TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will Egypt reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$242,433
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$228,033

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $242,433 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 113 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9573…f43fbacked Yes0c50,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50633.3%2 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.17per pick16cpaid+49.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x04a5…28d6backed Yes12c11,800$1,411 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,411.417334.2%25 W · 48 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9941…0b8dbacked Yes13c10,000$1,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3007941.8%33 W · 46 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-29.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x65b5…aa71backed Yes16c8,625$1,385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,385.2140655.7%226 W · 180 L+17.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+9.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1154…0d31backed Yes13c8,277$1,088 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,088.02911.1%1 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick16cpaid-61.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3eed…cb2abacked Yes17c7,637$1,284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,283.692326.1%6 W · 17 L-3.5wins-0.15per pick41cpaid-63.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes10c4,849$501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500.5474447.8%356 W · 388 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe7bd…ebcebacked Yes13c4,604$598 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$598.466126.2%16 W · 45 L-6.7wins-0.11per pick37cpaid-42.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5fd8…ce32backed Yes14c4,294$601 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601.1213330.1%40 W · 93 L-4.7wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-35.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfc08…a137backed Yes17c3,490$589 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$589.217045.7%32 W · 38 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+39.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6cff…45acbacked Yes12c3,149$388 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$388.484936.7%18 W · 31 L+2.9wins+0.06per pick31cpaid+2.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked Yes16c3,103$491 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$491.4558926.8%158 W · 431 L-30.5wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-44.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x66e7…8bcdbacked Yes42c2,941$1,231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,231.0687837.2%327 W · 551 L-41.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-33.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xef94…f8c4backed Yes17c2,776$467 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$467.064346.5%20 W · 23 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x94cb…64e3backed Yes13c2,600$348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3487834.6%27 W · 51 L+4.6wins+0.06per pick29cpaid+23.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Yes14c2,579$363 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$362.982,63432.9%867 W · 1,767 L+43.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes17c2,571$448 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$447.622,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed No74c2,402$1,773 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$629.5543145.2%195 W · 236 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e3f…e00bbacked Yes13c2,000$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26013748.2%66 W · 71 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-8.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes50c1,867$942 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$941.972,52442.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0121…f722backed No70c1,862$1,305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$557.3423644.9%106 W · 130 L+11.7wins+0.05per pick40cpaid-21.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8320…e302backed Yes18c1,616$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$293.1730137.2%112 W · 189 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e7d…ca41backed Yes13c1,500$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1957339.7%29 W · 44 L-0.2wins0.00per pick40cpaid-27.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1a2f…647abacked Yes64c1,302$828 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$827.975335.6%268 W · 485 L+0.3wins0.00per pick36cpaid-30.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x43cb…84dfbacked No70c1,253$882 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37122125.8%57 W · 164 L-10.0wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-47.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x76d2…99a6backed Yes13c1,197$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.527226.4%19 W · 53 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick26cpaid-19.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf505…4c26backed Yes20c1,163$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231.546544.6%29 W · 36 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick41cpaid-11.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6e9f…73f6backed Yes36c1,132$403 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402.558032.5%26 W · 54 L-9.8wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-38.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x2b6c…67babacked Yes16c1,069$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.41250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid-12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b7f…d56cbacked No80c1,069$854 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.382537.1%306 W · 519 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x619d…ef71backed Yes16c1,068$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1661323.1%3 W · 10 L-1.6wins-0.12per pick35cpaid-60%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6f67…102cbacked Yes9c1,018$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.0841231.6%130 W · 282 L-5.8wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf869…52a7backed Yes14c1,000$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.772548%12 W · 13 L+1.6wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+15.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x16da…05c0backed Yes15c847.73$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.1621937.9%83 W · 136 L-0.7wins0.00per pick38cpaid-27.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x85b9…906dbacked Yes13c840.23$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.5219929.1%58 W · 141 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-37.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f8e…21b7backed No49c794$387 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$407.2512352.8%65 W · 58 L+11.3wins+0.09per pick44cpaid-0.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5667…bb43backed Yes59c771.59$453 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$452.672441.7%10 W · 14 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick36cpaid-24.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa517…f23bbacked Yes14c730$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.23043.3%13 W · 17 L+3.4wins+0.11per pick32cpaid+35.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes2c725$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.56098.4%51 W · 558 L+0.2wins0.00per pick8cpaid+16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x510f…a43cbacked Yes31c691.15$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.2542737.2%159 W · 268 L-15.2wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-25.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Yes16c632.97$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.925244.8%113 W · 139 L+11.6wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+13.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2936…6c5fbacked No35c561.38$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$366.3911637.9%44 W · 72 L-3.4wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-30.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Yes15c548.02$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.812,38053.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L+76.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2e1f…8fdebacked No30c528$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$368.3816741.9%70 W · 97 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-13.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc602…7fc1backed Yes15c497.91$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.8545736.3%166 W · 291 L-13.5wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-25.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbd14…76b4backed Yes14c477.21$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.7426037.3%97 W · 163 L-6.6wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-16.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8728…0882backed Yes14c470.08$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.5842640.1%171 W · 255 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-12.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd449…450fbacked Yes8c463$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.0412744.9%57 W · 70 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-22.