Cricket · resolved market
ODI Series Jersey vs UAE: Jersey vs United Arab Emirates
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb0163288d5afc4725c85b4328881fc0dbc8007134f2b56d900ce10f8d0d76c7d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- United Arab Emiratesof Jersey, United Arab Emirates
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,686
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,895
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,686 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 13 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbb19…e7a3backed Jersey | 2c | 1,500$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 187 | 13.4%25 W · 162 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11eb…50cbbacked United Arab Emirates | 65c | 763.09$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.28 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4d8…c3f8backed Jersey | 35c | 742.87$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.9 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f3b…4a04backed United Arab Emirates | 80c | 231.97$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.39 | 83 | 27.7%23 W · 60 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcbcc…a2d2backed United Arab Emirates | 74c | 185.8$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.8 | 94 | 64.9%61 W · 33 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85c0…d9cfbacked Jersey | 20c | 177.1$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 228 | 43.9%100 W · 128 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Jersey | 26c | 115.59$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 209 | 36.8%77 W · 132 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2cd…820fbacked Jersey | 25c | 95.21$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.8 | 187 | 29.4%55 W · 132 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ec…3cd6backed United Arab Emirates | 76c | 65.39$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.39 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked Jersey | 27c | 65$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.63 | 187 | 57.8%108 W · 79 L | +18.0wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5f14…b567backed United Arab Emirates | 75c | 26.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.71 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26e3…bb36backed United Arab Emirates | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03f3…573ebacked United Arab Emirates | 74c | 19.7$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.03 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 67cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.