Tennis · resolved market
Todi: Oriol Roca Batalla vs Francesco Passaro
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4424a87d864df57289625513d93c9c069f0b1bd61044a9fc4bb2ba79c06721d8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Francesco Passaroof Oriol Roca Batalla, Francesco Passaro
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,477
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,498
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,477 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7eb6…8b20backed Oriol Roca Batalla | 3c | 12,004$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362 | 67 | 10.4%7 W · 60 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Oriol Roca Batalla | 8c | 1,241$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.91 | 1,512 | 24.1%364 W · 1,148 L | -41.1wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4110…0b93backed Oriol Roca Batalla | 1c | 1,092$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.29 | 28 | 17.9%5 W · 23 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 27cpaid | -60.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Oriol Roca Batalla | 22c | 335.99$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.09 | 8,702 | 42.6%3,708 W · 4,994 L | -165.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a80…d472backed Francesco Passaro | 63c | 237.24$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.24 | 1,198 | 52.4%628 W · 570 L | +28.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a7e…dd3cbacked Oriol Roca Batalla | 17c | 216$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.2 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd056…f1bebacked Oriol Roca Batalla | 35c | 186.54$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.29 | 652 | 50.3%328 W · 324 L | +11.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6d…f2b4backed Francesco Passaro | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 482 | 58.1%280 W · 202 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba0c…4715backed Francesco Passaro | 66c | 152$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.68 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 61cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Oriol Roca Batalla | 33c | 150$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 1,542 | 49.2%759 W · 783 L | +16.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x882e…e0a1backed Francesco Passaro | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 114 | 36.8%42 W · 72 L | -12.1wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c4…0f79backed Francesco Passaro | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 133 | 37.6%50 W · 83 L | -17.3wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb38d…6735backed Francesco Passaro | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 88 | 42%37 W · 51 L | -6.3wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd812…203fbacked Francesco Passaro | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 106 | 36.8%39 W · 67 L | -12.0wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfed8…5339backed Francesco Passaro | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 115 | 39.1%45 W · 70 L | -11.2wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6f85…f9f5backed Francesco Passaro | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 107 | 39.3%42 W · 65 L | -9.4wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x66eb…a375backed Francesco Passaro | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 100 | 38%38 W · 62 L | -10.0wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -32%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x81f9…d394backed Francesco Passaro | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 124 | 41.1%51 W · 73 L | -8.4wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfcd…e73fbacked Francesco Passaro | 66c | 149.25$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.75 | 102 | 40.2%41 W · 61 L | -8.3wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1429…b6babacked Francesco Passaro | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.35 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -4.0wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x365f…706abacked Oriol Roca Batalla | 13c | 143.38$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.24 | 1,824 | 46.5%849 W · 975 L | +20.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Oriol Roca Batalla | 33c | 127.36$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.03 | 3,319 | 48.4%1,605 W · 1,714 L | -52.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Oriol Roca Batalla | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 2,043 | 47.8%977 W · 1,066 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f50…1701backed Oriol Roca Batalla | 37c | 98.49$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.49 | 96 | 56.3%54 W · 42 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23bc…5487backed Oriol Roca Batalla | 12c | 84.91$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.02 | 278 | 32.4%90 W · 188 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfaa…28f7backed Oriol Roca Batalla | 37c | 80$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.6 | 954 | 45.5%434 W · 520 L | +22.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43ed…6232backed Oriol Roca Batalla | 33c | 79$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.07 | 162 | 48.1%78 W · 84 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Oriol Roca Batalla | 34c | 68.06$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.14 | 11,666 | 43.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L | +22.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Oriol Roca Batalla | 34c | 65.15$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.15 | 2,521 | 38.4%969 W · 1,552 L | +93.0wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Oriol Roca Batalla | 36c | 45.46$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.37 | 3,987 | 45.5%1,816 W · 2,171 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Francesco Passaro | 65c | 31.43$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 277 | 44.4%123 W · 154 L | -12.7wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90f3…ac83backed Francesco Passaro | 65c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 63 | 44.4%28 W · 35 L | -6.1wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -21%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.