Tennis · resolved market
Set 1 Winner: Atmane vs Mensik
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0db81865e8b374c70d3d34b290f2e61bb1427df5e623cf787bb9e0ea1950f254
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Mensikof Atmane, Mensik
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,325
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,573
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,325 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Atmane | 39c | 2,337$903 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$903.11 | 2,304 | 51.1%1,177 W · 1,127 L | +10.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…9da2backed Atmane | 39c | 1,048$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.54 | 389 | 35.7%139 W · 250 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Atmane | 39c | 1,038$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.58 | 9,231 | 44.3%4,088 W · 5,143 L | -241.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c45…8652backed Mensik | 61c | 889.18$542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.78 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40f7…1f5ebacked Mensik | 46c | 841.71$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$454.52 | 743 | 43.7%325 W · 418 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x863a…e495backed Mensik | 61c | 825$503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.75 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -27%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Mensik | 61c | 711.53$436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.86 | 8,726 | 36.2%3,161 W · 5,565 L | -187.0wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fc5…d36ebacked Mensik | 61c | 647.54$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.54 | 180 | 44.4%80 W · 100 L | -11.4wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Atmane | 39c | 600$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234 | 6,998 | 39.7%2,779 W · 4,219 L | -16.7wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Atmane | 37c | 597$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.25 | 2,399 | 50.6%1,215 W · 1,184 L | +76.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Atmane | 40c | 580$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.3 | 1,227 | 53.2%653 W · 574 L | -5.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Atmane | 54c | 555.56$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1,672 | 50.1%837 W · 835 L | +30.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf404…daaabacked Mensik | 60c | 550$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa66e…3430backed Mensik | 61c | 475.94$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.16 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70fb…946bbacked Mensik | 65c | 402.29$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.78 | 60 | 45%27 W · 33 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Atmane | 5c | 371.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.66 | 1,920 | 55.4%1,064 W · 856 L | -44.5wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fae…8f07backed Mensik | 57c | 342.04$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.08 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefe9…7aaabacked Mensik | 62c | 289$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.82 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93a7…e8d3backed Mensik | 61c | 287$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.93 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe229…d9b2backed Mensik | 62c | 282.26$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.26 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 59cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c5e…8819backed Mensik | 62c | 282.26$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.26 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a36…9582backed Mensik | 61c | 261.25$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.89 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.19per pick | 52cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Atmane | 39c | 250$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.5 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Atmane | 39c | 206$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.34 | 1,505 | 37.7%568 W · 937 L | +25.3wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2be…af12backed Mensik | 65c | 202$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.7 | 2,032 | 46.9%952 W · 1,080 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed Atmane | 54c | 180.06$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.23 | 1,773 | 48.6%861 W · 912 L | +28.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a6a…56bdbacked Atmane | 39c | 91.75$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.94 | 603 | 41.1%248 W · 355 L | -26.8wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x253f…4253backed Atmane | 44c | 75$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 92 | 48.9%45 W · 47 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3556…af4fbacked Atmane | 43c | 68.84$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.6 | 277 | 24.9%69 W · 208 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x167a…d542backed Atmane | 43c | 51.62$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.2 | 1,802 | 58.9%1,062 W · 740 L | +5.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f98…0aa1backed Mensik | 60c | 40.75$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.3 | 107 | 57.9%62 W · 45 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x17ef…9a2cbacked Atmane | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.9 | 787 | 57.1%449 W · 338 L | +12.8wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0936…fb00backed Mensik | 61c | 35$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.65 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Mensik | 61c | 33.54$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.08 | 730 | 48.8%356 W · 374 L | -18.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Mensik | 61c | 29.25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.39 | 950 | 50.1%476 W · 474 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9dc…c980backed Mensik | 72c | 25.36$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.1 | 66 | 77.3%51 W · 15 L | +5.7wins | +0.09per pick | 69cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x65ce…b90bbacked Atmane | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4738…e64abacked Atmane | 54c | 20.36$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 118 | 53.4%63 W · 55 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set 1 Winner: Atmane vs Mensikthis page
- Atmane vs. Mensik: Match O/U 22.5Under won
- National Bank Open: Terence Atmane vs Jakub MensikJakub Mensik won
- Set 2 Winner: Atmane vs MensikMensik won
- Set Handicap: Atmane (-1.5) vs Mensik (+1.5)Mensik won
- Set Handicap: Mensik (-1.5) vs Atmane (+1.5)Mensik won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.