Music · resolved market
Will Serbia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x19dc9e55a8b5c1d06c839b470b70a4aaec4dc9ee1bcabd69ca9c04e53271c39e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Musicevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $149,240
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $134,280
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $149,240 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 147 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Music is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Music | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x24a5…b3bbbacked Yes | 13c | 10,536$1,335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,335.15 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | +3.1wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +110.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8a67…e0fabacked Yes | 12c | 7,114$852 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$852.41 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x523a…8e28backed Yes | 18c | 7,045$1,293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,293.03 | 21 | 4.8%1 W · 20 L | -2.2wins | -0.11per pick | 15cpaid | -92.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xecd9…ebc3backed Yes | 17c | 5,447$928 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$928.41 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3fe…a7a5backed Yes | 15c | 4,936$717 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$717.33 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.13per pick | 19cpaid | -88.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb886…81b3backed Yes | 14c | 4,491$638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$637.61 | 143 | 15.4%22 W · 121 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 11cpaid | +353%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd85a…615abacked Yes | 16c | 4,427$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$699.85 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 13cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0419…a533backed Yes | 20c | 3,431$671 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$670.94 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 11cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x772c…0151backed Yes | 36c | 3,045$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 28 | 7.1%2 W · 26 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | +227%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bef…601abacked Yes | 14c | 2,781$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x656d…e4c9backed Yes | 44c | 2,264$988 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$987.78 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -52.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00c2…1be5backed Yes | 26c | 1,889$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.14 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Yes | 15c | 1,592$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.03 | 229 | 27.9%64 W · 165 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03f8…d85abacked Yes | 14c | 1,537$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4af7…2381backed Yes | 10c | 1,532$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.19 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 9cpaid | +313.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8745…4805backed Yes | 11c | 1,515$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.65 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 18cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f08…54d3backed Yes | 5c | 1,390$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.49 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…115ebacked Yes | 12c | 1,313$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.56 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked Yes | 10c | 1,252$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.59 | 71 | 21.1%15 W · 56 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7e…275ebacked Yes | 12c | 1,074$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.88 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaefa…f98ebacked Yes | 12c | 1,054$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.48 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.37per pick | 38cpaid | +91.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67f2…6a72backed Yes | 12c | 1,043$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.16 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e6a…fdc0backed Yes | 25c | 1,040$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263 | 30 | 13.3%4 W · 26 L | -3.5wins | -0.12per pick | 25cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9a…cc24backed Yes | 12c | 1,039$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.68 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04d7…b035backed No | 52c | 1,033$537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495.83 | 148 | 35.8%53 W · 95 L | +9.1wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfde6…7ed6backed Yes | 21c | 1,000$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb424…3b71backed Yes | 9c | 999.39$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.85 | 43 | 18.6%8 W · 35 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e6b…a799backed Yes | 17c | 994.94$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.19 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4408…5e0ebacked Yes | 15c | 986.51$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bcb…f59bbacked No | 74c | 879$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.54 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf825…2e4abacked Yes | 12c | 835$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb212…0f8ebacked Yes | 12c | 813$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.56 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2111…667fbacked Yes | 12c | 747$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.64 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03a3…fdf4backed Yes | 12c | 738$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3122…e27abacked Yes | 14c | 734.83$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -33%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7f9…bf88backed Yes | 14c | 714.76$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc911…fa2bbacked No | 74c | 690$511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.4 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeebe…5d9bbacked Yes | 11c | 681.82$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x668b…3884backed Yes | 12c | 676$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce82…774dbacked Yes | 14c | 672.57$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe17a…c6fbbacked No | 76c | 659$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.16 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3f0…cf6dbacked Yes | 22c | 651.55$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.26 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f07…0170backed No | 78c | 648.09$506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.58 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | -3.6wins | -0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -58.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1ff2…6857backed Yes | 19c | 616.45$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.17 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce08…28bdbacked Yes | 13c | 599.97$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Yes | 16c | 598.3$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.91 | 32 | 21.9%7 W · 25 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | +187.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9155…de7cbacked Yes | 14c | 589.77$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.96 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f5…b750backed Yes | 12c | 589$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.68 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -73%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe309…44c2backed Yes | 12c | 584$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.08 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.19per pick | 39cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5280…0241backed Yes | 15c | 577.93$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.89 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbab6…50a2backed No | 78c | 571.99$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.5 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +61.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41c7…ddd8backed Yes | 14c | 544.48$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3933…8ef1backed Yes | 15c | 543.36$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.03 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8433…6e0fbacked Yes | 12c | 503$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.36 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x215a…254cbacked Yes | 6c | 500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6c…d024backed Yes | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -2.5wins | -0.20per pick | 35cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9785…17afbacked Yes | 20c | 496.55$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.48 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 8cpaid | +420.