Asian League · resolved market
Will Kashiwa Reysol win on 2026-08-21?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf4dbd35f2dede48b8740a111b7eb49ad9a41ef21fdf7ea9af125922d4519f47d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $69,118
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $86,031
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $69,118 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 146 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 34c | 6,898$2,324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,324.28 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7618…24c6backed Yes | 48c | 6,233$2,983 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,250.18 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.31per pick | 44cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2398…8894backed Yes | 67c | 5,500$3,690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,809.89 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 43c | 4,371$1,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,899.7 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 73c | 3,169$2,328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840.1 | 2,424 | 38%920 W · 1,504 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd36…6674backed Yes | 67c | 2,948$1,975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$972.92 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +3.2wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x52d8…99aebacked Yes | 58c | 2,942$1,706 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,235.64 | 72 | 63.9%46 W · 26 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4bc5…e563backed No | 42c | 2,835$1,191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,190.6 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 66c | 2,218$1,474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$743.45 | 747 | 39.4%294 W · 453 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 75c | 2,007$1,510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$496.24 | 828 | 42.4%351 W · 477 L | +19.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed No | 32c | 1,768$571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570.6 | 294 | 32%94 W · 200 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 68c | 1,532$1,035 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$496.63 | 1,443 | 35.3%509 W · 934 L | -36.4wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 34c | 1,336$452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$451.86 | 1,110 | 49.5%549 W · 561 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked No | 48c | 1,133$542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$542.13 | 242 | 47.9%116 W · 126 L | +9.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b97…4500backed No | 33c | 1,061$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 38c | 1,054$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.56 | 1,725 | 50.6%873 W · 852 L | +28.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes | 62c | 1,011$626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.36 | 170 | 41.8%71 W · 99 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 33c | 988.16$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.09 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad0b…a514backed Yes | 52c | 800$418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382 | 88 | 54.5%48 W · 40 L | +6.2wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaaca…f5d5backed No | 33c | 790.35$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.81 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x09b0…a3b6backed No | 58c | 690$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.2 | 56 | 69.6%39 W · 17 L | +10.2wins | +0.18per pick | 51cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xf40a…ea0abacked Yes | 69c | 635.3$438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.08 | 64 | 60.9%39 W · 25 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked No | 50c | 614.98$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.49 | 279 | 64.9%181 W · 98 L | +28.1wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe301…8654backed No | 16c | 443.1$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.51 | 45 | 28.9%13 W · 32 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfec2…08afbacked Yes | 68c | 436.63$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.72 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2a…39bdbacked Yes | 72c | 413.94$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.13 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x780f…5f16backed Yes | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 32c | 392.7$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.46 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfb3…f890backed No | 40c | 381.56$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.28 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 34c | 314.87$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.83 | 388 | 49.5%192 W · 196 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a34…a28bbacked No | 47c | 309.67$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.48 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -2.7wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b03…b127backed No | 17c | 300.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 32cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3482…fa0ebacked Yes | 53c | 299.99$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8032…db9fbacked Yes | 66c | 299.98$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.99 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.27per pick | 53cpaid | +62.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 33c | 294.98$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.34 | 396 | 49.7%197 W · 199 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked No | 39c | 275.99$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.01 | 169 | 29%49 W · 120 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50cc…a534backed Yes | 63c | 270.12$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.12 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x488c…a2dabacked Yes | 63c | 238.1$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.1 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5016…1eebbacked Yes | 68c | 235.29$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.29 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.19per pick | 59cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed No | 39c | 214.23$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.69 | 211 | 52.1%110 W · 101 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 74c | 211.77$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.12 | 928 | 35%325 W · 603 L | -22.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1378…dbd2backed Yes | 67c | 204.91$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.62 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x789f…3e7dbacked No | 33c | 200$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f84…67efbacked Yes | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +114.