Tennis · resolved market
Cincinnati Open: Andrey Rublev vs Pablo Carreno Busta
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x45d10d03db0e29361840fcae83b8505b5e1c8d4d4cca3979d7742cfb32414c5e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Andrey Rublevof Andrey Rublev, Pablo Carreno Busta
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $518,027
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $646,643
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $518,027 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 277 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2f44…93c2backed Andrey Rublev | 69c | 84,953$58,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,503.36 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb85…152fbacked Andrey Rublev | 61c | 50,000$30,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,499.99 | 177 | 46.3%82 W · 95 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Pablo Carreno Busta | 35c | 29,129$10,166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,166.28 | 1,178 | 46.3%545 W · 633 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5901…63a2backed Andrey Rublev | 65c | 25,064$16,239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,824.91 | 110 | 51.8%57 W · 53 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c3c…e8c9backed Pablo Carreno Busta | 31c | 16,129$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,999.99 | 130 | 53.1%69 W · 61 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95c1…94d7backed Pablo Carreno Busta | 0c | 15,710$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.71 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Pablo Carreno Busta | 33c | 12,944$4,253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,253.49 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Pablo Carreno Busta | 31c | 12,793$3,966 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,965.83 | 1,149 | 41.3%474 W · 675 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Pablo Carreno Busta | 39c | 12,000$4,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,680 | 4,703 | 49.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L | +166.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8853…c058backed Andrey Rublev | 69c | 12,000$8,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,720 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Pablo Carreno Busta | 32c | 11,497$3,691 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,690.74 | 4,185 | 44.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L | +14.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6485…a265backed Pablo Carreno Busta | 39c | 10,781$4,172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,171.89 | 2,281 | 52%1,187 W · 1,094 L | +82.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Pablo Carreno Busta | 32c | 10,549$3,412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,412.26 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Pablo Carreno Busta | 31c | 10,494$3,255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,255.15 | 3,661 | 45.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe524…d34fbacked Pablo Carreno Busta | 30c | 10,065$3,019 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,019.4 | 217 | 43.8%95 W · 122 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Pablo Carreno Busta | 31c | 9,112$2,825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,824.79 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Pablo Carreno Busta | 32c | 8,877$2,840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,839.79 | 1,435 | 24.3%348 W · 1,087 L | -36.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd607…842abacked Andrey Rublev | 69c | 8,842$6,101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,741.11 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a26…1851backed Andrey Rublev | 69c | 8,696$6,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,695.65 | 600 | 53.8%323 W · 277 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88d1…18dabacked Andrey Rublev | 70c | 7,714$5,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,314.29 | 274 | 60.2%165 W · 109 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe954…1ef1backed Pablo Carreno Busta | 31c | 7,621$2,363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,362.53 | 102 | 49%50 W · 52 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Pablo Carreno Busta | 32c | 6,988$2,236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,236.28 | 611 | 52.2%319 W · 292 L | -11.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Pablo Carreno Busta | 31c | 6,047$1,864 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,864.07 | 2,375 | 51.1%1,213 W · 1,162 L | +8.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd88a…a7e4backed Andrey Rublev | 69c | 5,797$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,797.1 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Andrey Rublev | 69c | 5,523$3,811 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,712.02 | 2,854 | 39.5%1,126 W · 1,728 L | -83.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7658…c7f6backed Pablo Carreno Busta | 19c | 5,206$989 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$989.14 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Andrey Rublev | 68c | 5,002$3,382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,620.26 | 655 | 58.9%386 W · 269 L | -32.1wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Pablo Carreno Busta | 32c | 4,800$1,552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,552 | 65 | 36.9%24 W · 41 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Pablo Carreno Busta | 31c | 4,754$1,460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,459.95 | 2,174 | 36.9%802 W · 1,372 L | +39.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7523…4c4cbacked Andrey Rublev | 68c | 3,774$2,567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,207.77 | 70 | 47.1%33 W · 37 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f40…eb64backed Andrey Rublev | 69c | 3,623$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,123.19 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +43.