TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe5ec…3cd6

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
50
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Tennis, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 53 out of 100; worst Cricket at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennislast resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT2166.7%14 W · 7 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+9.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cincinnati Open: Tommy Paul vs Flavio Cobollibacked Tommy Paul · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Cincinnati Open: Amanda Anisimova vs Jessica Pegulabacked Jessica Pegula · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$40.91
Set Handicap: Nakashima (-1.5) vs Borges (+1.5)backed Borges · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+56.8%+$17.03
Cincinnati Open: Arthur Fils vs Alex de Minaurbacked Arthur Fils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$30.65
Set Handicap: Auger-Aliassime (-1.5) vs Cerundolo (+1.5)backed Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$13.33
Cincinnati Open: Jaime Faria vs Adam Waltonbacked Jaime Faria · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$14.48
Cincinnati Open: Andrey Rublev vs Pablo Carreno Bustabacked Andrey Rublev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$24.63
Cincinnati Open: Arthur Rinderknech vs Juan Manuel Cerundolobacked Arthur Rinderknech · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Cincinnati Open: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Miomir Kecmanovicbacked Miomir Kecmanovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$8.78
National Bank Open: Learner Tien vs Tommy Paulbacked Tommy Paul · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
National Bank Open: Casper Ruud vs Joao Fonsecabacked Joao Fonseca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$42.59
Set Handicap: Mensik (-1.5) vs Atmane (+1.5)backed Atmane · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
National Bank Open: Tallon Griekspoor vs Matteo Arnaldibacked Tallon Griekspoor · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$80.77
Set Handicap: Minaur (-1.5) vs Norrie (+1.5)backed Norrie · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$84.38
National Bank Open: Marta Kostyuk vs Madison Keysbacked Marta Kostyuk · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$39.29
National Bank Open: Anna Kalinskaya vs Diana Shnaiderbacked Diana Shnaider · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$39.29
National Bank Open: Alex Michelsen vs Francisco Cerundolobacked Alex Michelsen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$45.97
National Bank Open: Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Joao Fonsecabacked Joao Fonseca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$50
National Bank Open: Aleksandar Vukic vs Daniel Altmaierbacked Aleksandar Vukic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Canadian Open: Matteo Berrettini vs Mariano Navonebacked Matteo Berrettini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Los Cabos Open: Sho Shimabukuro vs Rodrigo Pachecobacked Sho Shimabukuro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
All 21 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 11, 2026, EDT955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick48cpaid-17.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$133.33
Norway vs. England: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$31.97
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$69.49
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$19.44
Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 0 Egypt?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 1 Egypt?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 1 Egypt?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$93.3
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$16.67
All 9 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Aug 3, 2026, EDT714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick24cpaid-81.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Cricketlast resolved Aug 16, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-31.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Cricket — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian Leaguelast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick70cpaid-26.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FC Tōkyō vs. JEF United Ichihara Chiba: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Kashiwa Reysol win on 2026-08-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$23.53
All 2 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Jul 30, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
RSC Anderlecht vs. Hammarby Fotboll: Team to Advancebacked RSC Anderlecht · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$42.39
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 23, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Arizona Diamondbacks vs. St. Louis Cardinalsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will New York City FC win on 2026-07-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFLlast resolved Aug 15, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cowboys vs. Seahawksbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2last resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Iron Wing vs Team Spirit (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked Iron Wing · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.