Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will FC Groningen win on 2026-02-14?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0831b0aefb77d2544ffe698c494412c979f78a61f84bc242cb62bc013b062c9b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $43,021
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $44,450
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $43,021 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 73 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Yes | 49c | 8,001$3,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,920.45 | 376 | 41.5%156 W · 220 L | -17.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 56c | 7,665$4,273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,392.35 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 51c | 5,133$2,614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,518.25 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 50c | 3,998$2,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,996.63 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4435…0840backed Yes | 50c | 2,977$1,492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,492 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x48e2…2a5fbacked Yes | 50c | 2,760$1,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,380 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4173…d3edbacked Yes | 48c | 2,581$1,239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,238.88 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78f7…2c5dbacked No | 51c | 2,130$1,086 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,043.6 | 22 | 77.3%17 W · 5 L | +5.4wins | +0.25per pick | 53cpaid | +53.4%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 48c | 1,500$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 834 | 40.8%340 W · 494 L | -35.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Yes | 49c | 1,500$735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$735 | 473 | 25.4%120 W · 353 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 52c | 1,490$769 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$769.31 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c9…617dbacked Yes | 50c | 1,400$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.9wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked No | 50c | 1,234$617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$616.97 | 225 | 42.7%96 W · 129 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 68c | 1,195$814 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$813.71 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb96c…6cc6backed No | 51c | 1,180$602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$578.19 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked Yes | 50c | 999.36$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.68 | 191 | 65.4%125 W · 66 L | +18.3wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +29%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5e…4e1abacked Yes | 49c | 936.79$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.03 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0dc…586cbacked No | 51c | 882.35$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432.35 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | +7.6wins | +0.11per pick | 41cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Yes | 49c | 623.96$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.24 | 111 | 36.9%41 W · 70 L | -15.2wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed Yes | 50c | 540.49$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.05 | 447 | 68%304 W · 143 L | +52.8wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 49c | 491.84$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241 | 366 | 47.3%173 W · 193 L | -9.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9030…4a23backed No | 51c | 470.59$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.59 | 69 | 50.7%35 W · 34 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…e405backed No | 51c | 399.99$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.99 | 103 | 45.6%47 W · 56 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 69c | 366.77$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.07 | 511 | 40.9%209 W · 302 L | -12.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Yes | 17c | 329.98$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.47 | 136 | 53.7%73 W · 63 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0e6…84a8backed No | 33c | 300$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202 | 39 | 66.7%26 W · 13 L | +6.9wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +34%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…e4abbacked Yes | 12c | 250.69$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.81 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3de…3842backed Yes | 50c | 242.14$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.51 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -3.2wins | -0.23per pick | 37cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a7…64bfbacked Yes | 49c | 204.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.6wins | +0.29per pick | 49cpaid | +72.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 47c | 201.61$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.45 | 1,441 | 51.1%736 W · 705 L | -16.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe872…368abacked Yes | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 38cpaid | +126.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x345d…4e41backed Yes | 49c | 192.36$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.26 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +49.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 48c | 189.74$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.32 | 986 | 53.2%525 W · 461 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xede1…8ad7backed No | 53c | 135.54$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.7 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.33per pick | 42cpaid | +59.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e52…00f5backed Yes | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | -4.5wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 49c | 108.2$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.98 | 1,401 | 29.2%409 W · 992 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed No | 52c | 103.63$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.03 | 275 | 42.5%117 W · 158 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5944…bd5bbacked Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 77 | 63.6%49 W · 28 L | +8.6wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaeed…074bbacked No | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7157…7ba4backed Yes | 50c | 99.46$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e8d…e22dbacked Yes | 48c | 95.7$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.94 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 46c | 90$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.4 | 641 | 43.4%278 W · 363 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed No | 33c | 90$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.4 | 70 | 45.7%32 W · 38 L | -5.5wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes | 29c | 89.5$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.24 | 598 | 55.5%332 W · 266 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes | 69c | 87$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.16 | 1,098 | 50.5%554 W · 544 L | -36.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 51c | 81.76$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.06 | 670 | 50.6%339 W · 331 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3eff…ae12backed No | 51c | 77.27$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.86 | 108 | 54.6%59 W · 49 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 71c | 70.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.8 | 940 | 43.7%411 W · 529 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed No | 51c | 67.54$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.09 | 117 | 55.6%65 W · 52 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8405…2163backed Yes | 49c | 65.31$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 292 | 44.9%131 W · 161 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d82…545bbacked No | 61c | 64.06$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.22 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22cc…8aeabacked No | 51c | 61.14$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.11 | 169 | 52.1%88 W · 81 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 63c | 54.64$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.42 | 153 | 71.9%110 W · 43 L | +15.5wins | +0.10per pick | 62cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x04b3…ad8dbacked Yes | 32c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -3.9wins | -0.17per pick | 52cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xec5a…a319backed Yes | 49c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 64c | 46.6$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.82 | 892 | 58.2%519 W · 373 L | +58.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x65a6…3e59backed No | 52c | 46.15$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.15 | 68 | 57.4%39 W · 29 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 51c | 46$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.36 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c06…dd56backed No | 51c | 41$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.09 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 68cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…15efbacked No | 52c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.35 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 53c | 38.97$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.32 | 1,159 | 60.7%703 W · 456 L | +68.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed No | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 206 | 47.6%98 W · 108 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x321c…18ddbacked No | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 58 | 63.8%37 W · 21 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed No | 51c | 35.05$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.18 | 278 | 56.1%156 W · 122 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 50c | 34.84$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.42 | 1,107 | 47.7%528 W · 579 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecd5…7330backed Yes | 72c | 33.33$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.23per pick | 63cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x612e…8427backed Yes | 49c | 30.6$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77b8…8a93backed Yes | 49c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3008…2489backed Yes | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee81…328cbacked Yes | 69c | 28.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79eb…9c72backed Yes | 53c | 28.03$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.77 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3b…6583backed Yes | 49c | 22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.78 | 99 | 55.6%55 W · 44 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d19…bf25backed Yes | 73c | 20.55$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 81 | 48.1%39 W · 42 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -13%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Groningen win on 2026-02-14?this page
- Will FC Groningen vs. FC Utrecht end in a draw?No won
- Will FC Utrecht win on 2026-02-14?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.