TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

F1 · resolved market

Will George Russell get pole position at the 2026 F1 Austrian Grand Prix?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
F1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$103,457
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$108,051

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $103,457 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in F1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in F1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe21d…54e9backed No0c19,980$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.9810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No11c5,135$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$549.937545.3%34 W · 41 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-14.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No29c4,051$1,172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,172.117944.3%35 W · 44 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick41cpaid-25.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9301…3b67backed No9c3,543$313 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$312.74728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.19per pick48cpaid-52.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xecb1…5da3backed No9c2,868$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258.148939.3%35 W · 54 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-8.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3ce9…0cf5backed Yes53c2,847$1,519 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,327.8811836.4%43 W · 75 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+14.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed No27c2,518$678 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$678.223237.5%12 W · 20 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-31.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe9d2…7ad6backed No9c2,356$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.9410065%65 W · 35 L+20.3wins+0.20per pick45cpaid+66.6%equal weight68+0.16 edge/pick
0xe72b…b0a0backed No19c2,295$427 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$427.341145.5%5 W · 6 L+1.3wins+0.12per pick33cpaid+5.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd29d…b038backed Yes25c2,157$547 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,609.2310020%20 W · 80 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick21cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x904f…50c6backed No6c1,862$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.7715922%35 W · 124 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick20cpaid-4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x40f7…1f5ebacked Yes21c1,687$353 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,334.541330.8%4 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcd91…32b8backed No65c1,190$780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$779.613256.3%18 W · 14 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b59…9db6backed No11c1,129$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.714946.9%23 W · 26 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-22.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeda0…7dffbacked No63c940.18$589 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$589.37812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick20cpaid-71.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked No11c906.09$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.861926.3%5 W · 14 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-48.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa76c…dc83backed Yes23c888.75$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$688.755418.5%10 W · 44 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-23.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked No19c845.96$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.542227.3%6 W · 16 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick35cpaid-48.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa492…adbebacked No9c740$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.93026.7%8 W · 22 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-20.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x25e3…9f8cbacked Yes21c695.1$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$552.376819.1%13 W · 55 L+4.6wins+0.07per pick12cpaid+20.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No47c680.24$317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$317.53151.6%16 W · 15 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-14.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x033f…618ebacked No62c632$391 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$390.669935.4%35 W · 64 L-4.8wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-24.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf055…02b5backed Yes50c600$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3001050%5 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd761…56e3backed No8c600$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.47366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.31per pick36cpaid+37.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x30ee…a587backed Yes29c600$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$424.659164.8%59 W · 32 L+13.8wins+0.15per pick50cpaid+33.6%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xb8ee…9e81backed Yes72c563.38$407 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.348138.3%31 W · 50 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-22.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x168a…da29backed No78c551.75$428 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$428.3714458.3%84 W · 60 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xcfce…ef3bbacked No4c545.85$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xddc3…029cbacked No78c532.48$415 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$415.331618.8%3 W · 13 L-1.8wins-0.11per pick30cpaid-54.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0be4…b548backed Yes22c500.01$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$390.363727%10 W · 27 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick24cpaid-5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x64fb…e81cbacked Yes22c454.55$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$354.55771.4%5 W · 2 L+2.5wins+0.35per pick36cpaid+120.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked No79c448.68$354 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$353.7210837%40 W · 68 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-18.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked No25c427.06$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.6110652.8%56 W · 50 L+6.1wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+10.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8e12…0ea4backed Yes69c360$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.22339.1%9 W · 14 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+8.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6770…c3bdbacked No10c349.09$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.741241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-28.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe363…0be2backed Yes27c332.22$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242.221346.2%6 W · 7 L+1.9wins+0.14per pick32cpaid+108.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked No78c323.84$253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252.5910051%51 W · 49 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3255…c6c7backed Yes22c308.99$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241.012528%7 W · 18 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick27cpaid+2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x58c3…ebfabacked Yes32c299.99$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.99250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick18cpaid+56.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6657…8e4fbacked No48c277.96$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.221118.2%2 W · 9 L-2.3wins-0.21per pick39cpaid-69.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked No28c270.76$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.763636.1%13 W · 23 L-2.6wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-35.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd1a6…1507backed No77c266.38$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.454852.1%25 W · 23 L-2.4wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-21.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3d7d…10fcbacked No37c261.18$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.992050%10 W · 10 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-21.