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Other European Leagues · resolved market

Will AFC Ajax win on 2026-02-21?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$47,133
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$50,604

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $47,133 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf519…906bbacked No57c10,500$5,956 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,544.263060%18 W · 12 L+2.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid-4.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4435…0840backed Yes53c7,113$3,770 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,7701741.2%7 W · 10 L-2.0wins-0.12per pick53cpaid-24.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2a09…db1cbacked No78c7,000$5,460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,5401844.4%8 W · 10 L-2.0wins-0.11per pick56cpaid-34.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x80cf…427dbacked Yes54c4,400$2,376 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,37619445.9%89 W · 105 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes37c3,858$1,417 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,416.835,65542%2,376 W · 3,279 L+75.7wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked No48c3,543$1,706 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,837.4629742.8%127 W · 170 L-10.4wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-10.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes35c1,806$628 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$627.672,17948%1,046 W · 1,133 L-26.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes37c1,636$599 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$598.762,13045.8%975 W · 1,155 L+0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed No70c1,419$993 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$425.786960.4%525 W · 344 L+91.3wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+35.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No46c1,353$625 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$727.52,36146.8%1,106 W · 1,255 L+14.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc67…5286backed Yes30c1,234$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$370.459061.1%55 W · 35 L+7.6wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+9.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xfed7…e405backed No46c1,000$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54010646.2%49 W · 57 L-0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x219e…14d9backed Yes53c749.75$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4005251.9%27 W · 25 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No46c746.86$346 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$400.821,22251%623 W · 599 L-10.5wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x43a1…2425backed Yes52c628.22$325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$324.793438.2%13 W · 21 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Yes54c577.67$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309.891,44151.1%736 W · 705 L-16.4wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes54c538.89$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29136647.3%173 W · 193 L-9.8wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes29c436.17$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.217,96645.3%3,608 W · 4,358 L+9.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid-9.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Yes52c429$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223.0823746.8%111 W · 126 L-5.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-8.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf00…353fbacked No41c421.78$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$248.77439.2%29 W · 45 L+3.6wins+0.05per pick34cpaid+19.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x16b2…aa5abacked Yes59c394.03$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232.2519365.3%126 W · 67 L+18.5wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+28.7%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0xf94b…94a7backed Yes56c360.21$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001050%5 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x691a…d113backed No60c296$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.42759.3%16 W · 11 L+2.2wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+12.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x588b…8593backed Yes21c238.1$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505728.1%16 W · 41 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-3.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xab4c…2a53backed Yes43c230.4$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.820%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5833…c609backed No48c208.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.331100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c38…3d15backed Yes25c203.68$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.923647.2%17 W · 19 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7dd8…12fcbacked Yes53c200$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10620%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa383…a2f0backed Yes30c199.11$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.667841%32 W · 46 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-12.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No47c194.89$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.041,15653%613 W · 543 L+43.6wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1653…24b0backed Yes53c188.68$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002055%11 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x63aa…8b6fbacked Yes54c185.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001844.4%8 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x81e4…8206backed Yes54c185.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa4c5…50cdbacked Yes56c179.84$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10011343.4%49 W · 64 L+7.8wins+0.07per pick36cpaid+18.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8790…010bbacked Yes42c173$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.6613050%65 W · 65 L+10.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+17.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No59c168.57$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.821,00153.3%534 W · 467 L+23.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-7.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x79c9…b2f1backed No50c162.88$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.54933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes53c161.76$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.552,13247.9%1,022 W · 1,110 L+4.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f97…a9b3backed No48c135.42$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.423735.1%13 W · 24 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe0e3…37fabacked Yes56c125.27$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$704254.8%23 W · 19 L+2.4wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+13.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd785…0d7ebacked Yes16c125$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204223.8%10 W · 32 L-3.3wins-0.08per pick32cpaid-28.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x22cc…8aeabacked No44c123.87$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.916952.1%88 W · 81 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+7.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xcc81…cc74backed No47c108.51$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.51988.9%8 W · 1 L+2.4wins+0.27per pick62cpaid+49.