Tennis · resolved market
Set Handicap: Auger-Aliassime (-1.5) vs Cerundolo (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdea724ce48203899d8ad71021ba72f00afdc804f42acd7e0106a8febb43cf6cc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Auger-Aliassimeof Auger-Aliassime, Cerundolo
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,467
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,969
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,467 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9d73…76fabacked Auger-Aliassime | 55c | 4,976$2,737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,239.36 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 67cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf83b…44a2backed Auger-Aliassime | 55c | 2,020$1,109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$911.51 | 539 | 42.1%227 W · 312 L | +19.9wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Cerundolo | 45c | 1,999$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$899.7 | 1,672 | 50.1%837 W · 835 L | +30.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Cerundolo | 42c | 1,456$616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$616.47 | 4,882 | 38.8%1,892 W · 2,990 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x272d…bc2fbacked Cerundolo | 45c | 1,323$595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$595.44 | 365 | 57.5%210 W · 155 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Cerundolo | 40c | 1,272$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510.19 | 2,399 | 50.6%1,215 W · 1,184 L | +76.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2bb…3250backed Cerundolo | 45c | 1,111$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 240 | 52.5%126 W · 114 L | +9.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77d5…732ebacked Auger-Aliassime | 61c | 999.98$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.99 | 337 | 55.2%186 W · 151 L | +19.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0599…3c6abacked Auger-Aliassime | 63c | 826.55$521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.62 | 583 | 59.2%345 W · 238 L | -8.3wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a06…f003backed Auger-Aliassime | 57c | 571.87$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.19 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Cerundolo | 45c | 520$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234 | 2,754 | 53.8%1,481 W · 1,273 L | +71.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Cerundolo | 39c | 442.93$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.74 | 1,090 | 52.6%573 W · 517 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Cerundolo | 39c | 442.93$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.74 | 1,505 | 37.7%568 W · 937 L | +25.3wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9deb…536fbacked Auger-Aliassime | 61c | 402.03$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.81 | 145 | 55.9%81 W · 64 L | +9.5wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +15%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed Cerundolo | 45c | 308.89$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139 | 1,773 | 48.6%861 W · 912 L | +28.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x167a…d542backed Cerundolo | 43c | 233.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.97 | 1,802 | 58.9%1,062 W · 740 L | +5.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17ef…9a2cbacked Cerundolo | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 787 | 57.1%449 W · 338 L | +12.8wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Cerundolo | 43c | 181.18$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.04 | 318 | 48.7%155 W · 163 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Cerundolo | 41c | 172.94$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.94 | 6,998 | 39.7%2,779 W · 4,219 L | -16.7wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b05…46c6backed Auger-Aliassime | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +3.4wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6797…e0e5backed Auger-Aliassime | 63c | 157.77$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.51 | 258 | 63.2%163 W · 95 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Auger-Aliassime | 58c | 152.38$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 7,710 | 47.8%3,685 W · 4,025 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3662…0e48backed Cerundolo | 42c | 152.38$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Cerundolo | 43c | 137.24$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.01 | 9,231 | 44.3%4,088 W · 5,143 L | -241.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d86…ad9bbacked Cerundolo | 50c | 135.14$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.9 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1052…efe7backed Auger-Aliassime | 60c | 130$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Cerundolo | 44c | 125.04$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.43 | 2,575 | 46.4%1,195 W · 1,380 L | +15.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed Cerundolo | 40c | 125$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 265 | 47.9%127 W · 138 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x461c…f74bbacked Auger-Aliassime | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Cerundolo | 43c | 60.39$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.7 | 317 | 42.3%134 W · 183 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ff…abd0backed Cerundolo | 39c | 48.87$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.06 | 288 | 47.6%137 W · 151 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Cerundolo | 50c | 48.78$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.39 | 3,204 | 40.5%1,299 W · 1,905 L | +28.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a4a…3026backed Auger-Aliassime | 59c | 48.33$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.82 | 213 | 53.5%114 W · 99 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Auger-Aliassime | 61c | 47.56$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.6 | 4,875 | 41.5%2,023 W · 2,852 L | -77.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7285…3273backed Cerundolo | 41c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.4 | 84 | 50%42 W · 42 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Cerundolo | 40c | 33.34$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.34 | 2,304 | 51.1%1,177 W · 1,127 L | +10.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Cerundolo | 40c | 33.33$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.33 | 509 | 48.1%245 W · 264 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ec…3cd6backed Auger-Aliassime | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Cerundolo | 36c | 29$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.44 | 1,008 | 43.8%442 W · 566 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x833c…ac24backed Cerundolo | 41c | 24.82$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.18 | 177 | 47.5%84 W · 93 L | -6.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Cerundolo | 42c | 24.65$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.35 | 780 | 52.7%411 W · 369 L | +21.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5a9…0c9abacked Auger-Aliassime | 58c | 19.99$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 123 | 65%80 W · 43 L | +7.1wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set Handicap: Auger-Aliassime (-1.5) vs Cerundolo (+1.5)this page
- Cerundolo vs. Auger-Aliassime: Match O/U 21.5Under won
- Cerundolo vs. Auger-Aliassime: Match O/U 22.5Under won
- Cincinnati Open: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Felix Auger-AliassimeFelix Auger-Aliassime won
- Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs. Felix Auger-Aliassime: Total Sets O/U 2.5Under 2.5 won
- Set 1 Winner: Cerundolo vs Auger-AliassimeAuger-Aliassime won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.