CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: GenOne vs Ursa - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc986e7479204651e65aa86c521ebf523ec1a904ae93e45a631cde450edbed9b7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ursaof GenOne, Ursa
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,699
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,573
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,699 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1d2e…896dbacked GenOne | 45c | 2,918$1,313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,313.25 | 70 | 40%28 W · 42 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5407…251cbacked Ursa | 55c | 2,500$1,375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,125 | 148 | 57.4%85 W · 63 L | +11.9wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2133…7903backed Ursa | 30c | 499.97$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.98 | 388 | 35.8%139 W · 249 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4bb…22a9backed Ursa | 55c | 498.58$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.36 | 276 | 47.1%130 W · 146 L | -9.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed GenOne | 52c | 360.9$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.45 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Ursa | 57c | 300.81$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.18 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe7a…a930backed GenOne | 64c | 293.22$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.52 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x949e…20afbacked GenOne | 40c | 249.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 432 | 37.7%163 W · 269 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb583…939ebacked Ursa | 39c | 247.75$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.74 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa094…3f07backed Ursa | 53c | 199.99$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.99 | 249 | 42.2%105 W · 144 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked GenOne | 46c | 175.65$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.89 | 1,398 | 48.4%676 W · 722 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Ursa | 49c | 171.5$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.88 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe727…8eb1backed GenOne | 61c | 152.12$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.78 | 100 | 51%51 W · 49 L | -8.5wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Ursa | 40c | 144.39$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.95 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82bf…de71backed GenOne | 36c | 135.56$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.4 | 623 | 50.9%317 W · 306 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f3e…6b69backed GenOne | 59c | 131.55$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.1 | 95 | 68.4%65 W · 30 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea37…94f3backed Ursa | 55c | 124.63$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.08 | 329 | 51.7%170 W · 159 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b59…0ba0backed Ursa | 46c | 106.38$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.45 | 557 | 38.4%214 W · 343 L | +11.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12bc…bf2fbacked GenOne | 76c | 106.33$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.19 | 374 | 41.7%156 W · 218 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed GenOne | 49c | 103.68$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.34 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca6…6a20backed GenOne | 47c | 103.26$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.41 | 474 | 47.5%225 W · 249 L | -12.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe297…e484backed GenOne | 60c | 82$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.2 | 322 | 58.7%189 W · 133 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Ursa | 60c | 76.47$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.59 | 719 | 51%367 W · 352 L | +28.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4177…a2b4backed GenOne | 45c | 70.91$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.91 | 1,248 | 41.3%516 W · 732 L | +5.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked Ursa | 32c | 65.24$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.07 | 1,181 | 22.5%266 W · 915 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9be…a0c1backed Ursa | 33c | 62.24$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.78 | 447 | 48.1%215 W · 232 L | +17.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdded…13a2backed Ursa | 56c | 59.81$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.14 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed GenOne | 50c | 53.54$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.77 | 1,365 | 66.3%905 W · 460 L | +76.1wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce7a…fef0backed GenOne | 70c | 35.07$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.55 | 141 | 35.5%50 W · 91 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd73b…8319backed Ursa | 42c | 30.05$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Ursa | 59c | 19.92$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.15 | 1,003 | 55.7%559 W · 444 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: GenOne vs Ursa - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: GenOne vs Ursa (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group StageUrsa won
- Counter-Strike: GenOne vs Ursa - Map 1 WinnerGenOne won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.