Music · resolved market
Will Bulgaria be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x458e83398c8df60883a65a79a7034cfba0a96582c306185d98b0db97d5593cd5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Musicevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $138,788
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $140,254
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $138,788 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 218 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Music is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Music | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe72b…b0a0backed No | 26c | 25,658$6,579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,578.85 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +3.2wins | +0.10per pick | 32cpaid | +205.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3496…8fc4backed Yes | 76c | 16,253$12,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,853.13 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +86.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e8…9fbdbacked No | 0c | 11,325$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.07 | 32 | 3.1%1 W · 31 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 1cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x594e…1c11backed Yes | 65c | 6,406$4,190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,215.23 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb410…7736backed No | 52c | 5,226$2,695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,695.36 | 73 | 45.2%33 W · 40 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +24%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27c1…f4acbacked Yes | 68c | 4,639$3,159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,480.19 | 53 | 35.8%19 W · 34 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed No | 33c | 4,258$1,393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,393.25 | 32 | 21.9%7 W · 25 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | +187.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1aee…c139backed No | 43c | 4,104$1,760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,760.18 | 40 | 12.5%5 W · 35 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 19cpaid | -73.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed No | 42c | 3,751$1,564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,564.05 | 229 | 27.9%64 W · 165 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked No | 19c | 3,266$626 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$626.28 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94c4…43cabacked Yes | 38c | 3,164$1,206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,958.27 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e3…4d7ebacked No | 32c | 2,554$821 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$820.85 | 63 | 39.7%25 W · 38 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2236…6e0cbacked No | 48c | 2,167$1,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,030 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6d8…c0e6backed Yes | 54c | 2,038$1,102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$936.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4447…e040backed Yes | 42c | 1,976$825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,150.41 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | +3.2wins | +0.10per pick | 18cpaid | +86.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x22d3…5e3abacked No | 36c | 1,836$657 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$656.53 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd44…f151backed No | 15c | 1,810$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | +3.7wins | +0.11per pick | 34cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6f64…32b3backed No | 10c | 1,800$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.99 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5d3…a6c6backed Yes | 33c | 1,746$576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,170.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.67per pick | 33cpaid | +203.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04d7…b035backed Yes | 54c | 1,720$926 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$794.01 | 148 | 35.8%53 W · 95 L | +9.1wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f07…0170backed No | 44c | 1,600$711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$710.85 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | -3.6wins | -0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -58.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf294…7967backed Yes | 72c | 1,600$1,151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449 | 27 | 18.5%5 W · 22 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb046…857cbacked No | 65c | 1,591$1,041 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040.65 | 63 | 34.9%22 W · 41 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce08…c8dcbacked Yes | 63c | 1,550$970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$579.95 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x168a…da29backed No | 61c | 1,479$908 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$907.57 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb01…7dfbbacked No | 8c | 1,430$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.25 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 33cpaid | -81%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6bcc…f8b2backed No | 22c | 1,421$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311 | 71 | 39.4%28 W · 43 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x454c…bd22backed Yes | 27c | 1,420$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,039.13 | 46 | 8.7%4 W · 42 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | +96.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6cff…c3dabacked Yes | 46c | 1,151$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$621.68 | 41 | 29.3%12 W · 29 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ad…4953backed Yes | 51c | 1,146$586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560.04 | 81 | 40.7%33 W · 48 L | +7.8wins | +0.10per pick | 31cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x20f7…5527backed No | 15c | 1,012$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.44 | 58 | 19%11 W · 47 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked No | 19c | 999.99$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 70 | 27.1%19 W · 51 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0aa4…94bcbacked Yes | 31c | 927.41$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$638.93 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.16per pick | 28cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed Yes | 52c | 912.17$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442.07 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad89…f6e1backed No | 40c | 905.69$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.45 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +4.9wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf3…6077backed No | 54c | 887.99$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475.08 | 102 | 35.3%36 W · 66 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41f0…3eebbacked No | 59c | 869.98$513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$512.89 | 106 | 30.2%32 W · 74 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbab6…50a2backed No | 78c | 806.6$629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$629.15 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +61.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 75c | 777.17$586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.85 | 105 | 29.5%31 W · 74 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03ed…c077backed No | 21c | 765.93$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.04 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd34b…0004backed No | 18c | 754.79$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.85 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | +5.0wins | +0.12per pick | 29cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x51f7…ae1fbacked No | 70c | 749.49$522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$522.29 | 73 | 43.8%32 W · 41 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34fc…d14dbacked Yes | 38c | 739$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$458.18 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc31…67fabacked Yes | 62c | 731.87$454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.77 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +553.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad8…9756backed No | 62c | 731$453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$453.22 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.26per pick | 41cpaid | -78.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2950…ffeabacked No | 62c | 727$451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450.74 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +53.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa23d…da1fbacked No | 26c | 724.21$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6eaa…4456backed Yes | 38c | 719$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x347c…35f4backed Yes | 53c | 707.97$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.75 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 9cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…5358backed Yes | 71c | 699.99$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 199 | 39.2%78 W · 121 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ba…0f36backed No | 59c | 692$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.34 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked No | 39c | 690$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.24 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3f9…84f3backed No | 8c | 625$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa440…a487backed Yes | 34c | 600$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 28cpaid | +72%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x340b…cdf2backed Yes | 35c | 596.32$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.32 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4bd…d834backed No | 17c | 588.24$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd5c…6d2abacked Yes | 72c | 570.18$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.28 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.12per pick | 31cpaid | +285.