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95c5…d5d3backed Andrey Rublev | 69c | 3,623$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,123.19 | 601 | 58.6%352 W · 249 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Pablo Carreno Busta | 31c | 3,323$1,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,030.03 | 785 | 36.1%283 W · 502 L | +36.6wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe9d3…079fbacked Andrey Rublev | 67c | 3,224$2,165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,059.66 | 488 | 55.9%273 W · 215 L | -20.0wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x00c8…0dabbacked Andrey Rublev | 69c | 3,000$2,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$930 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Pablo Carreno Busta | 31c | 2,978$936 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$936.32 | 1,729 | 48.9%845 W · 884 L | +53.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Pablo Carreno Busta | 31c | 2,903$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 1,865 | 45.6%851 W · 1,014 L | +50.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48de…95babacked Andrey Rublev | 66c | 2,727$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$927.27 | 625 | 45.4%284 W · 341 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Pablo Carreno Busta | 33c | 2,514$819 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$819.36 | 3,256 | 48.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L | -53.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Pablo Carreno Busta | 31c | 2,337$735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$735.46 | 1,679 | 48.1%808 W · 871 L | +36.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Pablo Carreno Busta | 31c | 2,258$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$699.99 | 1,865 | 44.7%834 W · 1,031 L | +36.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Pablo Carreno Busta | 33c | 2,252$743 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$743.05 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf12f…b30fbacked Pablo Carreno Busta | 40c | 2,250$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 700 | 41.1%288 W · 412 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdeff…78f8backed Pablo Carreno Busta | 23c | 2,240$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515.24 | 436 | 47.2%206 W · 230 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +53.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33c9…6f9abacked Andrey Rublev | 67c | 2,239$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$738.81 | 930 | 55.8%519 W · 411 L | +23.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Pablo Carreno Busta | 34c | 2,163$741 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$740.84 | 3,068 | 57.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L | +173.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Pablo Carreno Busta | 29c | 2,022$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590.09 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x885f…8ed9backed Pablo Carreno Busta | 31c | 2,000$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620 | 111 | 44.1%49 W · 62 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf3…e802backed Pablo Carreno Busta | 9c | 2,000$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 477 | 28.1%134 W · 343 L | +18.2wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Andrey Rublev | 70c | 2,000$1,396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$603.76 | 359 | 38.2%137 W · 222 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1602…fbb0backed Pablo Carreno Busta | 15c | 1,954$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +3.8wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0f17…0724backed Pablo Carreno Busta | 33c | 1,897$621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$621.46 | 702 | 54.4%382 W · 320 L | +40.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb357…a4aebacked Andrey Rublev | 65c | 1,852$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$652.22 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.20per pick | 67cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a00…9158backed Pablo Carreno Busta | 31c | 1,612$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.72 | 788 | 40.6%320 W · 468 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe839…0a9dbacked Pablo Carreno Busta | 39c | 1,567$611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$611.1 | 391 | 57.8%226 W · 165 L | +20.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7091…96f8backed Pablo Carreno Busta | 31c | 1,500$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465 | 109 | 37.6%41 W · 68 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x55b9…a814backed Andrey Rublev | 80c | 1,461$1,166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.35 | 369 | 46.9%173 W · 196 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ea…2f71backed Pablo Carreno Busta | 39c | 1,377$537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$537.18 | 447 | 58.8%263 W · 184 L | +24.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd32e…b577backed Pablo Carreno Busta | 39c | 1,317$514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$513.66 | 397 | 59.4%236 W · 161 L | +26.1wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4abd…5a5cbacked Pablo Carreno Busta | 39c | 1,310$511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510.72 | 391 | 59.1%231 W · 160 L | +28.6wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe004…d87cbacked Andrey Rublev | 77c | 1,241$951 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.82 | 150 | 60%90 W · 60 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Pablo Carreno Busta | 34c | 1,228$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413.48 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa35b…60e9backed Pablo Carreno Busta | 33c | 1,190$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.7 | 84 | 46.4%39 W · 45 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd335…fe54backed Pablo Carreno Busta | 9c | 1,111$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 119 | 33.6%40 W · 79 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Andrey Rublev | 74c | 1,080$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.98 | 2,766 | 47.7%1,318 W · 1,448 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99fc…ec26backed Pablo Carreno Busta | 32c | 1,041$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333 | 645 | 40.2%259 W · 386 L | -19.6wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74f9…6024backed Pablo Carreno Busta | 31c | 1,000$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 561 | 53.7%301 W · 260 L | +19.