Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will AFC Ajax vs. NEC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8fcaa3db24c253c5860829a78ee7d566cf7943c5f11b3901a145865a85175c2e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,210
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,517
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,210 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x330b…69f1backed Yes | 24c | 6,133$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,633.08 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 75c | 4,114$3,084 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,084.46 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 77c | 2,935$2,258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,258.1 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80cf…427dbacked Yes | 22c | 2,500$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,950 | 194 | 45.9%89 W · 105 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 58c | 2,450$1,421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,029.15 | 834 | 40.8%340 W · 494 L | -35.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 36c | 2,088$747 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,341.04 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 33c | 1,392$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$937 | 869 | 60.4%525 W · 344 L | +91.3wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 78c | 950.88$737 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$737.45 | 1,222 | 51%623 W · 599 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 77c | 875.31$674 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$673.99 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed No | 73c | 600$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440.95 | 447 | 68%304 W · 143 L | +52.8wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 48c | 576.18$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.3 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 77c | 513.48$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.38 | 1,441 | 51.1%736 W · 705 L | -16.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a0…92dfbacked Yes | 29c | 511.63$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.63 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +3.2wins | +0.11per pick | 34cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe1c3…a583backed No | 62c | 499.69$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.16 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a7…64bfbacked Yes | 23c | 426.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.49 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.6wins | +0.29per pick | 49cpaid | +72.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 70c | 391.62$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.61 | 986 | 53.2%525 W · 461 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 76c | 360.12$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.67 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e79…2d68backed Yes | 30c | 338$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.70per pick | 30cpaid | +238%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 77c | 327.02$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.81 | 660 | 47.6%314 W · 346 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 26c | 277.33$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.72 | 715 | 33.8%242 W · 473 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…a569backed Yes | 24c | 167.71$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.71 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 27cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked No | 78c | 152.04$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.59 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8cd…e951backed No | 77c | 129$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.33 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.13per pick | 74cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc519…348abacked No | 62c | 107$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.34 | 77 | 40.3%31 W · 46 L | -6.1wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 76c | 101$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.54 | 1,143 | 53.2%608 W · 535 L | +44.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 22c | 100$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 938 | 45.4%426 W · 512 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfccd…02d6backed No | 77c | 100$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 81 | 59.3%48 W · 33 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52ca…54f0backed Yes | 22c | 65$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.7 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe62e…8147backed Yes | 23c | 62.81$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.09 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.15per pick | 47cpaid | +72.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8405…2163backed Yes | 24c | 62.5$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.5 | 292 | 44.9%131 W · 161 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d8…19c5backed No | 77c | 60$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.2 | 48 | 72.9%35 W · 13 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 65cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 26c | 53.52$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.14 | 583 | 20.1%117 W · 466 L | -37.7wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x75bd…0288backed Yes | 76c | 51.81$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.41 | 114 | 52.6%60 W · 54 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41ad…8dddbacked No | 37c | 38.75$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.45 | 60 | 25%15 W · 45 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed No | 79c | 36.5$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.84 | 138 | 42.8%59 W · 79 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Yes | 75c | 33.01$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.14 | 188 | 48.4%91 W · 97 L | +13.4wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 75c | 26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 124 | 56.5%70 W · 54 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed No | 78c | 25.32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.75 | 191 | 46.6%89 W · 102 L | -11.2wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed No | 62c | 25$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 187 | 43.9%82 W · 105 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed No | 76c | 22.85$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.37 | 117 | 55.6%65 W · 52 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8d4…651cbacked No | 66c | 21.71$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.36 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.26per pick | 60cpaid | -56.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a32…9875backed No | 62c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x834f…fae9backed No | 78c | 19.91$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bc2…757cbacked No | 77c | 19.65$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.12 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 77cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22cc…8aeabacked No | 77c | 19.42$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.95 | 169 | 52.1%88 W · 81 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed No | 62c | 19$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.78 | 138 | 60.1%83 W · 55 L | +8.5wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes | 71c | 17.67$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.17 | 598 | 55.5%332 W · 266 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa870…2cd1backed No | 77c | 15.1$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.63 | 137 | 70.8%97 W · 40 L | -7.5wins | -0.05per pick | 76cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1430…a753backed No | 77c | 15$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.55 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 18cpaid | +70%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa288…401cbacked No | 78c | 14.87$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will AFC Ajax vs. NEC end in a draw?this page
- Will AFC Ajax win on 2026-02-21?No won
- Will NEC win on 2026-02-21?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.