Will Germany reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcb8855196032bd6a56feccfed4fc50d670605a06275ef11fb6ec7d144f16d91d

Rebuilt 19 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jun 29, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $65,931
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $63,328

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $65,931 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 171 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x3eed…cb2abacked Yes	27c	6,254$1,659 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,659	23	26.1%6 W · 17 L	-3.5wins	-0.15per pick	41cpaid	-63.3%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0520…e4e0backed Yes	33c	4,604$1,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,500	253	36.8%93 W · 160 L	+0.9wins	0.00per pick	36cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xaee8…1154backed No	71c	2,517$1,776 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$740.47	134	37.3%50 W · 84 L	+1.0wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd782…c56cbacked Yes	44c	2,300$1,012 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,012	8	25%2 W · 6 L	-1.5wins	-0.19per pick	44cpaid	-55.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6c43…fb9bbacked No	69c	2,204$1,528 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$676.65	188	48.9%92 W · 96 L	-3.0wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	+11.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Yes	30c	2,081$623 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$623.4	2,634	32.9%867 W · 1,767 L	+43.3wins	+0.02per pick	31cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7cbe…c4b7backed No	64c	2,038$1,298 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$739.51	888	38.2%339 W · 549 L	+37.2wins	+0.04per pick	34cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x838a…add1backed Yes	29c	2,000$580 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$580	133	49.6%66 W · 67 L	+3.9wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa40d…ea7abacked Yes	30c	1,980$594 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$594	149	20.8%31 W · 118 L	-3.9wins	-0.03per pick	23cpaid	-34.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdf68…20d8backed No	69c	1,710$1,172 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$538.36	41	51.2%21 W · 20 L	+4.0wins	+0.10per pick	41cpaid	+4%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0121…f722backed Yes	31c	1,656$509 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$508.59	236	44.9%106 W · 130 L	+11.7wins	+0.05per pick	40cpaid	-21.5%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed No	57c	1,632$925 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$706.89	472	35%165 W · 307 L	-10.8wins	-0.02per pick	37cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x22d3…5e3abacked No	59c	1,605$947 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$658.26	40	50%20 W · 20 L	+0.7wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+62.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x43cb…84dfbacked No	76c	1,537$1,171 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$366.13	221	25.8%57 W · 164 L	-10.0wins	-0.05per pick	30cpaid	-47.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x85b9…906dbacked No	74c	1,523$1,125 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$398.38	199	29.1%58 W · 141 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	30cpaid	-37.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x40a7…ecb7backed No	74c	1,309$972 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$337.23	198	25.3%50 W · 148 L	+2.0wins	+0.01per pick	24cpaid	+20.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x07ce…db5cbacked Yes	31c	1,244$382 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$382.05	72	30.6%22 W · 50 L	+1.2wins	+0.02per pick	29cpaid	-19.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed No	69c	1,173$809 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$364.47	269	40.9%110 W · 159 L	+7.8wins	+0.03per pick	38cpaid	+4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0693…9679backed No	74c	1,166$867 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$299.71	226	33.6%76 W · 150 L	+2.4wins	+0.01per pick	33cpaid	+27.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked No	56c	1,065$600 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$465.26	436	35.8%156 W · 280 L	-6.8wins	-0.02per pick	37cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc8ab…6418backed Yes	28c	1,000$280 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$280	550	44.7%246 W · 304 L	-27.4wins	-0.05per pick	50cpaid	-18.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked No	59c	983.12$582 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$401.26	100	35%35 W · 65 L	-4.4wins	-0.04per pick	39cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbb92…b221backed No	65c	943.05$613 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$330.07	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-1.2wins	-0.18per pick	32cpaid	-78%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbcac…6621backed No	58c	835.02$484 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$350.71	52	25%13 W · 39 L	-1.8wins	-0.03per pick	28cpaid	-39.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf410…ca73backed No	59c	812.49$482 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$330.36	116	37.1%43 W · 73 L	-4.7wins	-0.04per pick	41cpaid	-27.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6f86…4fa9backed Yes	41c	736.39$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	97	60.8%59 W · 38 L	+3.7wins	+0.04per pick	57cpaid	+2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4e67…9a3ebacked No	69c	722.91$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$222.91	300	32.3%97 W · 203 L	+4.8wins	+0.02per pick	31cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1622…d2aebacked No	68c	678.17$462 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$216.23	168	41.1%69 W · 99 L	+5.6wins	+0.03per pick	38cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x94cb…64e3backed Yes	29c	649.98$188 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$188.49	78	34.6%27 W · 51 L	+4.6wins	+0.06per pick	29cpaid	+23.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa75c…895ebacked Yes	39c	635$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250.47	78	38.5%30 W · 48 L	-1.7wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes	28c	605.12$169 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$169.43	1,075	45.2%486 W · 589 L	+41.2wins	+0.04per pick	41cpaid	+16.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc3cd…816cbacked No	59c	600.01$353 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$247.51	185	45.9%85 W · 100 L	+5.3wins	+0.03per pick	43cpaid	-16.