TailMyPicks

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Tennis · resolved market

Cincinnati Open: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Miomir Kecmanovic

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Miomir Kecmanovicof Camilo Ugo Carabelli, Miomir Kecmanovic
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$64,928
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$65,079

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $64,928 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 94 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa2c9…2c23backed Miomir Kecmanovic76c9,500$7,220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,2806070%42 W · 18 L-0.1wins0.00per pick70cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Camilo Ugo Carabelli25c6,849$1,709 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,709.492,37551.1%1,213 W · 1,162 L+8.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32b4…8b21backed Camilo Ugo Carabelli24c3,536$849 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$848.713,60542.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L-43.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3556…af4fbacked Camilo Ugo Carabelli16c2,988$489 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$489.0427724.9%69 W · 208 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Camilo Ugo Carabelli9c2,655$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.788,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x73f8…894fbacked Camilo Ugo Carabelli19c1,883$352 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$352.271435.7%5 W · 9 L-2.6wins-0.19per pick54cpaid-47.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Camilo Ugo Carabelli17c1,791$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$310.214,53367.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L+306.6wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+5.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x2c62…7357backed Camilo Ugo Carabelli14c1,500$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.995625%14 W · 42 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick20cpaid+20.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa804…2a75backed Miomir Kecmanovic72c1,491$1,074 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$417.5356651.8%293 W · 273 L+11.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9807…157bbacked Camilo Ugo Carabelli28c1,430$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400.433438.6%129 W · 205 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Camilo Ugo Carabelli24c1,242$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298.081,67948.1%808 W · 871 L+36.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Camilo Ugo Carabelli24c1,199$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$287.661,72948.9%845 W · 884 L+53.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Camilo Ugo Carabelli8c1,062$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.041,09452.4%573 W · 521 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x42c9…9623backed Camilo Ugo Carabelli6c848.51$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.914,70349.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L+166.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd335…fe54backed Camilo Ugo Carabelli12c833.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10011933.6%40 W · 79 L+0.3wins0.00per pick33cpaid+7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d91…40d3backed Camilo Ugo Carabelli25c789.12$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.2848331.1%150 W · 333 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick30cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda79…9050backed Camilo Ugo Carabelli12c750$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9013531.9%43 W · 92 L+0.6wins0.00per pick31cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d98…fe98backed Camilo Ugo Carabelli12c625$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7515133.8%51 W · 100 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x13ce…35f0backed Miomir Kecmanovic75c588.93$442 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.237981%64 W · 15 L+7.9wins+0.10per pick71cpaid+12.4%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x9930…696ebacked Camilo Ugo Carabelli11c542.26$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.3127749.1%136 W · 141 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x45e4…3c69backed Camilo Ugo Carabelli23c522$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12237044.3%164 W · 206 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc1d7…47a4backed Camilo Ugo Carabelli10c450$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$451,02341.3%422 W · 601 L-24.8wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d26…f4f8backed Camilo Ugo Carabelli15c439.43$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.68616.3%14 W · 72 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick13cpaid+37.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x03f4…7e44backed Camilo Ugo Carabelli27c400$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10835938.2%137 W · 222 L+7.5wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd46e…d10dbacked Camilo Ugo Carabelli7c400$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2858931.1%183 W · 406 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick29cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Camilo Ugo Carabelli27c386.26$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.7527744.4%123 W · 154 L-12.7wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-12.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x95c4…3d9bbacked Camilo Ugo Carabelli12c375$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$454035%14 W · 26 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d0…a1c5backed Camilo Ugo Carabelli27c351.85$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$951,56640%627 W · 939 L-32.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Miomir Kecmanovic73c351.85$257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$953,25648.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L-53.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9538…96f4backed Camilo Ugo Carabelli12c333.33$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4012031.7%38 W · 82 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick31cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a6a…56bdbacked Camilo Ugo Carabelli26c305.99$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.0360341.1%248 W · 355 L-26.8wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-11.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Camilo Ugo Carabelli9c262.93$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.382,76647.7%1,318 W · 1,448 L+44.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-18.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x10ff…ff77backed Miomir Kecmanovic74c261$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.9296755.3%535 W · 432 L+3.4wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb5da…5fb9backed Camilo Ugo Carabelli12c250$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3012634.9%44 W · 82 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick32cpaid+11.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d9d…a555backed Camilo Ugo Carabelli12c250$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303935.9%14 W · 25 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+23.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfb3…f890backed Camilo Ugo Carabelli11c238.17$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.7513351.1%68 W · 65 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-17.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b6b…ec86backed Camilo Ugo Carabelli23c234.78$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$541,06231.8%338 W · 724 L-27.2wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-9.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9a08…46f9backed Camilo Ugo Carabelli12c208.33$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257929.1%23 W · 56 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick26cpaid+12.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb994…fad1backed Camilo Ugo Carabelli12c208.33$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259736.1%35 W · 62 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+15%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3cad…92f0backed Camilo Ugo Carabelli19c207.89$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.53,22040.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L+28.3wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc46e…9ed8backed Miomir Kecmanovic75c200$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5037238.2%142 W · 230 L-8.2wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x17d9…84afbacked Camilo Ugo Carabelli26c193.99$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.4430648.4%148 W · 158 L0.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6318…46b1backed Camilo Ugo Carabelli26c192.65$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.995,26128.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L-19.4wins0.00per pick29cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfdff…91f7backed Camilo Ugo Carabelli12c177.08$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.254740.4%19 W · 28 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick42cpaid+5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe1e3…f1bdbacked Camilo Ugo Carabelli6c170$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.288358.2%514 W · 369 L+12.9wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-2.