Will Colombia reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6a4a49fcde320d469cde6c3a6dc0012421e75b76ee4e74ad45aa5602884cdb35

Rebuilt 10 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jul 7, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $232,088
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $234,631

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $232,088 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 392 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xf68a…5b1bbacked No	48c	24,809$11,816 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12,993.63	744	47.8%356 W · 388 L	+11.3wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfea3…d227backed No	43c	18,878$8,093 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,784.9	209	55.5%116 W · 93 L	+12.8wins	+0.06per pick	49cpaid	+9.2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked Yes	54c	17,221$9,222 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,222.39	589	26.8%158 W · 431 L	-30.5wins	-0.05per pick	32cpaid	-44.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9b9a…9093backed Yes	0c	12,278$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.28	22	63.6%14 W · 8 L	+3.9wins	+0.18per pick	46cpaid	+33.8%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0ced…5452backed Yes	53c	11,997$6,305 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,304.91	14	42.9%6 W · 8 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xecaa…77a9backed Yes	50c	8,168$4,084 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,084.11	311	52.7%164 W · 147 L	-12.7wins	-0.04per pick	57cpaid	-6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x53ec…df91backed No	49c	5,543$2,715 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,828.11	56	23.2%13 W · 43 L	-2.5wins	-0.04per pick	28cpaid	-51.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes	61c	4,401$2,683 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,682.71	2,603	37.8%984 W · 1,619 L	-40.7wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6cf1…3c6bbacked No	48c	4,000$1,920 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,080	42	33.3%14 W · 28 L	+1.0wins	+0.02per pick	31cpaid	-12.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7cbe…c4b7backed No	41c	3,499$1,432 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,067.37	888	38.2%339 W · 549 L	+37.2wins	+0.04per pick	34cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x66e7…8bcdbacked Yes	44c	3,340$1,457 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,457.26	878	37.2%327 W · 551 L	-41.2wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-33.2%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x555a…6ee2backed Yes	63c	3,290$2,084 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,083.86	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.6wins	-0.63per pick	63cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6db9…4ab5backed No	70c	3,262$2,283 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$978.47	131	22.1%29 W · 102 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	22cpaid	-28.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd961…35debacked Yes	61c	3,231$1,964 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,963.56	240	28.8%69 W · 171 L	+4.6wins	+0.02per pick	27cpaid	-12%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e3f…e00bbacked Yes	60c	3,051$1,830 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,829.85	137	48.2%66 W · 71 L	+3.4wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd97…0ec5backed Yes	61c	3,031$1,849 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,848.81	96	47.9%46 W · 50 L	+1.3wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-11.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Yes	43c	3,000$1,283 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,283.36	269	40.9%110 W · 159 L	+7.8wins	+0.03per pick	38cpaid	+4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe8c2…3048backed No	49c	3,000$1,470 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,529.98	191	48.2%92 W · 99 L	+7.2wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes	36c	2,977$1,070 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,069.57	792	31.1%246 W · 546 L	-4.2wins	-0.01per pick	32cpaid	-34.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x66a3…2a0dbacked Yes	35c	2,889$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	+1.4wins	+0.15per pick	29cpaid	+17.8%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc3cd…816cbacked No	41c	2,800$1,147 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,652.96	185	45.9%85 W · 100 L	+5.3wins	+0.03per pick	43cpaid	-16.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8603…fb04backed Yes	57c	2,735$1,550 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,550	57	57.9%33 W · 24 L	+4.9wins	+0.09per pick	49cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa40d…ea7abacked No	48c	2,720$1,316 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,404.69	149	20.8%31 W · 118 L	-3.9wins	-0.03per pick	23cpaid	-34.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa8b7…ee3cbacked Yes	51c	2,622$1,350 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,349.88	476	48.5%231 W · 245 L	+13.9wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed No	47c	2,533$1,189 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,344.19	2,634	32.9%867 W · 1,767 L	+43.3wins	+0.02per pick	31cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfc08…a137backed No	58c	2,428$1,413 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,014.55	70	45.7%32 W · 38 L	+2.8wins	+0.04per pick	42cpaid	+39.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xef94…f8c4backed Yes	54c	2,322$1,258 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,257.67	43	46.5%20 W · 23 L	+0.8wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	-3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x373a…f4c1backed No	47c	2,253$1,057 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,196.04	341	51%174 W · 167 L	+7.4wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5a0d…40cabacked Yes	62c	2,097$1,300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,300	31	71%22 W · 9 L	+2.1wins	+0.07per pick	64cpaid	+7.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc94e…f946backed Yes	51c	2,090$1,066 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,066	23	56.5%13 W · 10 L	+2.3wins	+0.10per pick	47cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa8fe…3ee3backed No	49c	2,060$1,009 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,050.45	20	40%8 W · 12 L	+1.4wins	+0.07per pick	33cpaid	+29.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0121…f722backed No	71c	2,016$1,423 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$592.63	236	44.9%106 W · 130 L	+11.7wins	+0.05per pick	40cpaid	-21.5%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0a61…2727backed No	48c	2,001$964 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,037.05	33	51.5%17 W · 16 L	+0.6wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+9.