Music · resolved market
Will Romania be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5f595df282700486f702948167d6a7d773913f3deaee2f1857fd942e0ed41b77
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Musicevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $159,617
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $164,779
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $159,617 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 236 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Music is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Music | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb886…81b3backed Yes | 67c | 14,233$9,488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,744.31 | 143 | 15.4%22 W · 121 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 11cpaid | +353%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e8…9fbdbacked No | 0c | 11,325$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.32 | 32 | 3.1%1 W · 31 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 1cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22d3…5e3abacked No | 20c | 8,555$1,746 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,746.36 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed No | 22c | 7,812$1,698 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,698.01 | 229 | 27.9%64 W · 165 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f1e…6906backed Yes | 72c | 6,210$4,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,709.78 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -72.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x168a…da29backed No | 34c | 5,887$2,014 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,013.87 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04d7…b035backed No | 26c | 5,280$1,373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,372.75 | 148 | 35.8%53 W · 95 L | +9.1wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed No | 20c | 5,000$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,019.94 | 32 | 21.9%7 W · 25 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | +187.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6db9…4ab5backed No | 28c | 4,774$1,325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,324.61 | 74 | 25.7%19 W · 55 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94c4…43cabacked Yes | 60c | 4,419$2,640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,778.64 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18ea…f348backed No | 44c | 4,246$1,866 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,865.99 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked No | 16c | 3,149$512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$511.78 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b17…51b1backed No | 20c | 3,013$601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$601.03 | 74 | 16.2%12 W · 62 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | +231.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0336…4bb0backed No | 20c | 2,676$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528.44 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41f0…3eebbacked No | 35c | 2,502$872 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$871.74 | 106 | 30.2%32 W · 74 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 18c | 2,066$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.63 | 105 | 29.5%31 W · 74 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5571…0346backed Yes | 77c | 2,000$1,540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +3.1wins | +0.24per pick | 45cpaid | +65.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x25c2…5b28backed Yes | 55c | 1,991$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$891.64 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4be7…8e91backed Yes | 55c | 1,840$1,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$830.1 | 48 | 31.3%15 W · 33 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -33%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaefa…f98ebacked Yes | 58c | 1,716$995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720.72 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.37per pick | 38cpaid | +91.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd34b…0004backed No | 24c | 1,691$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.13 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | +5.0wins | +0.12per pick | 29cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa440…a487backed No | 38c | 1,630$617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$617.14 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 28cpaid | +72%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc825…6696backed Yes | 60c | 1,612$961 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$651.2 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +2.8wins | +0.13per pick | 39cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 18c | 1,589$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.59 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b80…936cbacked Yes | 63c | 1,559$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$578.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +59%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb046…857cbacked No | 46c | 1,523$705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$705.05 | 63 | 34.9%22 W · 41 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf802…d91dbacked Yes | 66c | 1,500$990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +2.4wins | +0.14per pick | 39cpaid | +127.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…5358backed No | 53c | 1,475$779 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$778.98 | 199 | 39.2%78 W · 121 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3921…3368backed Yes | 69c | 1,380$952 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.79 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.28per pick | 68cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbde6…e8b5backed No | 30c | 1,321$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.26 | 40 | 12.5%5 W · 35 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 15cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf1…3fbfbacked Yes | 80c | 1,300$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e3…4d7ebacked No | 30c | 1,203$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.39 | 63 | 39.7%25 W · 38 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf3…6077backed No | 34c | 1,197$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.86 | 102 | 35.3%36 W · 66 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe904…2d9fbacked Yes | 65c | 1,177$769 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.07 | 146 | 61%89 W · 57 L | +10.1wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +15%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe72b…b0a0backed No | 31c | 1,067$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.77 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +3.2wins | +0.10per pick | 32cpaid | +205.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xacb3…13e6backed Yes | 58c | 1,057$616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.79 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -65.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d2f…4adbbacked Yes | 80c | 1,000$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked No | 17c | 999.98$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 70 | 27.1%19 W · 51 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20f7…5527backed No | 17c | 999.97$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 58 | 19%11 W · 47 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4f9…9419backed Yes | 62c | 971.42$601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf76f…df4fbacked Yes | 58c | 963.5$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.31 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 17cpaid | -89.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae31…7fa1backed No | 33c | 828.9$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.44 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -62%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x33dc…a539backed Yes | 15c | 804$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$683.4 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.34per pick | 37cpaid | +224.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa55b…857bbacked Yes | 15c | 801$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$680.85 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.27per pick | 53cpaid | +117.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce25…4e7dbacked Yes | 15c | 788$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$669.8 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.23per pick | 37cpaid | +95.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1b87…1630backed Yes | 28c | 779.69$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$557.69 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.72per pick | 28cpaid | +251.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9663…5b70backed No | 17c | 722.6$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.43 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed Yes | 78c | 705.32$553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.3 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfde6…7ed6backed Yes | 71c | 700$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f09…fc31backed Yes | 76c | 661.17$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.17 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…7523backed No | 42c | 590$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.8 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82a7…afb5backed No | 42c | 576$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.92 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked No | 16c | 565.33$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.06 | 71 | 21.1%15 W · 56 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x673d…e929backed No | 42c | 550$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.8wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf100…2fcabacked No | 75c | 533$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.75 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.2wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6307…0447backed Yes | 25c | 533$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.75 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +261.