TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Cincinnati Open: Emma Navarro vs Jessica Pegula

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Jessica Pegulaof Emma Navarro, Jessica Pegula
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$384,419
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$384,079

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $384,419 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 130 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfe78…0319backed Emma Navarro4c65,648$2,665 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,664.68,82836.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L-193.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0353…c2ffbacked Emma Navarro28c20,000$5,595 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,594.5517850.6%90 W · 88 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x86b1…c094backed Emma Navarro2c12,974$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.3258021.9%127 W · 453 L+2.5wins0.00per pick21cpaid-13.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x565c…878dbacked Emma Navarro19c12,676$2,408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,408.4310730.8%33 W · 74 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick28cpaid-4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf764…61e6backed Emma Navarro5c9,875$501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500.5423723.6%56 W · 181 L-7.6wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-18.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Emma Navarro19c9,056$1,719 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,719.456,59950.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L+259.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd5d4…8b32backed Emma Navarro3c8,925$279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279.181,2068%96 W · 1,110 L+17.2wins+0.01per pick7cpaid+80.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Emma Navarro19c7,022$1,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,350.351,43524.3%348 W · 1,087 L-36.2wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-22.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Emma Navarro11c6,419$681 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$681.284,18544.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L+14.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-17.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6485…a265backed Jessica Pegula72c5,840$4,206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,634.622,28152%1,187 W · 1,094 L+82.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2978…b511backed Emma Navarro18c5,589$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00042332.4%137 W · 286 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-15.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed Emma Navarro20c5,000$983 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$982.7352844.7%236 W · 292 L+30.8wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+6.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x26b4…b8a9backed Emma Navarro18c4,917$885 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88536145.2%163 W · 198 L-19.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-11.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Emma Navarro20c4,857$970 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$970.094,24152.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L+65.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4699…5051backed Emma Navarro5c4,721$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.139737.9%77 W · 896 L-20.2wins-0.02per pick10cpaid-28.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x42c9…9623backed Emma Navarro11c4,653$512 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$511.854,70349.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L+166.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8f3c…2f57backed Emma Navarro32c4,466$1,429 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,428.5930740.7%125 W · 182 L-23.3wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-19.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x568d…9a05backed Emma Navarro24c4,170$1,001 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000.81435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick37cpaid+12.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xef29…2f1ebacked Emma Navarro14c3,571$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.941,11145.3%503 W · 608 L-35.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-12.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x32b4…8b21backed Emma Navarro18c3,155$554 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$553.93,60542.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L-43.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe954…1ef1backed Jessica Pegula80c2,181$1,745 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$436.210249%50 W · 52 L-0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x28e0…2e6bbacked Emma Navarro35c2,067$724 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$723.5151744.7%231 W · 286 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a95…3a16backed Emma Navarro34c2,059$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7007169%49 W · 22 L+9.0wins+0.13per pick56cpaid+17.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Emma Navarro18c2,000$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3601,51037.7%569 W · 941 L+24.5wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Emma Navarro18c2,000$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3601,09452.4%573 W · 521 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f17…0724backed Emma Navarro15c1,893$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$275.5570254.4%382 W · 320 L+40.6wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3a14…9fe4backed Emma Navarro23c1,840$421 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$421.1940935.7%146 W · 263 L+7.8wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5513…de2abacked Emma Navarro1c1,505$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.178838.2%301 W · 487 L-15.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-26.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbd34…7f2abacked Emma Navarro1c1,500$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201513.3%2 W · 13 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick20cpaid-81.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Emma Navarro3c1,295$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.6411,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x13f7…85d5backed Emma Navarro1c1,173$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.481,30838.9%509 W · 799 L-23.3wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-27.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xae6a…de5ebacked Jessica Pegula68c1,072$730 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$341.724459.4%145 W · 99 L+21.7wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+13.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc144…c809backed Emma Navarro30c1,002$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30011529.6%34 W · 81 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-16%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe1e3…f1bdbacked Jessica Pegula73c827.75$602 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.7388358.2%514 W · 369 L+12.9wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-2.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd3f9…45a7backed Jessica Pegula75c793.12$597 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.2638066.3%252 W · 128 L-0.7wins0.00per pick67cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x306e…3a7cbacked Emma Navarro19c790$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.129649.7%147 W · 149 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Emma Navarro4c781.81$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.434,93441.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L-77.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x55b9…a814backed Emma Navarro17c757.35$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.0236946.9%173 W · 196 L+1.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-16.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda79…9050backed Emma Navarro13c692.31$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9013531.9%43 W · 92 L+0.6wins0.00per pick31cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa032…2090backed Jessica Pegula76c645.27$493 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.531,62449.8%809 W · 815 L-9.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x50ca…bfddbacked Emma Navarro26c600$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15660342%253 W · 350 L+11.1wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7547…d158backed Emma Navarro18c600$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1087,04939.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L-20.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8101…663ebacked Emma Navarro13c576.92$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$758731%27 W · 60 L+4.1wins+0.05per pick26cpaid+16.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9d98…fe98backed Emma Navarro13c576.92$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7515133.8%51 W · 100 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Jessica Pegula80c566$453 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.2427744.4%123 W · 154 L-12.7wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-12.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x42b7…77dcbacked Emma Navarro8c563.99$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.21936.8%7 W · 12 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-11.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x03f4…7e44backed Emma Navarro19c559.98$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.435938.2%137 W · 222 L+7.5wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x825e…2a99backed Jessica Pegula79c542.58$429 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.942268.2%15 W · 7 L+1.9wins+0.09per pick59cpaid+6.