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec8c…8961backed Yes	51c	2,000$1,020 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,020	36	52.8%19 W · 17 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe2b1…7d2abacked Yes	51c	2,000$1,020 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,020	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.6wins	-0.32per pick	32cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x364f…1515backed Yes	49c	2,000$980 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$979.93	66	34.8%23 W · 43 L	-1.8wins	-0.03per pick	38cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd185…0343backed Yes	51c	1,844$940 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$940.43	10	50%5 W · 5 L	-0.4wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-12.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x74f1…16a8backed No	63c	1,799$1,140 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$658.64	287	31%89 W · 198 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	30cpaid	-13.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefac…c9a1backed No	56c	1,778$1,004 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$774.42	438	35.8%157 W · 281 L	-10.3wins	-0.02per pick	38cpaid	-16.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x42b5…b5b6backed No	44c	1,760$767 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$992.74	350	33.7%118 W · 232 L	-6.7wins	-0.02per pick	36cpaid	-28.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x413f…47f3backed Yes	56c	1,756$983 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$983.19	22	31.8%7 W · 15 L	-3.6wins	-0.16per pick	48cpaid	-35.2%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x32d0…6070backed No	49c	1,679$823 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$856.18	67	44.8%30 W · 37 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	-18.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f00…2f63backed Yes	54c	1,677$900 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$900	74	52.7%39 W · 35 L	+3.2wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x53ad…5bd4backed Yes	52c	1,500$780 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$780	471	27.8%131 W · 340 L	-2.5wins	-0.01per pick	28cpaid	-13.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x65b8…3c05backed Yes	54c	1,471$800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$800	226	48.2%109 W · 117 L	-7.3wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc26a…2ccbbacked Yes	62c	1,468$904 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$903.51	13	7.7%1 W · 12 L	-1.1wins	-0.08per pick	16cpaid	-52.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes	47c	1,449$681 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$681.46	221	25.8%57 W · 164 L	-10.0wins	-0.05per pick	30cpaid	-47.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed No	48c	1,431$690 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$740.69	472	35%165 W · 307 L	-10.8wins	-0.02per pick	37cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x562b…dc09backed No	52c	1,344$696 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$647.6	79	50.6%40 W · 39 L	-1.4wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes	55c	1,330$729 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$729.07	2,524	42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L	-10.1wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe3bb…8b3ebacked No	51c	1,268$644 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$623.86	6	50%3 W · 3 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes	56c	1,233$689 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$688.64	2,626	41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L	-11.6wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5f8e…21b7backed No	37c	1,232$459 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$772.87	123	52.8%65 W · 58 L	+11.3wins	+0.09per pick	44cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf366…15adbacked Yes	55c	1,205$664 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$663.71	139	43.2%60 W · 79 L	+2.1wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a53…7a6fbacked Yes	52c	1,173$615 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$615.42	37	62.2%23 W · 14 L	+5.7wins	+0.15per pick	47cpaid	+13.3%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0xcbb5…5ed9backed No	49c	1,152$560 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$592.57	67	61.2%41 W · 26 L	+6.0wins	+0.09per pick	52cpaid	+22.6%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x7e56…984abacked Yes	61c	1,148$700 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$700	7	0%0 W · 7 L	-1.2wins	-0.17per pick	17cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes	48c	1,077$522 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$521.55	4,027	38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L	-26.6wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6f40…bd86backed Yes	61c	1,069$652 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$652.09	20	30%6 W · 14 L	-3.0wins	-0.15per pick	45cpaid	-45%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x3f2e…05a6backed No	74c	1,063$785 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$277.39	49	61.2%30 W · 19 L	+4.5wins	+0.09per pick	52cpaid	+17.5%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x81f5…70afbacked No	50c	1,034$517 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$517.01	81	48.1%39 W · 42 L	+2.4wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	+10%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7803…9e91backed No	48c	1,034$497 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$537.2	16	50%8 W · 8 L	-1.8wins	-0.11per pick	61cpaid	-22%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdff7…94d5backed Yes	43c	1,005$433 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$432.57	64	42.2%27 W · 37 L	-2.4wins	-0.04per pick	46cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc8ab…6418backed Yes	54c	1,000$537 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$536.68	550	44.7%246 W · 304 L	-27.4wins	-0.05per pick	50cpaid	-18.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcf92…4bfdbacked Yes	50c	1,000$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	55	27.3%15 W · 40 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	26cpaid	-22.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d1b…5adbbacked Yes	50c	1,000$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	38	44.7%17 W · 21 L	+1.9wins	+0.05per pick	40cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2e61…19bdbacked No	38c	1,000$380 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$620	151	49.7%75 W · 76 L	+13.2wins	+0.09per pick	41cpaid	+10.9%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe8b0…cc4bbacked Yes	50c	1,000$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	111	65.8%73 W · 38 L	+15.3wins	+0.14per pick	52cpaid	+26.2%equal weight	63+0.11 edge/pick
