TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Music · resolved market

Will Austria be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Musicevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$29,117
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$27,908

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,117 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Music is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Music
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x155e…c780backed Yes3c6,030$200 inLost-$20030%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfdd1…1829backed Yes2c2,146$43 inLost-$43.374418.2%8 W · 36 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick17cpaid-38.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x3e88…0c70backed Yes5c848.87$41 inLost-$41100%0 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf93f…ee47backed Yes2c830.94$19 inLost-$19.451323.1%3 W · 10 L+1.0wins+0.08per pick15cpaid-42.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0a9b…b6ecbacked Yes3c722.43$20 inLost-$20944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-24.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb2f6…6279backed Yes8c676$52 inLost-$5210%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd33b…4e00backed Yes3c666.93$20 inLost-$20128.3%1 W · 11 L-1.2wins-0.10per pick18cpaid-60.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa820…2dcebacked Yes5c655$35 inLost-$351020%2 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick29cpaid-61.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf2ea…ba53backed Yes6c545.55$33 inLost-$32.860%0 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f2e…8487backed Yes3c503.33$15 inLost-$15250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.22per pick28cpaid-4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe301…37abbacked Yes4c503.1$20 inLost-$2010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb886…81b3backed Yes2c468.05$12 inLost-$11.6214315.4%22 W · 121 L+6.8wins+0.05per pick11cpaid+353%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x41e6…8a05backed Yes5c434.33$20 inLost-$2020%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeb11…5804backed Yes5c278.77$15 inLost-$15812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.12per pick24cpaid-50%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1298…bc58backed Yes6c271.9$16 inLost-$15.77333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick23cpaid-45.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb424…3b71backed Yes6c243.87$14 inLost-$144318.6%8 W · 35 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick17cpaid-32.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8413…b15abacked Yes5c224.53$12 inLost-$11.810%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x79a8…bb66backed Yes8c200$17 inLost-$16.86240%0 W · 24 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8de9…6018backed Yes11c149.99$16 inLost-$16.5425%1 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick19cpaid-57.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ca0…e17abacked No63c32.43$20 inWon+$127549.3%37 W · 38 L+5.2wins+0.07per pick42cpaid+12.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xcca3…4e45backed Yes37c32.43$12 inLost-$121442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Music and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 34 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.