Music · resolved market
Will Ukraine be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4cb414aa5143ac7f34bb58e12cd75e5b0bb142fbe316921b0d3167808a339ea4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Musicevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $119,665
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $116,288
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $119,665 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 268 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Music is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Music | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf5e8…9fbdbacked No | 1c | 12,375$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.82 | 32 | 3.1%1 W · 31 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 1cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94c4…43cabacked No | 22c | 7,979$1,753 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,753.13 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4c…dbd5backed No | 24c | 7,882$1,877 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,877.28 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.21per pick | 32cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe3f2…e1c1backed No | 31c | 6,139$1,888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,888.05 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +2.5wins | +0.22per pick | 32cpaid | +70.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x49b6…170cbacked Yes | 76c | 5,345$4,046 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,298.85 | 77 | 23.4%18 W · 59 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22d3…5e3abacked No | 33c | 5,187$1,705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,705 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x482d…ba5ebacked Yes | 69c | 5,044$3,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,544.05 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b59…3aa6backed Yes | 67c | 4,515$3,024 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,490.54 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +86%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd68…ca27backed Yes | 70c | 2,863$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$862.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab68…77cdbacked Yes | 74c | 2,824$2,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$724.37 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6db9…4ab5backed No | 32c | 2,584$838 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$837.7 | 74 | 25.7%19 W · 55 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked No | 31c | 2,535$786 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$785.54 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed No | 28c | 2,468$691 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$691.31 | 229 | 27.9%64 W · 165 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x689c…6b1ebacked Yes | 68c | 2,271$1,547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$723.86 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +27%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5571…0346backed Yes | 70c | 2,200$1,546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$653.99 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +3.1wins | +0.24per pick | 45cpaid | +65.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x96aa…c145backed No | 32c | 2,120$670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$670.22 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -2.3wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x594e…1c11backed No | 41c | 1,951$801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800.95 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb886…81b3backed Yes | 67c | 1,906$1,273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$633.12 | 143 | 15.4%22 W · 121 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 11cpaid | +353%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e3…4d7ebacked No | 32c | 1,703$537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$537.49 | 63 | 39.7%25 W · 38 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed No | 24c | 1,640$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.76 | 32 | 21.9%7 W · 25 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | +187.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27c1…f4acbacked Yes | 66c | 1,595$1,057 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$538.09 | 53 | 35.8%19 W · 34 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8d5…1caebacked No | 24c | 1,470$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.8 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0336…4bb0backed No | 33c | 1,369$452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$452 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad89…f6e1backed No | 35c | 1,120$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.53 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +4.9wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9c42…deb7backed Yes | 64c | 1,101$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.01 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +57.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18fa…3730backed No | 21c | 1,078$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.38 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +60.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54f0…7725backed Yes | 65c | 1,065$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.13 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4447…e040backed No | 33c | 1,019$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.76 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | +3.2wins | +0.10per pick | 18cpaid | +86.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6c43…fb9bbacked No | 27c | 1,019$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.86 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29d3…b2edbacked Yes | 75c | 1,000$749 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.42 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5f6…adc3backed No | 32c | 999.99$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.4 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked No | 31c | 999.97$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.99 | 70 | 27.1%19 W · 51 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11db…841fbacked Yes | 72c | 840$605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd04…fbb0backed No | 50c | 830.74$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.1 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd04…a64abacked Yes | 75c | 804.31$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.31 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +55.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71fb…9b65backed Yes | 76c | 772$587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.28 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9359…6aacbacked Yes | 67c | 749.97$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.49 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x280a…87fcbacked Yes | 64c | 742.32$476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.44 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -48%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecd9…ebc3backed No | 34c | 728.5$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.7 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9498…d950backed Yes | 76c | 724$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.76 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +77.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1ac…d8c5backed Yes | 76c | 698$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.52 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x168a…da29backed No | 32c | 689.16$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.86 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f08…54d3backed No | 22c | 681.81$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbcac…f545backed Yes | 76c | 655$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43d5…2e11backed No | 24c | 655$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.2 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cec…809ebacked No | 27c | 651.59$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.18per pick | 55cpaid | -48%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd34b…0004backed No | 30c | 610.56$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.92 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | +5.0wins | +0.12per pick | 29cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 65c | 608.71$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.22 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 27cpaid | -70%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ea…a152backed Yes | 79c | 602$476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.42 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4be7…8e91backed No | 28c | 599.99$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 48 | 31.3%15 W · 33 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -33%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5be7…46eebacked Yes | 79c | 572$452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.12 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…099abacked No | 28c | 562.39$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.6 | 128 | 35.9%46 W · 82 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x252c…391abacked No | 21c | 521$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.41 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8eb…8473backed Yes | 65c | 490$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.5 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.14per pick | 23cpaid | +125.