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes	4c	600$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24	609	8.4%51 W · 558 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	+16.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6f67…102cbacked Yes	35c	595.29$208 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$207.75	412	31.6%130 W · 282 L	-5.8wins	-0.01per pick	33cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x42b5…b5b6backed No	60c	568.73$344 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$224.8	350	33.7%118 W · 232 L	-6.7wins	-0.02per pick	36cpaid	-28.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes	29c	566.1$166 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$165.9	4,027	38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L	-26.6wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1fb5…cabdbacked Yes	41c	536.59$220 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$220	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	-0.7wins	-0.08per pick	42cpaid	-47.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd950…ad1bbacked No	59c	513.9$305 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$208.84	153	32%49 W · 104 L	-8.5wins	-0.06per pick	38cpaid	-28%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6747…a64fbacked No	57c	502.69$289 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$214.05	24	41.7%10 W · 14 L	+1.3wins	+0.05per pick	36cpaid	+14.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc507…5d1ebacked Yes	42c	500$210 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$210	103	59.2%61 W · 42 L	+5.6wins	+0.05per pick	54cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb8a1…06e5backed Yes	40c	496.44$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	10	20%2 W · 8 L	-1.5wins	-0.15per pick	35cpaid	-24.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed No	60c	472.61$284 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$189.05	864	52.7%455 W · 409 L	+26.7wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Yes	34c	469.04$158 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$157.98	1,067	49.1%524 W · 543 L	+7.4wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ac9…cf1abacked Yes	43c	468.05$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	36	36.1%13 W · 23 L	-4.2wins	-0.12per pick	48cpaid	-17.3%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb046…857cbacked No	57c	464.6$263 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$201.3	157	40.8%64 W · 93 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	-4%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x66e7…8bcdbacked No	63c	460$291 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$169.35	878	37.2%327 W · 551 L	-41.2wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-33.2%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc2e9…e288backed Yes	31c	450$141 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$140.5	85	37.6%32 W · 53 L	-10.0wins	-0.12per pick	49cpaid	-32.2%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xa313…eb44backed No	72c	443$319 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$124.04	303	44.2%134 W · 169 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x018a…3b37backed Yes	40c	352.96$140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$140	53	37.7%20 W · 33 L	-1.9wins	-0.04per pick	41cpaid	-31.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x588d…099abacked No	61c	350.16$213 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$137.65	222	42.8%95 W · 127 L	+2.1wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x77a1…de3dbacked No	74c	344.33$255 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$89.33	23	47.8%11 W · 12 L	+2.1wins	+0.09per pick	39cpaid	-21.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed No	79c	336.95$267 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$69.8	2,626	41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L	-11.6wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc602…7fc1backed No	57c	305.41$174 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$131.33	457	36.3%166 W · 291 L	-13.5wins	-0.03per pick	39cpaid	-25.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe947…ab96backed No	61c	300$183 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$117	12	41.7%5 W · 7 L	+0.7wins	+0.06per pick	36cpaid	+22.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8188…b171backed No	60c	300$179 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$121	188	39.9%75 W · 113 L	-3.4wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-15.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb5f6…adc3backed No	60c	290.36$174 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$116.14	15	40%6 W · 9 L	+2.0wins	+0.13per pick	27cpaid	+37.2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa022…72c2backed Yes	39c	271.46$107 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$106.77	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	+0.3wins	+0.03per pick	30cpaid	+28.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d9c…cf78backed Yes	39c	256.41$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	14	50%7 W · 7 L	+2.2wins	+0.16per pick	34cpaid	+42.8%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2c17…d983backed Yes	43c	255.81$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110	29	58.6%17 W · 12 L	+2.9wins	+0.10per pick	49cpaid	+12.8%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4001…3fb3backed Yes	40c	250$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	143	35%50 W · 93 L	+2.2wins	+0.02per pick	33cpaid	+21.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x16da…05c0backed No	59c	247.77$145 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$102.47	219	37.9%83 W · 136 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	38cpaid	-27.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x02d1…223bbacked Yes	40c	247.65$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-1.5wins	-0.25per pick	25cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3c84…0adabacked Yes	30c	240$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.7wins	-0.18per pick	43cpaid	-63.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5c41…1a7fbacked Yes	42c	235.1$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98.74	10	60%6 W · 4 L	+1.1wins	+0.11per pick	49cpaid	+10%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9495…468fbacked No	57c	220$125 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$94.6	194	45.4%88 W · 106 L	+2.2wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff4b…d019backed No	56c	210.28$118 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$92.52	120	25%30 W · 90 L	-5.5wins	-0.05per pick	30cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x697d…f299backed Yes	48c	208.33$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	22	4.5%1 W · 21 L	-1.8wins	-0.08per pick	13cpaid	-88.