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd265…a7ecbacked Yes26c98.55$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.613354.5%18 W · 15 L+4.4wins+0.13per pick41cpaid+48.2%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x0cc5…ee5abacked No33c90.91$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.918241.5%34 W · 48 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick39cpaid-1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x23de…05c1backed Yes55c90.91$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503129%9 W · 22 L-3.3wins-0.11per pick40cpaid-30.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x03c8…3d82backed No31c90.32$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.32560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+44.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Yes19c87.14$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.2558320.1%117 W · 466 L-37.7wins-0.06per pick27cpaid-27.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2f4e…19e9backed Yes25c80$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201428.6%4 W · 10 L-1.8wins-0.13per pick41cpaid-31.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8405…2163backed Yes54c64.81$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3529244.9%131 W · 161 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d08…2142backed No50c60.26$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.37054.3%38 W · 32 L+3.9wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+17%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe445…aef4backed Yes28c60$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.81330.8%4 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf9b4…f6d1backed Yes34c58.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202450%12 W · 12 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+15.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed No56c58.39$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.5564143.4%278 W · 363 L+1.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-7.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No69c55.78$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.231,09850.5%554 W · 544 L-36.1wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-13.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Yes54c55.56$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3026060%156 W · 104 L+0.3wins0.00per pick60cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd3a5…a6c3backed Yes51c52.87$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.2110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed Yes54c51$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.4329145.4%132 W · 159 L-10.3wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3798…2e72backed Yes20c50$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10100%0 W · 10 L-3.1wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x7088…0086backed Yes24c50$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.05862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.20per pick42cpaid+96.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc913…80ddbacked Yes33c50$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.530%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2b85…bf37backed Yes65c46.13$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.0713842.8%59 W · 79 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick46cpaid+11.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed No47c45$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.8515753.5%84 W · 73 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe8d4…651cbacked Yes46c44.99$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.7633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.26per pick60cpaid-56.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf60b…c18ebacked No47c44.72$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.79639.6%38 W · 58 L-4.5wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-8.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No34c43.71$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.742,69635.6%961 W · 1,735 L-15.0wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x44b8…a2d7backed Yes48c41.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010439.4%41 W · 63 L-6.0wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-13%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3e6b…8a98backed No48c40.82$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.2319647.4%93 W · 103 L-10.3wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-13.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked No74c40$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.26346%29 W · 34 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-21.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d97…9498backed No54c39.81$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.31742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-30.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd19e…2fc9backed Yes53c37.74$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.26per pick43cpaid-69.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2809…0b89backed Yes53c37.74$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201662.5%10 W · 6 L+1.3wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+14.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf42b…4747backed No39c37.67$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.01933.3%3 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-40.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x386b…6d36backed Yes40c37.5$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1550%0 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5747…7fdfbacked Yes54c37.04$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20922.2%2 W · 7 L-3.1wins-0.35per pick57cpaid-65.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed No65c36.16$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.6119048.4%92 W · 98 L+13.7wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5cd9…51d0backed Yes53c35.85$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199030%27 W · 63 L-6.3wins-0.07per pick37cpaid-26.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe4d8…19c5backed Yes53c35$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.554872.9%35 W · 13 L+3.8wins+0.08per pick65cpaid+14.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xea9e…d3fbbacked No43c34.79$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.8357019.8%113 W · 457 L-8.9wins-0.02per pick21cpaid-10.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a67…52edbacked Yes49c30.61$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154040%16 W · 24 L-3.7wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-24.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No46c30$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.21,13950.8%579 W · 560 L+27.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5a0c…9db8backed Yes52c30$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.62040%8 W · 12 L-3.4wins-0.17per pick57cpaid-38.1%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed No46c29$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.661,40129.2%409 W · 992 L-32.2wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x239b…f8bfbacked No59c28$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.482462.5%15 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick62cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xddb5…be52backed Yes54c27.78$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdb3c…a938backed Yes53c25.06$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.282955.2%16 W · 13 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf4d5…13eebacked No45c23.83$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.1121974%162 W · 57 L+7.3wins+0.03per pick71cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.