Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will FC Utrecht win on 2026-02-14?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2b1f1a105171570935ac5b850acd76c522f41948a07dd358899eb5145c1b935f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $63,502
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $83,480
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $63,502 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 76 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 75c | 8,274$6,214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,214.28 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80cf…427dbacked Yes | 26c | 6,800$1,768 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,032 | 194 | 45.9%89 W · 105 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed No | 74c | 6,366$4,711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,710.91 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb96c…6cc6backed No | 77c | 2,449$1,886 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,885.77 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 25c | 2,050$513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,537.5 | 126 | 13.5%17 W · 109 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3859…3070backed Yes | 27c | 2,000$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,460 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e52…00f5backed Yes | 6c | 1,582$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,481.95 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | -4.5wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc16d…39a2backed Yes | 31c | 1,196$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$825.41 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +28%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe889…d0c3backed Yes | 24c | 1,120$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$854.57 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 74c | 1,082$801 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.06 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 45c | 1,000$449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550.88 | 641 | 43.4%278 W · 363 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked No | 9c | 812$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.46 | 225 | 42.7%96 W · 129 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 75c | 808.67$608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$607.61 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0abd…7207backed No | 10c | 800$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.4 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 11cpaid | +146.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 23c | 720.05$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$556.46 | 1,401 | 29.2%409 W · 992 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57a4…f0c0backed Yes | 28c | 714.29$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$514.29 | 107 | 59.8%64 W · 43 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 39c | 667$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.86 | 511 | 40.9%209 W · 302 L | -12.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4844…32c9backed Yes | 23c | 656.52$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$506.52 | 70 | 52.9%37 W · 33 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…e405backed No | 75c | 612.5$461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$461.5 | 103 | 45.6%47 W · 56 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c54…7e41backed Yes | 28c | 575$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414 | 97 | 55.7%54 W · 43 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d54…4d13backed Yes | 7c | 571.43$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$531.43 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +48.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Yes | 28c | 535.71$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.71 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…3335backed Yes | 27c | 473.52$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.52 | 205 | 72.2%148 W · 57 L | +11.3wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1947…94bcbacked No | 75c | 455$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.25 | 137 | 55.5%76 W · 61 L | +7.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 74c | 438.98$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.85 | 1,441 | 51.1%736 W · 705 L | -16.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 25c | 400$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 582 | 29.2%170 W · 412 L | -19.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 65c | 390$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.72 | 1,143 | 53.2%608 W · 535 L | +44.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x63c5…1ecbbacked Yes | 27c | 320$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.6 | 187 | 49.7%93 W · 94 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f9a…7ef9backed Yes | 25c | 303.19$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.19 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7088…0086backed Yes | 12c | 300$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.19per pick | 38cpaid | +104.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d40…e36cbacked Yes | 28c | 300$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +4.5wins | +0.13per pick | 40cpaid | +36%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Yes | 26c | 287$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.91 | 275 | 42.5%117 W · 158 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15d7…a861backed Yes | 23c | 260.87$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.87 | 35 | 20%7 W · 28 L | -4.3wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 24c | 237.47$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.41 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49ed…a2fbbacked Yes | 25c | 230$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.5 | 70 | 54.3%38 W · 32 L | +8.8wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x345d…4e41backed Yes | 25c | 204.72$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.54 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +49.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc556…958dbacked Yes | 26c | 189.97$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.58 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b4…f6d1backed Yes | 27c | 185.19$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.19 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 14c | 167.11$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.01 | 638 | 49.5%316 W · 322 L | +26.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe872…368abacked Yes | 24c | 154.17$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.17 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 38cpaid | +126.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc629…5e51backed Yes | 27c | 148.15$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.15 | 104 | 56.7%59 W · 45 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9864…b2ebbacked Yes | 28c | 142.86$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.86 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcdaa…eb5cbacked Yes | 15c | 137.5$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.5 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +52.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x802f…e008backed No | 78c | 128.42$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 144 | 68.8%99 W · 45 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 77c | 113.75$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.85 | 869 | 60.4%525 W · 344 L | +91.3wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5e52…9078backed Yes | 18c | 111.11$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.11 | 72 | 44.4%32 W · 40 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d5…13eebacked No | 75c | 100$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 214 | 73.4%157 W · 57 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 71cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 670 | 50.6%339 W · 331 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb78…e7c8backed Yes | 23c | 100$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 40cpaid | +60.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed No | 76c | 100$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 111 | 36.9%41 W · 70 L | -15.2wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf876…8975backed Yes | 25c | 96.15$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.11 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +45.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe343…5c31backed Yes | 23c | 90.13$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.4 | 66 | 16.7%11 W · 55 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66b2…5165backed Yes | 11c | 90$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.9 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 22c | 90$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.2 | 1,107 | 47.7%528 W · 579 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d79…6c3fbacked Yes | 23c | 86.96$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.96 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Yes | 24c | 85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.6 | 118 | 39.8%47 W · 71 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7d…4b2fbacked Yes | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.33 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.6wins | +0.26per pick | 44cpaid | +72.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa1c9…ac4abacked Yes | 30c | 80$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +121.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb089…a271backed Yes | 26c | 72.46$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.62 | 99 | 43.4%43 W · 56 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9b4…7ef9backed Yes | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.43 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes | 27c | 70.37$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.37 | 328 | 35.4%116 W · 212 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd641…1ba1backed Yes | 20c | 69.23$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.23 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 77c | 67.05$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.63 | 1,467 | 48%704 W · 763 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 28c | 56.19$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.36 | 153 | 71.9%110 W · 43 L | +15.5wins | +0.10per pick | 62cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9f1c…efecbacked Yes | 28c | 53.57$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.57 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +46.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Yes | 30c | 50$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.22 | 69 | 59.4%41 W · 28 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9183…59f0backed Yes | 25c | 50$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ded…c5c5backed Yes | 28c | 50$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26b7…68a2backed Yes | 23c | 45.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.29 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.16per pick | 30cpaid | +53.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x22cc…8aeabacked No | 76c | 45.43$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.37 | 169 | 52.1%88 W · 81 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 76c | 45$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.14 | 986 | 53.2%525 W · 461 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4116…819cbacked Yes | 25c | 40.4$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.4 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.38per pick | 28cpaid | +168%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e1a…d5a3backed No | 63c | 23$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.56 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb8…f7debacked Yes | 44c | 22.82$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.78 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +3.1wins | +0.28per pick | 26cpaid | +62.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 75c | 17$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.82 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa870…2cd1backed No | 75c | 14.49$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.87 | 137 | 70.8%97 W · 40 L | -7.5wins | -0.05per pick | 76cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Utrecht win on 2026-02-14?this page
- Will FC Groningen vs. FC Utrecht end in a draw?No won
- Will FC Groningen win on 2026-02-14?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.