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x24ce…da46backed Emma Navarro19c452.94$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.0542748.7%208 W · 219 L+8.0wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb624…3d80backed Emma Navarro27c408.52$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11014439.6%57 W · 87 L+4.4wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Jessica Pegula76c405.26$308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.2695050.1%476 W · 474 L-10.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-12.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9767…1a16backed Emma Navarro35c357.14$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12535450.8%180 W · 174 L+15.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbfb3…f890backed Emma Navarro13c343.54$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.8613351.1%68 W · 65 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-17.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf148…0b4fbacked Emma Navarro30c333.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10036545.2%165 W · 200 L+0.3wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x40e9…494fbacked Emma Navarro12c324.37$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.244729.3%131 W · 316 L-10.7wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-33.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x42b7…5cd6backed Emma Navarro15c320$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4818731%58 W · 129 L+5.2wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+16.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5deb…ccddbacked Jessica Pegula76c316.34$242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.5872147.3%341 W · 380 L-18.7wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-19.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x98db…dd17backed Jessica Pegula79c292.43$232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.885,35056.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L+228.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb38d…6735backed Emma Navarro21c289.33$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.088842%37 W · 51 L-6.3wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-24.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xeade…f936backed Emma Navarro8c289$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.011040%4 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-32.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5659…7a6bbacked Emma Navarro21c275.99$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5719537.4%73 W · 122 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2509…e4dbbacked Emma Navarro35c273.6$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.7624844.8%111 W · 137 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-10.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Emma Navarro19c263.16$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501,13027.9%315 W · 815 L+1.6wins0.00per pick28cpaid-11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe004…d87cbacked Jessica Pegula76c263.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.1615060%90 W · 60 L0.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6318…46b1backed Emma Navarro19c260.77$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.995,26128.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L-19.4wins0.00per pick29cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4093…5749backed Emma Navarro20c254.26$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.942,85549.4%1,410 W · 1,445 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked Emma Navarro18c240.49$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.291,86545.6%851 W · 1,014 L+50.3wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7753…73cebacked Emma Navarro27c235.03$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.4623670.8%167 W · 69 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick70cpaid+1.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xb5da…5fb9backed Emma Navarro13c230.77$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3012634.9%44 W · 82 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick32cpaid+11.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe84f…b777backed Emma Navarro16c217.72$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.737547.2%177 W · 198 L+7.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-8.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x012d…9db6backed Jessica Pegula78c207.8$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.6984968.4%581 W · 268 L+25.9wins+0.03per pick65cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd325…8c5fbacked Emma Navarro17c200$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3322540.4%91 W · 134 L-9.1wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x089c…33dabacked Emma Navarro19c200$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3810140.6%41 W · 60 L-4.6wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-14.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xed2f…5e19backed Jessica Pegula79c200$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4210761.7%66 W · 41 L-0.5wins0.00per pick62cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Jessica Pegula78c183$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.684,53367.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L+306.6wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+5.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x3bf1…3018backed Jessica Pegula80c170.38$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.08666.7%4 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick68cpaid-10.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x20d7…2485backed Jessica Pegula69c158.72$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.9810655.7%59 W · 47 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbbd7…1c4fbacked Emma Navarro13c153.85$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2015534.8%54 W · 101 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick33cpaid+8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd762…bb9ebacked Emma Navarro13c153.85$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2012740.9%52 W · 75 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd7e…c45cbacked Emma Navarro13c153.85$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2012833.6%43 W · 85 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+13.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9538…96f4backed Emma Navarro13c153.85$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2012031.7%38 W · 82 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick31cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e87…91cbbacked Emma Navarro13c153.85$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208142%34 W · 47 L+0.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed Emma Navarro19c146.68$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.551,22652%637 W · 589 L+44.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+2.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9028…8608backed Emma Navarro10c140.63$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.4542546.4%197 W · 228 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-12.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xf377…4159backed Jessica Pegula72c138.89$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.8917148%82 W · 89 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1208…0160backed Emma Navarro7c136.91$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.1230931.1%96 W · 213 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick30cpaid-13.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3450…0870backed Emma Navarro13c115.38$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157834.6%27 W · 51 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-26.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked Emma Navarro19c109$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.7161152.2%319 W · 292 L-11.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeea3…a6a2backed Emma Navarro21c104.85$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.853,06857.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L+173.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid-3.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x48ec…9865backed Jessica Pegula77c104.19$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.963262.5%20 W · 12 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick62cpaid+9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1db2…f8b3backed Emma Navarro31c100$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$312138.1%8 W · 13 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick43cpaid+19.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbe3c…a835backed Jessica Pegula65c100$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3531255.4%173 W · 139 L+5.0wins+0.02per pick54cpaid0%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1262…056fbacked Emma Navarro22c99$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.781353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick61cpaid-23.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xedb8…b855backed Emma Navarro13c97.54$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.689938.4%38 W · 61 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9a08…46f9backed Emma Navarro13c96.15$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.57929.1%23 W · 56 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick26cpaid+12.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Emma Navarro16c93.71$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.994,92138.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L-20.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x56dd…83d5backed Emma Navarro15c92.87$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.933135.5%11 W · 20 L-2.4wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-27.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x865a…4f00backed Emma Navarro13c92.31$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128226.8%22 W · 60 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-10.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b76…cc64backed Emma Navarro13c90.62$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.783636.1%13 W · 23 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+9.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x87f7…8f45backed Emma Navarro17c88.38$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.3948947.4%232 W · 257 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.