0x94cb…64e3backed No	51c	1,000$510 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$490	78	34.6%27 W · 51 L	+4.6wins	+0.06per pick	29cpaid	+23.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4205…128ebacked Yes	29c	1,000$290 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$290	41	22%9 W · 32 L	-1.8wins	-0.04per pick	26cpaid	-43.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0dc5…a303backed Yes	61c	978.69$597 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$597	93	30.1%28 W · 65 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	31cpaid	-23.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4e67…9a3ebacked Yes	52c	961.54$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	300	32.3%97 W · 203 L	+4.8wins	+0.02per pick	31cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xee12…aaeabacked Yes	54c	957.33$513 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$513.36	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.0wins	-0.51per pick	51cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc4a1…b214backed Yes	53c	943.4$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	10	50%5 W · 5 L	+1.1wins	+0.11per pick	39cpaid	+16.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6c43…fb9bbacked No	48c	906$435 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$471.12	188	48.9%92 W · 96 L	-3.0wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	+11.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0822…3106backed Yes	54c	900$486 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$486	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.4wins	-0.45per pick	45cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x95c5…d5d3backed Yes	56c	892.84$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500.2	32	50%16 W · 16 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a31…1164backed No	43c	884.69$378 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$506.38	186	36.6%68 W · 118 L	-7.0wins	-0.04per pick	40cpaid	-35%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd449…450fbacked No	59c	860.58$508 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$352.24	127	44.9%57 W · 70 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	-22.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x588d…099abacked No	69c	856.04$594 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$262.02	222	42.8%95 W · 127 L	+2.1wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdebb…eedbbacked No	63c	821.4$518 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$303.79	707	50.1%354 W · 353 L	+25.8wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcb01…7dfbbacked Yes	56c	815$456 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$455.75	198	18.7%37 W · 161 L	-3.4wins	-0.02per pick	20cpaid	-64.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xabe9…4424backed Yes	63c	812.22$511 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$511.1	20	40%8 W · 12 L	-2.2wins	-0.11per pick	51cpaid	-33.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x74a9…0dc7backed Yes	55c	805.01$440 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$440	78	53.8%42 W · 36 L	+3.7wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	+12.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf301…dd70backed No	45c	799.81$357 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$442.68	58	55.2%32 W · 26 L	+5.2wins	+0.09per pick	46cpaid	+9.3%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked No	39c	793.99$310 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$484.34	2,411	53%1,278 W · 1,133 L	+75.2wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x39aa…583cbacked No	46c	745.74$340 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$405.87	212	39.6%84 W · 128 L	-4.7wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-26%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa894…2830backed Yes	62c	727.13$450 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$450	38	65.8%25 W · 13 L	+2.4wins	+0.06per pick	59cpaid	+12.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1a47…fcf3backed Yes	42c	720$299 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$299.2	142	38.7%55 W · 87 L	+2.6wins	+0.02per pick	37cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6e9f…73f6backed Yes	42c	713.11$297 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$297.43	80	32.5%26 W · 54 L	-9.8wins	-0.12per pick	45cpaid	-38.4%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x9690…f2d5backed Yes	31c	699.99$217 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$217	27	22.2%6 W · 21 L	-3.6wins	-0.13per pick	35cpaid	-59.1%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8056…9507backed Yes	66c	686.67$456 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$456.12	109	40.4%44 W · 65 L	-2.3wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-21.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No	39c	641$250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$391.01	2,380	53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L	+76.5wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No	39c	640.38$250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$390.63	3,731	51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L	+55.2wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+7.9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed No	52c	635.47$327 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$308.06	1,067	49.1%524 W · 543 L	+7.4wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6f86…4fa9backed Yes	32c	632.36$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	97	60.8%59 W · 38 L	+3.7wins	+0.04per pick	57cpaid	+2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe0ba…fa03backed Yes	31c	621.04$193 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$192.52	29	31%9 W · 20 L	-1.4wins	-0.05per pick	36cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9874…2e27backed Yes	29c	611.78$178 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$178.47	71	32.4%23 W · 48 L	+2.1wins	+0.03per pick	29cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9495…468fbacked Yes	51c	603$308 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$308.33	194	45.4%88 W · 106 L	+2.2wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf869…52a7backed Yes	52c	600$313 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$312.5	25	48%12 W · 13 L	+1.6wins	+0.07per pick	41cpaid	+15.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 43 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Colombia reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event