12 W · 13 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+43.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3255…c6c7backed Yes31c309$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.792528%7 W · 18 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick27cpaid+2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x332a…c9a2backed No37c300$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1897715.6%12 W · 65 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick18cpaid-45.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3c69…b1debacked No37c300$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.11100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.63per pick37cpaid+170.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed No59c290.17$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.213237.5%12 W · 20 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-31.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked Yes48c284.52$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.5710051%51 W · 49 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd29d…b038backed Yes13c261.4$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.7410020%20 W · 80 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick21cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd1a6…1507backed No67c260.02$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.944852.1%25 W · 23 L-2.4wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-21.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes49c231.5$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.4210128.7%29 W · 72 L-0.4wins0.00per pick29cpaid-21.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd552…5ebebacked Yes47c211.47$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.871827.8%5 W · 13 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick24cpaid+35.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x54b7…80b6backed Yes54c203.12$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.191233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-9.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f1c…a94dbacked Yes40c200$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$801540%6 W · 9 L+0.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d8a…2953backed Yes49c199.99$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$983023.3%7 W · 23 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick28cpaid-24.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xefac…c9a1backed Yes59c195.12$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.028127.2%22 W · 59 L-6.2wins-0.08per pick35cpaid-32.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa9e3…706fbacked Yes57c175.88$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003652.8%19 W · 17 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+1.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed No40c173.68$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.153766.9%26 W · 350 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick8cpaid-67.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb42…6e09backed Yes52c167.91$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x03c6…3dd2backed Yes66c151.52$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.18per pick61cpaid-30.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x511f…cbe1backed No49c150.08$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.263467.6%23 W · 11 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick63cpaid+10.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2461…f240backed Yes52c150$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd68e…8048backed Yes56c137.31$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.64333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-44.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x077c…8b1fbacked No79c113.7$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.051060%6 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick64cpaid-12.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked No42c104$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.063636.1%13 W · 23 L-2.6wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-35.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4e72…ffb9backed No52c103.12$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.691163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick62cpaid+7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe26e…036bbacked No52c102.55$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.311729.4%5 W · 12 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-22.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3653…ef74backed No49c102.19$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.351060%6 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb171…7d2bbacked Yes50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-34.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4e18…7bb9backed Yes66c100$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$661266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+40.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd084…bdc9backed No49c99.65$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.931947.4%9 W · 10 L+2.4wins+0.12per pick35cpaid+88.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc7c9…2ef8backed Yes72c99.28$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.1450%0 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x256c…782cbacked No35c97.93$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.65333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick23cpaid-4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa04d…c34ebacked Yes63c94.52$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601250%6 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4740…fa66backed Yes53c94.34$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.22per pick38cpaid-69.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe196…7976backed No30c90.33$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.336829.4%20 W · 48 L+0.3wins0.00per pick29cpaid-11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8e12…0ea4backed Yes48c90$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.22339.1%9 W · 14 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+8.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x64d4…f056backed No51c81.37$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.872661.5%16 W · 10 L+2.9wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+39.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa5a1…3f04backed No54c80.74$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.142100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+103.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb6a8…b1f7backed No50c78.92$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.462927.6%8 W · 21 L+2.0wins+0.07per pick21cpaid+39.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc036…30d4backed Yes65c76.92$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501957.9%11 W · 8 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+14.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa5dd…345cbacked Yes53c75.47$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402540%10 W · 15 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-12.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb2e4…b7f1backed No51c69.33$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$341070%7 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.11per pick59cpaid+17.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4f1d…8de2backed No51c61.85$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.442673.1%19 W · 7 L+2.1wins+0.08per pick65cpaid+15%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Yes48c60.71$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.372642.3%11 W · 15 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-2.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb4e9…076abacked No31c60$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.5683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.27per pick57cpaid+65.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x416c…a782backed Yes52c57.69$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3030%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x13c8…a814backed Yes53c56.6$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4175…e9babacked Yes54c56.36$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.620%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb2b6…acebbacked Yes65c53.47$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351050%5 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x16c7…22cdbacked No53c51.15$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.89944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick55cpaid-13.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd104…7c02backed Yes39c50.77$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203834.2%13 W · 25 L-3.3wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-29.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2fc5…004abacked Yes57c50$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.51030%3 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick30cpaid-48.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d49…5ecebacked No41c49.99$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.4248.3%2 W · 22 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick14cpaid-80.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x333d…6127backed Yes62c48.69$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3050%0 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf83e…4663backed No44c46.71$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.94666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+25.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x70bb…14c2backed Yes54c46.48$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252343.5%10 W · 13 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-25%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1700…1304backed Yes54c46.3$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x035c…eef3backed Yes52c46.15$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1abc…45e7backed No48c44.93$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.161060%6 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x25e3…9f8cbacked Yes33c44.72$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.876819.1%13 W · 55 L+4.6wins+0.07per pick12cpaid+20.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xda88…4fd7backed Yes55c44.28$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.55825%2 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-29.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9b12…c2d5backed No48c41.5$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.581070%7 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.11per pick59cpaid+25.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9196…c311backed No37c40.2$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.24827.1%13 W · 35 L0.0wins0.00per pick27cpaid-20.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7dc1…0a86backed No51c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.61330.8%4 W · 9 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick35cpaid+62.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe561…9231backed No39c40$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.61per pick39cpaid+156.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd8cd…e77cbacked No50c37.8$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.9580%4 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.36per pick44cpaid+74.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8b8b…2512backed No56c37.64$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.721172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.8wins+0.16per pick56cpaid+42.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2b59…9db6backed No69c36.77$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.494946.9%23 W · 26 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-22.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in F1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.