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a7b…fdd1backed Yes61c433.95$266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$265.9525160.6%152 W · 99 L+5.4wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3e88…0c70backed Yes15c420$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6312532.8%41 W · 84 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xabd8…141dbacked Yes66c420$279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279.293447.1%16 W · 18 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x39aa…583cbacked Yes38c399.18$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.2121239.6%84 W · 128 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-26%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7cbe…c4b7backed Yes15c360$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.1188838.2%339 W · 549 L+37.2wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+9.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb890…786cbacked Yes15c350.61$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.372250%11 W · 11 L+2.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-12.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Yes53c344.06$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.291,60147.8%765 W · 836 L+51.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x630f…5501backed Yes15c327.46$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506142.6%26 W · 35 L+2.8wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xefac…c9a1backed No74c325.92$242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.9843835.8%157 W · 281 L-10.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-16.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcc3e…0e8dbacked Yes15c320$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$485313.2%7 W · 46 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick14cpaid-34%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa7ed…18f6backed Yes11c300$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$334725.5%12 W · 35 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-40.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a7c…3016backed Yes9c286.29$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.7713011.5%15 W · 115 L-6.7wins-0.05per pick17cpaid-46.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcb01…7dfbbacked Yes15c277.06$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.2119818.7%37 W · 161 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick20cpaid-64.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xea28…3a0bbacked Yes14c270.19$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.838343.4%36 W · 47 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick39cpaid-4.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes16c263.1$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.8779231.1%246 W · 546 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-34.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8aac…0e7abacked Yes14c257$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.7545627.9%127 W · 329 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick29cpaid+6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdebb…eedbbacked No80c250.36$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.3570750.1%354 W · 353 L+25.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+2.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x281f…3e7ebacked Yes10c250$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254219%8 W · 34 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-47.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf70c…4e63backed Yes52c234.06$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.295244.2%23 W · 29 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-11.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2080…36d2backed Yes51c233.53$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.72755.6%15 W · 12 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-11.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf301…dd70backed Yes13c220.01$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.925855.2%32 W · 26 L+5.2wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+9.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7f1d…45dcbacked No68c216.1$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.98250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.15per pick35cpaid-26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f3b…b190backed Yes14c214.29$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302020%4 W · 16 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick14cpaid+34.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a22…5c62backed Yes14c210.6$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.48955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.8wins+0.20per pick36cpaid+19.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed Yes12c186.8$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.82,57646.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L+35.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb43d…a48abacked Yes15c186.67$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281060%6 W · 4 L+3.1wins+0.31per pick29cpaid+96.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x7a31…1164backed Yes14c169.31$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.3818636.6%68 W · 118 L-7.0wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-35%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xafb3…1b31backed Yes15c166.67$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25100%0 W · 10 L-1.5wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4433…9d34backed Yes15c160.47$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.0778835.3%278 W · 510 L+9.6wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-16.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x90b3…0db9backed Yes13c156.94$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20128.3%1 W · 11 L-2.1wins-0.17per pick26cpaid-79.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5ea1…308cbacked Yes15c156.15$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.93714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick15cpaid-59.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e59…2a66backed No31c153.64$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.361,06331.7%337 W · 726 L-33.7wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-17.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb7dd…e5e4backed Yes14c150$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213348.5%16 W · 17 L+2.7wins+0.08per pick40cpaid-5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7aed…df39backed No56c147.87$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.1525638.7%99 W · 157 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid+1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbada…d874backed No35c125.99$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.349455.3%52 W · 42 L+6.5wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+14.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc03f…249dbacked Yes10c120.15$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.0117632.4%57 W · 119 L-8.5wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-12.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x11f8…1c4ebacked Yes24c119.8$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.4517138%65 W · 106 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-18.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc518…2594backed Yes13c100$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1323750.6%120 W · 117 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9163…0cabbacked Yes11c100$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1123855.5%132 W · 106 L+10.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xda70…df1dbacked Yes15c100$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154341.9%18 W · 25 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-24.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x382f…42a9backed Yes21c100$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214526.7%12 W · 33 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-29.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x755b…0cd5backed Yes11c100$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.31per pick36cpaid+87.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf763…8d83backed Yes14c100$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14757.1%4 W · 3 L+2.2wins+0.31per pick26cpaid+65.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes14c97.57$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.662,41153%1,278 W · 1,133 L+75.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4e67…9a3ebacked Yes16c95.79$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1530032.3%97 W · 203 L+4.8wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-0.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf366…15adbacked No79c90.08$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.613943.2%60 W · 79 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbab…fea6backed Yes15c87.8$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.17425%1 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-55.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc094…c8d4backed Yes14c80.5$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.4733729.1%98 W · 239 L+1.0wins0.00per pick29cpaid+7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd61e…7669backed Yes16c79.41$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.75450%2 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+17%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x476c…ce52backed No80c76$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.2725443.7%111 W · 143 L+0.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x03e1…e180backed No71c69.93$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.286940.6%28 W · 41 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1ed5…3320backed Yes15c67.67$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.152544%11 W · 14 L0.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-11.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 43 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.