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbbd7…1c4fbacked Camilo Ugo Carabelli12c166.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2015534.8%54 W · 101 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick33cpaid+8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd7e…c45cbacked Camilo Ugo Carabelli12c166.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2012833.6%43 W · 85 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+13.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3ca9…424abacked Camilo Ugo Carabelli11c152.5$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.521,71053.7%918 W · 792 L+30.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6932…6878backed Camilo Ugo Carabelli27c150$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.586835.4%307 W · 561 L+22.9wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+10.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb8f6…4f7fbacked Camilo Ugo Carabelli26c143.99$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.4434148.1%164 W · 177 L-7.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbe87…b9b6backed Camilo Ugo Carabelli12c140.83$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.95738.6%22 W · 35 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+42.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d6d…f2b4backed Miomir Kecmanovic73c136.89$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.8947058.5%275 W · 195 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xba0c…4715backed Miomir Kecmanovic74c136$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.362352.2%12 W · 11 L-2.0wins-0.09per pick61cpaid-21.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9ccf…ef8abacked Miomir Kecmanovic74c135.14$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.141275%9 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick72cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd762…bb9ebacked Camilo Ugo Carabelli12c125$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1512740.9%52 W · 75 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x39a6…42a6backed Camilo Ugo Carabelli12c113.58$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.63728.6%2 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.17per pick12cpaid+125.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Miomir Kecmanovic76c106.06$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.296,59950.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L+259.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc3ec…e987backed Camilo Ugo Carabelli25c100.43$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.1128543.5%124 W · 161 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6db…3155backed Camilo Ugo Carabelli17c100$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1755347.6%263 W · 290 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x702e…ff44backed Camilo Ugo Carabelli27c99.98$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.9923742.6%101 W · 136 L-8.4wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-5.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe338…d6c2backed Camilo Ugo Carabelli12c99.5$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.946552.3%34 W · 31 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x92b1…20c0backed Camilo Ugo Carabelli12c99.08$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.8960%0 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x17f7…4f7cbacked Camilo Ugo Carabelli16c95.75$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.322055%11 W · 9 L+3.7wins+0.18per pick37cpaid+49.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9028…8608backed Camilo Ugo Carabelli11c94.04$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.0942546.4%197 W · 228 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-12.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Camilo Ugo Carabelli11c91.3$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.491,70844.8%766 W · 942 L-18.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-22.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x398f…30f2backed Camilo Ugo Carabelli18c88.62$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.0516941.4%70 W · 99 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-25.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x125a…df71backed Camilo Ugo Carabelli26c87.16$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.661,02149.8%508 W · 513 L+42.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe780…055bbacked Camilo Ugo Carabelli23c86.96$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204825%12 W · 36 L+0.2wins0.00per pick25cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x07ed…5cf6backed Camilo Ugo Carabelli12c84.25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.111030%3 W · 7 L+1.7wins+0.17per pick13cpaid+101.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x43ed…6232backed Camilo Ugo Carabelli20c78$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.616248.1%78 W · 84 L-0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdcbb…07d9backed Miomir Kecmanovic75c77.64$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.4123256.5%131 W · 101 L-7.5wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3da8…be26backed Camilo Ugo Carabelli27c74$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.6969545.8%318 W · 377 L-10.5wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ee3…2e6abacked Camilo Ugo Carabelli25c71.44$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.8629945.8%137 W · 162 L+20.6wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+21.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe022…7d0fbacked Camilo Ugo Carabelli21c71.43$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1516833.9%57 W · 111 L-6.3wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-11.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf9d1…73edbacked Miomir Kecmanovic76c65.79$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.798867%59 W · 29 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x24ce…da46backed Miomir Kecmanovic78c61$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.4642748.7%208 W · 219 L+8.0wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb720…da75backed Miomir Kecmanovic75c53.33$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.3335164.7%227 W · 124 L+20.8wins+0.06per pick59cpaid+9.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xeedc…d4c0backed Miomir Kecmanovic73c47.81$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.9114870.3%104 W · 44 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick67cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x57b4…da40backed Miomir Kecmanovic73c41.1$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.134359.5%204 W · 139 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f50…1701backed Camilo Ugo Carabelli28c40$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.39656.3%54 W · 42 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+13.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf970…f7f6backed Camilo Ugo Carabelli28c36$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.082,48535.9%893 W · 1,592 L-28.5wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe5ec…3cd6backed Miomir Kecmanovic74c33.78$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.782166.7%14 W · 7 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+9.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x19aa…a972backed Miomir Kecmanovic74c31.35$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.15560%3 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick66cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2470…7ae6backed Miomir Kecmanovic75c24.35$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.078461.9%52 W · 32 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Miomir Kecmanovic77c22.33$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.1495050.1%476 W · 474 L-10.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-12.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x75b6…8d68backed Miomir Kecmanovic74c21$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.465966.1%39 W · 20 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc09d…d110backed Miomir Kecmanovic72c20$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.63151.6%16 W · 15 L-2.3wins-0.07per pick59cpaid-15.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcdb6…ee3fbacked Miomir Kecmanovic76c20$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.8955.6%5 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.15per pick71cpaid-24.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed Miomir Kecmanovic75c17.88$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.471,22652%637 W · 589 L+44.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+2.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4093…5749backed Miomir Kecmanovic77c16.18$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.722,85549.4%1,410 W · 1,445 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcba8…11a2backed Miomir Kecmanovic74c16$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.1610063%63 W · 37 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a80…d472backed Miomir Kecmanovic70c15$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.51,18652.4%622 W · 564 L+28.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x14de…489cbacked Miomir Kecmanovic75c14.67$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.6716870.8%119 W · 49 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick70cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde36…f41cbacked Miomir Kecmanovic73c14.36$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.8815846.8%74 W · 84 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.