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4a4…3c66backed Andrey Rublev | 69c | 1,000$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310 | 95 | 69.5%66 W · 29 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe54d…fdecbacked Andrey Rublev | 67c | 999.99$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330 | 465 | 51.2%238 W · 227 L | -23.3wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Pablo Carreno Busta | 32c | 931.25$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f0c…7047backed Pablo Carreno Busta | 35c | 857.14$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 256 | 33.6%86 W · 170 L | -17.5wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8101…663ebacked Pablo Carreno Busta | 9c | 833.33$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 87 | 31%27 W · 60 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d98…fe98backed Pablo Carreno Busta | 9c | 833.33$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 151 | 33.8%51 W · 100 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda79…9050backed Pablo Carreno Busta | 9c | 833.33$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 135 | 31.9%43 W · 92 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Pablo Carreno Busta | 30c | 833$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.9 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Pablo Carreno Busta | 31c | 802.12$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.66 | 922 | 37.4%345 W · 577 L | -10.9wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c66…76cdbacked Andrey Rublev | 65c | 769.23$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.23 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 58cpaid | -38%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed Pablo Carreno Busta | 31c | 765.99$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.46 | 1,363 | 38.3%522 W · 841 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x691d…aa15backed Andrey Rublev | 66c | 757.58$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.58 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae6a…de5ebacked Andrey Rublev | 67c | 746.27$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.27 | 244 | 59.4%145 W · 99 L | +21.7wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Andrey Rublev | 66c | 744.29$491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.06 | 1,624 | 49.8%809 W · 815 L | -9.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb77…ef9ebacked Andrey Rublev | 70c | 714.29$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.29 | 940 | 68.1%640 W · 300 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8558…8615backed Pablo Carreno Busta | 41c | 675$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.75 | 311 | 64.3%200 W · 111 L | +36.4wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8307…7b45backed Andrey Rublev | 66c | 666.67$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.67 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 70cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf830…0454backed Andrey Rublev | 69c | 637.68$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.68 | 80 | 61.3%49 W · 31 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 66cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9303…731abacked Andrey Rublev | 71c | 614.4$439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.21 | 54 | 59.3%32 W · 22 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5dc…7f44backed Andrey Rublev | 68c | 610.2$415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.3 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Pablo Carreno Busta | 33c | 605.48$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.81 | 1,658 | 49.9%828 W · 830 L | +7.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Pablo Carreno Busta | 33c | 600$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 2,247 | 42.7%960 W · 1,287 L | +33.4wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Pablo Carreno Busta | 31c | 600$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed Pablo Carreno Busta | 31c | 599.99$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186 | 95 | 46.3%44 W · 51 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…f1bdbacked Andrey Rublev | 67c | 595.82$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.13 | 883 | 58.2%514 W · 369 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f2…1f23backed Andrey Rublev | 69c | 574.04$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.15 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.3wins | -0.33per pick | 61cpaid | -58.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Pablo Carreno Busta | 32c | 558.97$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.56 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae30…107bbacked Pablo Carreno Busta | 30c | 550$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Pablo Carreno Busta | 31c | 550$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.5 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x521c…f4aabacked Andrey Rublev | 67c | 537.3$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.31 | 368 | 48.4%178 W · 190 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50ca…bfddbacked Pablo Carreno Busta | 22c | 500$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 603 | 42%253 W · 350 L | +11.1wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefc9…9251backed Andrey Rublev | 68c | 500$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -70.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1fb7…fb66backed Andrey Rublev | 71c | 499.98$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145 | 536 | 44.8%240 W · 296 L | -20.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cincinnati Open: Andrey Rublev vs Pablo Carreno Bustathis page
- Rublev vs. Busta: Match O/U 22.5Under won
- Set 1 Winner: Rublev vs BustaRublev won
- Set Handicap: Rublev (-1.5) vs Busta (+1.5)Rublev won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.