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5571…0346backed Yes | 44c | 558.66$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.23 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +3.1wins | +0.24per pick | 45cpaid | +65.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf0d4…e175backed Yes | 36c | 550.92$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.92 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +1,421.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0249…5b4bbacked Yes | 67c | 538$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.63 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.24per pick | 59cpaid | +61.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3045…9c3cbacked Yes | 37c | 534.47$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.47 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.23per pick | 33cpaid | -73.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…099abacked No | 43c | 531.51$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.66 | 128 | 35.9%46 W · 82 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6db9…4ab5backed No | 56c | 508.75$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.59 | 74 | 25.7%19 W · 55 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbde6…e8b5backed No | 42c | 503.4$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.32 | 40 | 12.5%5 W · 35 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 15cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c1…4940backed Yes | 64c | 488.24$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.32 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.3wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +114%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x56f4…221abacked No | 70c | 429.44$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.19per pick | 59cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0336…4bb0backed No | 38c | 407.68$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.78 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x632c…06cbbacked Yes | 54c | 400.22$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.7 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.71per pick | 29cpaid | +1,392.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked No | 17c | 394.47$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.64 | 71 | 21.1%15 W · 56 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x65e0…e00cbacked Yes | 77c | 389.61$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cdc…8f16backed Yes | 77c | 388.26$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.26 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 54cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae31…7fa1backed No | 71c | 385.57$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.75 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -62%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0781…c4ffbacked No | 58c | 380$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.41 | 87 | 39.1%34 W · 53 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb886…81b3backed Yes | 30c | 376.99$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.01 | 143 | 15.4%22 W · 121 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 11cpaid | +353%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc825…6696backed Yes | 34c | 371.12$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.25 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +2.8wins | +0.13per pick | 39cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd6b6…342bbacked Yes | 69c | 370.99$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.01 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +2.8wins | +0.32per pick | 57cpaid | +46.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed No | 9c | 339.94$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.22 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x357c…7dfebacked Yes | 30c | 333.3$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.3 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +2.9wins | +0.24per pick | 9cpaid | +813.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6a68…6679backed Yes | 75c | 331.97$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.19 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 16c | 331.82$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.72 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28ca…5d19backed No | 62c | 326$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.64 | 87 | 37.9%33 W · 54 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9053…41e9backed Yes | 68c | 319.87$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.98 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe26a…bdfabacked Yes | 70c | 318.97$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.89 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +68.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28ab…2048backed No | 66c | 305.75$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.04 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd33b…4e00backed No | 10c | 300$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 18cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72cb…0f84backed Yes | 46c | 299.07$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +119.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…bb84backed Yes | 25c | 293.99$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.93 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 10cpaid | +323%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf78…a054backed Yes | 34c | 293.46$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.46 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +2.6wins | +0.65per pick | 10cpaid | +3,813.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed No | 24c | 289.99$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.56 | 162 | 50.6%82 W · 80 L | +11.6wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d1b…e75cbacked Yes | 69c | 286$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.66 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 35cpaid | +149.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcae4…ccecbacked No | 62c | 268$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.16 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 47c | 266.07$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.82 | 77 | 40.3%31 W · 46 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x278f…10b8backed Yes | 79c | 237.75$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd62…50e5backed Yes | 29c | 234.99$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.89 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 22cpaid | +449%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c97…7351backed Yes | 49c | 229.33$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x819d…6e9cbacked Yes | 60c | 215.38$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.38 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.69per pick | 31cpaid | +3,107.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x10ad…1538backed Yes | 49c | 205.88$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.88 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefc3…9a94backed Yes | 67c | 200.17$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.24 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +54.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2375…691fbacked No | 63c | 199$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.34 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +75.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c8d…65e7backed No | 62c | 187.67$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.33 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Music and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 34 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bulgaria be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?this page
- Will Albania be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Armenia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Australia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?Yes won
- Will Austria be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Azerbaijan be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Belgium be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Croatia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Cyprus be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Czechia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Denmark be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?Yes won
- Will Estonia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Finland be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?Yes won
- Will France be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Germany be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Greece be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?Yes won
- Will Israel be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?Yes won
- Will Italy be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?Yes won
- Will Latvia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Lithuania be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Luxembourg be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Malta be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Moldova be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?Yes won
- Will Montenegro be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Norway be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Poland be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Portugal be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Romania be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?Yes won
- Will San Marino be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Serbia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Sweden be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Switzerland be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Ukraine be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?Yes won
- Will United Kingdom be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.