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4846…32e0backed Yes18c234.91$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.232100%2 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.72per pick28cpaid+315.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes24c233.45$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.6610128.7%29 W · 72 L-0.4wins0.00per pick29cpaid-21.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7dc1…0a86backed Yes24c230$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.31330.8%4 W · 9 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick35cpaid+62.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb52e…cdcebacked Yes22c221.61$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.91450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick57cpaid+52.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d8a…2953backed Yes22c200$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1563023.3%7 W · 23 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick28cpaid-24.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf1e2…1f9abacked Yes12c200$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17624720.6%51 W · 196 L-0.5wins0.00per pick21cpaid-13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3844…7285backed Yes22c178.66$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.666523.1%15 W · 50 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick20cpaid+19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b78…f14fbacked Yes18c170.7$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.71618.8%3 W · 13 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick16cpaid+57%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xade9…6f2abacked Yes75c167.06$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.31875%6 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+68.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2461…f240backed Yes17c154.98$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.48742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc8d8…e72dbacked Yes22c150$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.65619.6%11 W · 45 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick19cpaid-21.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x9304…a781backed Yes17c147.06$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.06366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.44per pick23cpaid+186.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2b3d…8db7backed Yes14c145$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.97115.5%11 W · 60 L-4.6wins-0.07per pick22cpaid-44.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed No54c141$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.536050%30 W · 30 L+3.7wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+21.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4388…5050backed Yes46c137.78$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.8310142.6%43 W · 58 L+6.2wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+4.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x626e…fa46backed No31c137.67$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.564320.9%9 W · 34 L-4.3wins-0.10per pick31cpaid-30.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0781…c4ffbacked No79c128$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.846827.9%19 W · 49 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick30cpaid+19.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x077c…8b1fbacked No76c119.86$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.331060%6 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick64cpaid-12.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a85…bb09backed Yes21c104.76$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.76250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick18cpaid+138.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4676…b720backed No26c104.36$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.182060%12 W · 8 L+1.6wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+5.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb775…36f5backed Yes22c100.45$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.451353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+40.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b73…e9f3backed Yes45c100$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.01250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd201…cf12backed Yes10c100$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90728.6%2 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.14per pick15cpaid+185.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4cf5…7170backed Yes20c99.74$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.79425%1 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.16per pick9cpaid+25%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8fe7…6c1fbacked No45c97.63$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.942951.7%15 W · 14 L-2.4wins-0.08per pick60cpaid-14.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed No37c97.01$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.022839.3%11 W · 17 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed No80c93.03$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.397950.6%40 W · 39 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+16.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4245…497dbacked Yes20c92.45$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.751145.5%5 W · 6 L+1.5wins+0.14per pick31cpaid+57%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9e62…64a7backed Yes18c83.33$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.331747.1%8 W · 9 L+2.1wins+0.12per pick35cpaid+34.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb969…fd97backed Yes15c80$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68560%3 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.22per pick38cpaid+120.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x40ef…d38abacked Yes69c74.44$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.29250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-27.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9bd…e007backed Yes28c71.08$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.081540%6 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-18.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7f1d…45dcbacked Yes43c69.78$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.781100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+132.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f85…7b02backed No80c65.78$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.571154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick62cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7df0…0dfebacked No77c53.06$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.932969%20 W · 9 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick64cpaid+9.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x937c…7927backed Yes30c49.58$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.58250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+65.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe411…04c5backed No77c47.39$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.493348.5%16 W · 17 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-18.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x64d4…f056backed Yes39c44.56$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.172661.5%16 W · 10 L+2.9wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+39.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc036…30d4backed No68c44.12$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301957.9%11 W · 8 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+14.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf83e…4663backed No78c43.58$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.78666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+25.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed No78c42.77$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.418651.2%44 W · 42 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x655a…5024backed Yes25c40$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick28cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x31a4…dd86backed No69c40$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.65366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+54.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4b66…4673backed Yes71c15.53$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.53250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-29.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in F1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.