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6bcc…f8b2backed No | 19c | 526.32$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 71 | 39.4%28 W · 43 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…45fbbacked Yes | 66c | 517.79$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.71 | 93 | 35.5%33 W · 60 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x897a…b17ebacked Yes | 80c | 513$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.6 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2824…a954backed No | 19c | 501.98$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.43 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +3.4wins | +0.21per pick | 41cpaid | +160.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x508f…8a22backed Yes | 72c | 500$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f07…0170backed No | 33c | 499.97$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.99 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | -3.6wins | -0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -58.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…099abacked No | 22c | 485.16$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.71 | 128 | 35.9%46 W · 82 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2cfe…e4debacked No | 33c | 475$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.48 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +290.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked Yes | 67c | 459.97$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.89 | 83 | 42.2%35 W · 48 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f41…260ebacked No | 42c | 456.73$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.99 | 32 | 12.5%4 W · 28 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | +255.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c8d…65e7backed No | 42c | 445.27$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.56 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0781…c4ffbacked No | 23c | 400$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.89 | 87 | 39.1%34 W · 53 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked No | 41c | 378.18$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.05 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff4b…d019backed No | 30c | 369.87$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.73 | 50 | 30%15 W · 35 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +70.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d6…bca9backed Yes | 31c | 357$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.33 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +50.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 73c | 350$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.5 | 77 | 40.3%31 W · 46 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x299c…7e23backed Yes | 69c | 342.53$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.86 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5825…4ffbbacked No | 17c | 323.6$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.21 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6bf…c7acbacked Yes | 65c | 315.1$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.54 | 69 | 26.1%18 W · 51 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | +136.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd2…0eacbacked No | 32c | 312.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cb…db04backed No | 19c | 278.7$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.99 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.18per pick | 27cpaid | +16%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd10…5378backed Yes | 72c | 278.06$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.06 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b43…0714backed Yes | 74c | 271.52$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.52 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.18per pick | 54cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b38…4d61backed No | 15c | 269.08$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.05 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 27cpaid | -74.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x562b…dc09backed No | 26c | 263.86$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.6 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +3.5wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca0…e17abacked Yes | 59c | 259.96$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.81 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | +5.2wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 63c | 255.92$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.69 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 27cpaid | -70%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf948…0931backed Yes | 75c | 255$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.75 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe7c…8356backed Yes | 67c | 249.99$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 36 | 22.2%8 W · 28 L | -4.4wins | -0.12per pick | 35cpaid | -58.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7802…9b86backed Yes | 44c | 248.16$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +126.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2375…691fbacked No | 26c | 244$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.71 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +75.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51f7…ae1fbacked No | 20c | 242.32$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.59 | 73 | 43.8%32 W · 41 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Yes | 63c | 237.9$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.79 | 162 | 50.6%82 W · 80 L | +11.6wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4dd8…5335backed Yes | 72c | 235$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.3 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -21%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf86c…ba99backed Yes | 80c | 225.14$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.78 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbab6…50a2backed Yes | 72c | 221.15$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.42 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +61.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xffc6…411fbacked Yes | 46c | 216.72$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.72 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ed0…9c4fbacked Yes | 77c | 214.41$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.8 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +320%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x81e9…1812backed Yes | 67c | 208.12$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.82 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76dc…17b4backed No | 32c | 200$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 72 | 34.7%25 W · 47 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a08…2e25backed No | 40c | 200$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 76 | 26.3%20 W · 56 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 22cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9419…4201backed Yes | 24c | 200$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | +3.7wins | +0.14per pick | 20cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2e55…c88dbacked Yes | 63c | 200$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | +2.6wins | +0.12per pick | 26cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb8b9…7a6bbacked No | 14c | 199.99$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.22per pick | 15cpaid | +121.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Music and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 34 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Romania be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?this page
- Will Albania be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Armenia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Australia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?Yes won
- Will Austria be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Azerbaijan be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Belgium be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Bulgaria be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?Yes won
- Will Croatia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Cyprus be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Czechia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Denmark be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?Yes won
- Will Estonia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Finland be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?Yes won
- Will France be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Germany be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Greece be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?Yes won
- Will Israel be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?Yes won
- Will Italy be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?Yes won
- Will Latvia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Lithuania be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Luxembourg be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Malta be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Moldova be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?Yes won
- Will Montenegro be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Norway be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Poland be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Portugal be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will San Marino be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Serbia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Sweden be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Switzerland be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Ukraine be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?Yes won
- Will United Kingdom be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.