TailMyPicks
Market

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: GenOne vs Ursa (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stage

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Ursaof GenOne, Ursa
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$30,222
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$35,810

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,222 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 112 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdbdd…a5debacked GenOne51c4,111$2,079 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,079.457,99050.4%4,029 W · 3,961 L+180.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5407…251cbacked Ursa55c3,000$1,650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,349.9914857.4%85 W · 63 L+11.9wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+22.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x31d4…a7abbacked Ursa45c1,500$675 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$824.9816447%77 W · 87 L+7.6wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+18.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc4bb…22a9backed Ursa53c1,383$733 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$650.527647.1%130 W · 146 L-9.9wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe8e1…49ddbacked GenOne57c1,065$604 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$603.871,39848.4%676 W · 722 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd8b6…c7dbbacked Ursa54c1,060$571 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$489.0736253.3%193 W · 169 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84d8…9ccdbacked GenOne36c1,043$378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$377.744557.8%26 W · 19 L+5.0wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+23.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Ursa54c990.91$536 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$454.674,03848.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaebf…e1cabacked GenOne37c980.69$367 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$366.8936240.3%146 W · 216 L-15.9wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-10.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8e8c…65ddbacked Ursa62c881.24$545 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$336.0984454.3%458 W · 386 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed GenOne36c544.85$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.375,87637.7%2,213 W · 3,663 L+71.9wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2133…7903backed Ursa35c499.99$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$324.9940234.6%139 W · 263 L-10.2wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa094…3f07backed Ursa48c499.06$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$259.5124942.2%105 W · 144 L-0.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed GenOne50c449.56$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226.894,09951%2,091 W · 2,008 L+74.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed GenOne46c429.12$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.816,50142.9%2,791 W · 3,710 L-79.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x368d…d853backed GenOne35c399.5$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.3278348.4%379 W · 404 L+17.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xad72…4f5ebacked GenOne56c390.27$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.1824538.4%94 W · 151 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Ursa50c382.42$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.695,58047.2%2,632 W · 2,948 L+47.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9a5…c602backed Ursa20c360.78$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$287.9833237%123 W · 209 L-1.4wins0.00per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3db4…d69bbacked Ursa55c353.33$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15975356.8%428 W · 325 L+48.1wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+13.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1b59…0ba0backed GenOne31c341$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.7156938.1%217 W · 352 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c1a…42d8backed Ursa36c340.35$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.5515641%64 W · 92 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ca6…6a20backed GenOne45c322.33$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.0547447.5%225 W · 249 L-12.7wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-3.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x588d…3f41backed GenOne54c298.03$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.8883643.5%364 W · 472 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-7.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e48…6158backed Ursa67c294.02$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.0238052.6%200 W · 180 L+0.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x45da…72febacked Ursa63c287.08$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.067145.1%32 W · 39 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x31fd…e144backed GenOne56c261.69$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.5527544%121 W · 154 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x85c3…700cbacked GenOne45c247.53$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.3927549.5%136 W · 139 L+8.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xde8f…2c72backed Ursa69c244.62$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.3528056.4%158 W · 122 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6277…5a3fbacked GenOne36c243.34$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.5263541.9%266 W · 369 L+10.2wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbbf3…aa3abacked GenOne62c235.32$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.6123249.1%114 W · 118 L-7.5wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-8.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7799…496bbacked GenOne25c229.18$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.4410%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6326…6329backed GenOne58c194.96$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.0860143.1%259 W · 342 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-7.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x025c…8c60backed GenOne75c194.33$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.3966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5de7…5417backed GenOne47c193.64$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.021,14643.5%499 W · 647 L-17.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d05…f729backed GenOne38c186.04$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.418850%94 W · 94 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6608…fc85backed GenOne34c176.39$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.94650%3 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-24.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb64…bfdcbacked GenOne37c171.43$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.4318341%75 W · 108 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-9.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xcd93…0370backed GenOne63c170.68$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.222391.3%21 W · 2 L+6.5wins+0.28per pick63cpaid+45.5%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0xa72a…5685backed GenOne61c161.27$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.6331741.3%131 W · 186 L-14.7wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-13.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x407d…574bbacked GenOne62c157.51$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.727644.7%34 W · 42 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-16.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbe7a…a930backed Ursa56c156.86$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.162634.6%9 W · 17 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xadaf…aefdbacked GenOne37c152.64$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.8284937.8%321 W · 528 L-20.1wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc0f1…8680backed GenOne58c149.95$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.972,52743.1%1,088 W · 1,439 L+42.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdded…13a2backed Ursa48c140.26$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.525853.4%31 W · 27 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde4b…3b7dbacked Ursa61c140.13$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.5531852.8%168 W · 150 L-11.1wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-12.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xea37…94f3backed Ursa50c135.22$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.9832951.7%170 W · 159 L+7.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe727…8eb1backed Ursa69c128.44$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.1310051%51 W · 49 L-8.5wins-0.08per pick59cpaid-18.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8616…3bb0backed GenOne52c121.22$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.1256049.8%279 W · 281 L-12.