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ab0…ba53backed Yes | 64c | 195.39$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.78 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdae8…42c1backed No | 34c | 191.18$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked No | 45c | 183.41$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.95 | 305 | 48.5%148 W · 157 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked No | 71c | 174.76$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.23 | 233 | 47.6%111 W · 122 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe904…44e9backed No | 38c | 168.26$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.94 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0464…67dabacked No | 48c | 156.17$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.24 | 109 | 49.5%54 W · 55 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9079…b19bbacked No | 76c | 153.78$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.45 | 147 | 45.6%67 W · 80 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ce5…17f9backed Yes | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda6f…1e46backed Yes | 59c | 135.21$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.21 | 73 | 49.3%36 W · 37 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x999a…9a25backed No | 45c | 131.56$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.94 | 136 | 54.4%74 W · 62 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed No | 45c | 121.73$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.15 | 256 | 53.5%137 W · 119 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed No | 44c | 117.46$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.94 | 261 | 36.8%96 W · 165 L | -18.0wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b89…9f72backed Yes | 66c | 114.99$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.65 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf920…1a85backed Yes | 65c | 110.77$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.77 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb14…0da7backed No | 11c | 110.23$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.52 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.14per pick | 22cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x92d6…4bfbbacked Yes | 67c | 100.16$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.05 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 73cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2045…c77cbacked Yes | 42c | 100$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.2 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked No | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.6 | 144 | 40.3%58 W · 86 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d93…fdefbacked No | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.5 | 81 | 43.2%35 W · 46 L | -8.2wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6e46…60d6backed Yes | 68c | 99.99$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.17per pick | 63cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed Yes | 52c | 93.87$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.96 | 244 | 48.4%118 W · 126 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc28c…6fb2backed Yes | 64c | 93.75$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.75 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.5wins | +0.25per pick | 45cpaid | +57.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc785…4ef2backed No | 77c | 92.12$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.98 | 101 | 56.4%57 W · 44 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bde…ecbabacked Yes | 68c | 91.68$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.34 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.21per pick | 62cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8eb…0acbbacked No | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 111 | 41.4%46 W · 65 L | -6.5wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf99a…df76backed Yes | 67c | 89.55$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.55 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x68f8…12c8backed Yes | 65c | 89.23$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.23 | 29 | 79.3%23 W · 6 L | +4.0wins | +0.14per pick | 65cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…473dbacked Yes | 38c | 86.94$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.94 | 215 | 74.4%160 W · 55 L | +45.1wins | +0.21per pick | 53cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 36c | 82.7$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.75 | 1,221 | 50.2%613 W · 608 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe76f…39fcbacked Yes | 64c | 81.25$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.25 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7eb…da58backed Yes | 67c | 80$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.4 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4cfd…3d84backed No | 34c | 79.41$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 176 | 30.1%53 W · 123 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87f7…8f45backed No | 30c | 78.87$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.74 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 65c | 77.01$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.03 | 770 | 56.2%433 W · 337 L | +40.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9a1d…8986backed No | 14c | 76.36$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.66 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…52a2backed No | 40c | 76.1$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.48 | 75 | 53.3%40 W · 35 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 61c | 76.02$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.71 | 426 | 25.8%110 W · 316 L | -33.7wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -40%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ec…3cd6backed Yes | 68c | 73.53$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.53 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd41b…f231backed Yes | 68c | 73.53$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.53 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed No | 51c | 72.9$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.18 | 345 | 60%207 W · 138 L | +49.3wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xe771…a76abacked Yes | 68c | 71.32$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.82 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.32per pick | 54cpaid | +78.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed No | 34c | 68.07$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.46 | 405 | 50.6%205 W · 200 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed No | 44c | 68$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.83 | 181 | 61.9%112 W · 69 L | +9.4wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7290…9c92backed Yes | 45c | 67.32$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.79 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +99.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a6a…56bdbacked No | 35c | 66.96$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.52 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed No | 44c | 65.92$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.97 | 319 | 60.2%192 W · 127 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36db…ac65backed No | 34c | 65$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed No | 34c | 62.37$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.22 | 195 | 56.9%111 W · 84 L | +15.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa146…6163backed No | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 89 | 41.6%37 W · 52 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0fb…8092backed Yes | 51c | 59.99$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.2 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +3.8wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x739b…417ebacked Yes | 67c | 59.93$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.93 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x041b…d3ebbacked Yes | 68c | 58.74$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.8 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -2.5wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2fea…f2c9backed Yes | 61c | 57.12$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.12 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed No | 76c | 56$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.78 | 120 | 45.8%55 W · 65 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5dd…9be0backed Yes | 51c | 55.99$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.35 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed No | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 190 | 48.4%92 W · 98 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Kashiwa Reysol win on 2026-08-21?this page
- Will Kashiwa Reysol vs. V-Varen Nagasaki end in a draw?No won
- Will V-Varen Nagasaki win on 2026-08-21?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.