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf3…6077backed No | 80c | 466$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.2 | 102 | 35.3%36 W · 66 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5db…3c45backed Yes | 21c | 459$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.64 | 36 | 25%9 W · 27 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb8…f7debacked Yes | 10c | 453.69$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.92 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +2.8wins | +0.21per pick | 17cpaid | +81%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6071…fab9backed Yes | 19c | 438.89$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.38 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 63cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x347c…35f4backed Yes | 16c | 426.32$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.94 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 9cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked No | 47c | 424.78$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.4 | 51 | 31.4%16 W · 35 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked Yes | 14c | 416.66$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.96 | 83 | 42.2%35 W · 48 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5825…4ffbbacked No | 69c | 388.51$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.93 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27e5…efd2backed Yes | 13c | 388.23$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa174…34f4backed Yes | 16c | 373.49$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.12 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef7e…e9ebbacked Yes | 14c | 366.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11b2…9bafbacked Yes | 17c | 359.99$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.2 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.27per pick | 44cpaid | -75.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a45…9d4abacked Yes | 12c | 353.79$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.85 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +3.4wins | +0.18per pick | 45cpaid | +52.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x90e2…7babbacked Yes | 25c | 347.68$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.92 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe590…87bfbacked Yes | 24c | 336$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.64 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 22cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2f5…ff95backed Yes | 11c | 330.91$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d18…69fbbacked Yes | 13c | 328.72$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f24…0ffabacked Yes | 13c | 327.92$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 59c | 326.34$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.44 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd62…50e5backed Yes | 14c | 325$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.95 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 22cpaid | +449%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x605c…83dcbacked Yes | 24c | 323$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.52 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked No | 80c | 320$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8bae…8200backed No | 74c | 320$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d2f…0f76backed Yes | 12c | 300$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.69 | 19 | 5.3%1 W · 18 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 12cpaid | -74.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddbf…4223backed Yes | 13c | 300$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 13cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca0…e17abacked Yes | 14c | 299.89$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.98 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | +5.2wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x312d…6814backed No | 75c | 296.66$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.77 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1113…e8cebacked Yes | 17c | 294.12$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4720…007bbacked Yes | 11c | 284.43$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.13 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x725b…576dbacked Yes | 12c | 280.94$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.11 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cc…028abacked Yes | 15c | 277.19$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.92 | 147 | 8.2%12 W · 135 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 4cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 24c | 264.15$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.92 | 462 | 9.7%45 W · 417 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd5c…6d2abacked Yes | 12c | 239.99$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.12per pick | 31cpaid | +285.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0e4…93ecbacked Yes | 13c | 230.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe389…459fbacked Yes | 25c | 213.16$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.42 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50b2…c94abacked Yes | 14c | 210.14$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.42 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa090…c4c7backed Yes | 17c | 200.18$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.06 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb18…2372backed Yes | 28c | 195$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.6 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3df6…0f0fbacked Yes | 28c | 185$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.8 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40ef…ac8fbacked Yes | 19c | 179.79$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe64a…e621backed Yes | 12c | 170.98$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8373…d243backed Yes | 12c | 169$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdeb0…1bbbbacked Yes | 12c | 165.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Music and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 34 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Serbia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?this page
- Will Albania be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Armenia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Australia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?Yes won
- Will Austria be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Azerbaijan be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Belgium be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Bulgaria be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?Yes won
- Will Croatia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Cyprus be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Czechia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Denmark be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?Yes won
- Will Estonia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Finland be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?Yes won
- Will France be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Germany be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Greece be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?Yes won
- Will Israel be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?Yes won
- Will Italy be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?Yes won
- Will Latvia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Lithuania be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Luxembourg be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Malta be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Moldova be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?Yes won
- Will Montenegro be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Norway be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Poland be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Portugal be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Romania be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?Yes won
- Will San Marino be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Sweden be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Switzerland be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Ukraine be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?Yes won
- Will United Kingdom be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.