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3767…5e7cbacked No	61c	204$123 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$80.56	61	45.9%28 W · 33 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-10.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc03f…249dbacked Yes	29c	200$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58	176	32.4%57 W · 119 L	-8.5wins	-0.05per pick	37cpaid	-12.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2b71…f840backed Yes	43c	200$85 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$85.4	128	29.7%38 W · 90 L	+1.8wins	+0.01per pick	28cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4043…2bc7backed Yes	41c	195.12$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	63	15.9%10 W · 53 L	-5.7wins	-0.09per pick	25cpaid	-56.2%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes	35c	185.17$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65.3	792	31.1%246 W · 546 L	-4.2wins	-0.01per pick	32cpaid	-34.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd58…18f9backed Yes	37c	184.15$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68.13	73	37%27 W · 46 L	-7.6wins	-0.10per pick	47cpaid	-31.7%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2e1f…8fdebacked No	70c	180$126 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$54	167	41.9%70 W · 97 L	-3.3wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-13.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe5b1…30b2backed Yes	30c	168$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.56	345	51.9%179 W · 166 L	+17.8wins	+0.05per pick	47cpaid	+10.2%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x18ce…5d26backed Yes	30c	166.67$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	91	8.8%8 W · 83 L	-6.2wins	-0.07per pick	16cpaid	-26.3%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x168a…da29backed No	59c	164.21$97 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$67.33	52	53.8%28 W · 24 L	+3.5wins	+0.07per pick	47cpaid	+9.5%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xcdbd…d0dfbacked Yes	30c	161.69$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.16	249	47.4%118 W · 131 L	+14.2wins	+0.06per pick	42cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa2dd…d9b8backed Yes	41c	159.42$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65	33	27.3%9 W · 24 L	-1.4wins	-0.04per pick	32cpaid	-35.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2567…fc9dbacked No	63c	159.09$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$59.09	123	49.6%61 W · 62 L	-3.7wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x239a…7fb1backed No	69c	145.76$101 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$45.01	16	43.8%7 W · 9 L	+0.3wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	+27.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8aac…0e7abacked Yes	43c	129.5$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.52	456	27.9%127 W · 329 L	-3.0wins	-0.01per pick	29cpaid	+6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x624b…56f8backed Yes	30c	125.72$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.95	51	25.5%13 W · 38 L	+1.1wins	+0.02per pick	23cpaid	-28.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c85…7260backed Yes	37c	125.28$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.28	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.6wins	-0.21per pick	21cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc02…f89cbacked Yes	40c	124.98$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.99	37	29.7%11 W · 26 L	-5.1wins	-0.14per pick	44cpaid	-46.6%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x887f…7289backed Yes	40c	124.01$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	20	35%7 W · 13 L	-1.1wins	-0.06per pick	41cpaid	-34.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4d1f…6465backed Yes	29c	120$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.8	136	41.2%56 W · 80 L	-3.1wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd2db…ffcbbacked Yes	29c	120$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.8	61	42.6%26 W · 35 L	-2.3wins	-0.04per pick	46cpaid	-19.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x41f9…84e6backed Yes	40c	120$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.2	30	43.3%13 W · 17 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9cb3…1367backed No	59c	116.49$69 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$47.63	148	39.2%58 W · 90 L	-5.3wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xefac…c9a1backed No	58c	115.41$67 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$48.22	438	35.8%157 W · 281 L	-10.3wins	-0.02per pick	38cpaid	-16.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4231…fd2dbacked No	61c	113.86$69 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44.88	15	60%9 W · 6 L	+1.9wins	+0.13per pick	47cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3761…c501backed No	63c	111.8$70 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$41.8	11	36.4%4 W · 7 L	-1.2wins	-0.11per pick	47cpaid	+13%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc2d7…deb5backed Yes	24c	110$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.18	19	15.8%3 W · 16 L	-4.2wins	-0.22per pick	38cpaid	-61.7%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x4c7c…c416backed Yes	31c	109.85$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.5	28	53.6%15 W · 13 L	+1.3wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x39aa…583cbacked No	68c	105.82$72 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.86	212	39.6%84 W · 128 L	-4.7wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-26%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf24f…15b2backed Yes	29c	103.45$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	129	32.6%42 W · 87 L	-1.5wins	-0.01per pick	34cpaid	-20%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x510f…a43cbacked Yes	25c	103.06$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.64	427	37.2%159 W · 268 L	-15.2wins	-0.04per pick	41cpaid	-25.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa772…b18cbacked Yes	42c	100$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42	9	55.6%5 W · 4 L	+1.1wins	+0.12per pick	44cpaid	+47.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfc6b…79dabacked Yes	40c	100$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	20	45%9 W · 11 L	-1.5wins	-0.07per pick	52cpaid	-24.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 43 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Germany reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event