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Yes | 72c | 444.49$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.14 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c5…e777backed Yes | 66c | 442.68$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb046…857cbacked No | 25c | 440.4$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.7 | 63 | 34.9%22 W · 41 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccfa…6ee7backed No | 32c | 437.63$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.75 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab6d…92b3backed Yes | 79c | 425$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.25 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -39%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f64…32b3backed Yes | 68c | 410.42$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.33 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf948…0931backed No | 36c | 403.31$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.19 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66a5…56cbbacked Yes | 67c | 399.97$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.99 | 56 | 33.9%19 W · 37 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf65…b793backed Yes | 65c | 391.55$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.08 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -61.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ad8…cd62backed No | 33c | 384.45$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.87 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -36%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51f7…ae1fbacked No | 32c | 367.09$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.37 | 73 | 43.8%32 W · 41 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e6a…fdc0backed No | 26c | 351.52$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 30 | 13.3%4 W · 26 L | -3.5wins | -0.12per pick | 25cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 20c | 334.19$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.45 | 77 | 40.3%31 W · 46 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf3…6077backed Yes | 74c | 333$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.58 | 102 | 35.3%36 W · 66 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b17…51b1backed No | 32c | 320.65$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.67 | 74 | 16.2%12 W · 62 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | +231.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x030d…7ce5backed Yes | 73c | 319.23$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.19 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked No | 32c | 307.38$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.03 | 71 | 21.1%15 W · 56 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c15…9667backed Yes | 76c | 306$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.44 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x714f…16ffbacked Yes | 69c | 305.26$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.83 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 68cpaid | -18%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9521…9e2bbacked No | 42c | 293.93$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4c9…e2dcbacked Yes | 70c | 285.72$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5cc…feb0backed Yes | 72c | 278.18$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.18 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ec…998cbacked Yes | 74c | 271.85$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.85 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1368…220fbacked Yes | 70c | 264.29$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.34 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.27per pick | 51cpaid | +44.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0666…9fa3backed No | 24c | 254$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.96 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8dd…9b5abacked Yes | 74c | 250.49$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.22 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf86c…ba99backed Yes | 71c | 248.23$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.09 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6702…0051backed No | 24c | 248$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.52 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -39%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x993b…dedabacked No | 35c | 239.92$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.16 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -4.2wins | -0.23per pick | 62cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x282e…3eaabacked No | 24c | 222$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.28 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0f09…fc31backed Yes | 73c | 214.62$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.22 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x370e…5df3backed No | 24c | 208$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.73 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd84f…dd03backed No | 29c | 207.72$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x668d…97d2backed No | 32c | 204$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.61 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7be…ee50backed Yes | 73c | 199.98$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.99 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -65.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed No | 31c | 198.82$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.78 | 162 | 50.6%82 W · 80 L | +11.6wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x41f0…3eebbacked No | 28c | 196.43$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 106 | 30.2%32 W · 74 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03ed…c077backed No | 26c | 195.33$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.79 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…e467backed No | 32c | 192.61$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.63 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc86a…5a42backed Yes | 72c | 192.38$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.86 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0953…b819backed Yes | 55c | 191.28$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.77 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +2.7wins | +0.16per pick | 43cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x03f7…c0ccbacked No | 25c | 189.89$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.26 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked Yes | 66c | 186.81$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.97 | 83 | 42.2%35 W · 48 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2be0…6deebacked Yes | 76c | 186.76$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.82 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36e2…61e5backed Yes | 58c | 181.1$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.1 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b72…6dbebacked Yes | 68c | 179.99$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.6 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +2.8wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Music and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 34 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Ukraine be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?this page
- Will Albania be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Armenia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Australia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?Yes won
- Will Austria be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Azerbaijan be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Belgium be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Bulgaria be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?Yes won
- Will Croatia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Cyprus be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Czechia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Denmark be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?Yes won
- Will Estonia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Finland be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?Yes won
- Will France be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Germany be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Greece be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?Yes won
- Will Israel be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?Yes won
- Will Italy be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?Yes won
- Will Latvia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Lithuania be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Luxembourg be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Malta be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Moldova be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?Yes won
- Will Montenegro be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Norway be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Poland be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Portugal be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Romania be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?Yes won
- Will San Marino be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Serbia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Sweden be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Switzerland be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will United Kingdom be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.