Tennis · resolved market
Set Handicap: Mensik (-1.5) vs Atmane (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0c7652a3aa34d316f6abc446988cb490d20098bf5f5eb84e7348ffe34c48b03a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Mensikof Mensik, Atmane
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,686
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,086
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,686 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcd65…ee96backed Mensik | 39c | 7,448$2,925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,523.48 | 363 | 46.8%170 W · 193 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Atmane | 61c | 5,611$3,436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,436.46 | 2,375 | 51.1%1,213 W · 1,162 L | +8.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab4a…823abacked Mensik | 50c | 3,200$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,600 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | -4.9wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -25%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Mensik | 75c | 1,779$1,334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444.75 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x272d…bc2fbacked Atmane | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 366 | 57.7%211 W · 155 L | +7.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa514…9c8fbacked Atmane | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 117 | 60.7%71 W · 46 L | +6.7wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Atmane | 58c | 997.84$579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$578.75 | 1,031 | 50.3%519 W · 512 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Mensik | 71c | 699.42$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.47 | 2,417 | 50.7%1,226 W · 1,191 L | +78.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1861…408dbacked Atmane | 60c | 607.16$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.66 | 448 | 51.6%231 W · 217 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Atmane | 50c | 600.01$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1,681 | 50%841 W · 840 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Mensik | 38c | 378.99$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.86 | 2,174 | 36.9%802 W · 1,372 L | +39.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Mensik | 75c | 375$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.75 | 2,761 | 53.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L | +73.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd062…d893backed Atmane | 61c | 328.85$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.8wins | -0.28per pick | 58cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1aaa…0c04backed Atmane | 32c | 312.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 143 | 43.4%62 W · 81 L | -7.5wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2bb…3250backed Mensik | 75c | 287.87$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.97 | 244 | 52.5%128 W · 116 L | +9.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b5f…3397backed Mensik | 40c | 250$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 427 | 43.8%187 W · 240 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa55c…1066backed Mensik | 60c | 221$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.4 | 443 | 49%217 W · 226 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed Atmane | 50c | 198$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 1,776 | 48.6%863 W · 913 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Atmane | 61c | 182.24$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.17 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ec…3cd6backed Atmane | 60c | 165.38$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Atmane | 59c | 162.99$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.91 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x167a…d542backed Mensik | 75c | 133$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.25 | 1,837 | 59.2%1,088 W · 749 L | +8.4wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2903…9203backed Atmane | 50c | 119.88$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.94 | 1,076 | 60.4%650 W · 426 L | +24.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a6a…56bdbacked Mensik | 41c | 98$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.11 | 603 | 41.1%248 W · 355 L | -26.8wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Atmane | 50c | 90$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 3,220 | 40.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L | +28.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Mensik | 44c | 80.81$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.03 | 3,874 | 45.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Atmane | 50c | 80$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2,601 | 46.5%1,209 W · 1,392 L | +18.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x253f…4253backed Atmane | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 92 | 48.9%45 W · 47 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa65…b0bbbacked Mensik | 44c | 79.26$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.1 | 77 | 39%30 W · 47 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe80f…b81bbacked Atmane | 66c | 75.76$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 180 | 59.4%107 W · 73 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9735…db39backed Atmane | 62c | 72.58$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed Mensik | 39c | 64$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.04 | 270 | 47.8%129 W · 141 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36dc…531bbacked Mensik | 37c | 45.95$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.95 | 107 | 44.9%48 W · 59 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe660…514fbacked Atmane | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 102 | 33.3%34 W · 68 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17ef…9a2cbacked Atmane | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 788 | 57.1%450 W · 338 L | +13.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffca…0b64backed Atmane | 63c | 30.69$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.33 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd9…039bbacked Atmane | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1,008 | 38.3%386 W · 622 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf86…3e17backed Mensik | 52c | 29.99$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3da8…be26backed Atmane | 61c | 29$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.69 | 695 | 45.8%318 W · 377 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Mensik | 38c | 28.94$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.83 | 553 | 47.6%263 W · 290 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88b8…4a59backed Atmane | 65c | 26.15$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 46 | 60.9%28 W · 18 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe4f9…58e9backed Atmane | 61c | 24.2$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.76 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45e4…7e20backed Atmane | 57c | 23$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.11 | 187 | 47.6%89 W · 98 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0573…baf1backed Mensik | 58c | 18.27$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.67 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set Handicap: Mensik (-1.5) vs Atmane (+1.5)this page
- Atmane vs. Mensik: Match O/U 22.5Under won
- National Bank Open: Terence Atmane vs Jakub MensikJakub Mensik won
- Set 1 Winner: Atmane vs MensikMensik won
- Set 2 Winner: Atmane vs MensikMensik won
- Set Handicap: Atmane (-1.5) vs Mensik (+1.5)Mensik won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.