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd991…0133backed Ursa63c116.4$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.075455.6%30 W · 24 L-3.9wins-0.07per pick63cpaid-14.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x96a4…133ebacked Ursa50c116.35$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.141844.4%8 W · 10 L+2.1wins+0.11per pick33cpaid+56.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x82bf…de71backed GenOne17c115.84$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.462350.9%317 W · 306 L+18.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a84…e21abacked GenOne59c115.73$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.286741.8%28 W · 39 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+33.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3ad6…a93cbacked Ursa69c110.99$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.413647.2%17 W · 19 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-12.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe062…4907backed GenOne38c110.72$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.079240.2%37 W · 55 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd43f…0bb0backed Ursa40c101.4$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.8438131%118 W · 263 L-11.1wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-21.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4177…a2b4backed GenOne38c101.35$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.511,24841.3%516 W · 732 L+5.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x43d7…1c75backed GenOne36c99.99$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3632845.1%148 W · 180 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5647…8237backed Ursa55c99.27$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.724562.2%28 W · 17 L+4.4wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+19.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x953f…15e6backed GenOne52c97.12$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.527556.4%155 W · 120 L-0.5wins0.00per pick57cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6dc0…699abacked GenOne35c96.79$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.741,18122.5%266 W · 915 L+3.6wins0.00per pick22cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ac4…cdddbacked GenOne49c96.76$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.41520%1 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.20per pick40cpaid-64.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8ee1…377abacked Ursa41c94.18$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.5621354.5%116 W · 97 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick55cpaid+0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed Ursa53c92.11$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.431,00355.7%559 W · 444 L+24.5wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0fde…0258backed GenOne45c88$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.681551.7%421 W · 394 L+26.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa442…dca3backed Ursa68c86.54$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.6930354.5%165 W · 138 L+6.4wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa2c6…d14dbacked Ursa54c74.83$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.3111952.1%62 W · 57 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8776…f2efbacked Ursa67c73.27$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.2714153.9%76 W · 65 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed GenOne55c70.76$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.921,32544.1%584 W · 741 L+44.1wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+8.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8393…f7cfbacked GenOne79c67.57$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.312369.6%16 W · 7 L+3.3wins+0.14per pick55cpaid+28.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5f3e…6b69backed GenOne76c65.06$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.299568.4%65 W · 30 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick65cpaid+1.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbf0b…7cccbacked Ursa54c64.77$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.845450.2%228 W · 226 L-12.8wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x906f…2877backed Ursa56c63.62$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.9965254.3%354 W · 298 L+25.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfa02…8b07backed Ursa63c61.66$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.5449866.9%333 W · 165 L+16.1wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfcf6…c27dbacked Ursa47c61.11$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.0911341.6%47 W · 66 L-0.2wins0.00per pick42cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8afa…28f0backed GenOne45c60.92$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.4175048.4%363 W · 387 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfc7e…70ecbacked GenOne35c59.99$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218648.8%42 W · 44 L-3.8wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbe53…2dbabacked Ursa70c58.92$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.681,27871.5%914 W · 364 L+3.6wins0.00per pick71cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Ursa37c54.06$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.062,10216.8%353 W · 1,749 L-286.5wins-0.14per pick30cpaid-47.2%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0x9eea…2625backed Ursa63c51.22$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.9512641.3%52 W · 74 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-10.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed Ursa63c50.36$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.482,06150.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L-18.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf512…5198backed Ursa55c49.04$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.116464.6%106 W · 58 L+5.1wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe297…e484backed Ursa38c48.88$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.1732258.7%189 W · 133 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick57cpaid-0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0ff6…3a39backed GenOne59c48.32$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.513063.3%19 W · 11 L+3.2wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+17.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xae8e…08f9backed GenOne38c48.14$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.2937050.5%187 W · 183 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa79a…d72abacked Ursa41c47.05$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.7626546.8%124 W · 141 L-18.5wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-18.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x72a3…0918backed GenOne34c45.79$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.36650%3 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x755a…6da6backed GenOne52c45.28$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.551,04645%471 W · 575 L+6.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d9d…1524backed Ursa68c44.51$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.24875%6 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick69cpaid+15.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xaba6…3219backed GenOne24c43.35$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.5610%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4de…0da4backed GenOne64c41.19$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.3833960.8%206 W · 133 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x90b3…0db9backed GenOne60c40.67$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.410%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfc38…c3b4backed Ursa64c38.22$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.7633950.7%172 W · 167 L+7.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+9.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5386…930abacked Ursa42c37.98$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.16633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-38%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ede…7865backed GenOne55c36.66$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+29.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe245…3bc8backed Ursa41c35.29$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.8221756.7%123 W · 94 L-6.4wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-4.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9345…3869backed Ursa41c33.76$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.9211254.5%61 W · 51 L+4.7wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3f0c…51dbbacked Ursa75c32.83$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.2140148.4%194 W · 207 L-14.5wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-8.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4e96…f2debacked GenOne36c32.82$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.829753.6%52 W · 45 L+5.4wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+7.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x155b…d7babacked Ursa37c31.6$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.8240652.2%212 W · 194 L+22.4wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.